Tensions with Israel Overshadow Iran’s 2025 Budget

Iranian lawmakers concerned about gasoline price hike (AFP)
Iranian lawmakers concerned about gasoline price hike (AFP)
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Tensions with Israel Overshadow Iran’s 2025 Budget

Iranian lawmakers concerned about gasoline price hike (AFP)
Iranian lawmakers concerned about gasoline price hike (AFP)

After a contentious debate, Iran’s parliament approved the 2025 budget proposal, which features a 200% increase in military funding, tax changes, and higher gasoline prices.

On Tuesday, 146 out of 246 lawmakers supported the budget during a session, according to the state-run Mehr News Agency.

However, this approval is not final; the budget will undergo review by special committees as a “bill,” and it may take months to become law.

Experts say that Tuesday’s approval is merely an endorsement of the budget’s outlines, although it marks a significant step for President Masoud Pezeshkian.

In remarks aired on state television, Pezeshkian highlighted that his government’s budget focuses on growth, employment, and justice.

While Pezeshkian aims to address the country’s economic crisis, he faces major challenges, primarily Western sanctions, which complicate his ambitious plans for the Iranian people.

The Iranian government has proposed a 200% increase in the military budget for the upcoming fiscal year, starting in March 2025, amid escalating tensions with Israel.

Government spokesperson Fatemeh Mohajerani announced this significant increase during her weekly press conference, linking it to “the tension imposed by Israel in the region.”

However, she did not specify the exact military expenditure for the next year, as Iran typically refrains from providing precise figures on its military spending, especially concerning activities linked to the Revolutionary Guard.

Most of Iran’s military budget is allocated to the Revolutionary Guard, responsible for defending the regime, according to the official IRNA news agency. The remaining funds are divided between the General Staff of the Armed Forces and the regular army.

Iran supports armed groups in the region, notably Hezbollah, which has been engaged in open conflict with Israeli forces since last month after a year of cross-border exchanges. Iran also backs groups in Iraq and Yemen.

According to the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute, Iran’s military spending was approximately $10.3 billion in 2023, excluding the Revolutionary Guard’s share.

In comparison, Israel’s military budget rose by 24% to $27.5 billion in 2023.

Although Pezeshkian stated that his government “consulted with various lawmakers and experts” when drafting the budget, concerns about rising gasoline prices have sparked fears of public unrest.

Discussions among parliament members have not explicitly mentioned an increase in fuel prices, but the budget proposal leaves that possibility open.

Tehran lawmaker Hossein Samsami predicted a potential 40% rise in gasoline prices in the upcoming budget bill. Fellow lawmaker Hossein Ali Haji Delighani remarked that the government’s stance on the price increase remains unclear.

Meanwhile, Gholamreza Dehghan Nasrabadi cautioned that raising gasoline prices could trigger social and political unrest under current economic conditions.

Gholamreza Tajgardoon, head of the Budget Consolidation Committee, urged lawmakers to “amend the budget instead of rejecting it outright.” He noted that the committee would remove provisions conflicting with existing laws.

Last week, the government revealed that the production cost of gasoline is around 80,000 Iranian rials per liter, excluding the cost of crude oil.

The Iranian rial has fallen to record lows against the dollar, with inflation rising by 33% in 2023, according to a previous report from the German news agency, dpa.



Senior Israeli Army Officer among Suspects in ‘Leaks Scandal’

 A photo published by Israeli Channel 12 of the central suspect in the leaks case.
 A photo published by Israeli Channel 12 of the central suspect in the leaks case.
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Senior Israeli Army Officer among Suspects in ‘Leaks Scandal’

 A photo published by Israeli Channel 12 of the central suspect in the leaks case.
 A photo published by Israeli Channel 12 of the central suspect in the leaks case.

The arrest of a new senior army officer involved in a suspected leak of classified Gaza documents has sparked a wave of political controversy and public outcry in Israeli politics.
In the past few days, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and some individuals close to him tried to downplay the so-called “leaks scandal” and portrayed it as “just an ordinary incitement against the PM.”
But on Monday, an Israeli army officer was arrested by police investigators as part of the probe into leaked classified documents from the Prime Minister’s Office.
Hebrew media reports said the officer was relaxing with his wife and children in a hotel in the southern city of Eilat, when a force of masked policemen raided the place, arrested him, and took him to an investigation room in the Tel Aviv area without providing further information.
Observers suggest this officer is one of the security personnel who leaked and falsified documents from the military to compromise efforts to secure the release of Israeli hostages held by Hamas.
The arrest is the fifth so far in the high-profile investigation. The five suspects include a civilian spokesman from Netanyahu's circle and four members of the security establishment.
Hebrew media outlets on Monday uncovered new information about the central suspect in the case, Eli Feldstein, the only person whose name was allowed to be published. Feldstein has previously worked for National Security Minister Itamar Ben Gvir. He then worked as a spokesman for Netanyahu from soon after the Hamas attack in southern Israel in October 2023.
According to people close to the investigation, one of the tasks assigned to Feldstein in the PM’s office was to “share with various media outlets security information that serves Netanyahu.”
Feldstein is suspected of receiving secret documents from army officers and then sharing them with a false interpretation to both the German Bild newspaper and the UK’s Jewish Chronicle, which are both close to Netanyahu and his wife.
The scandal started when details from a secret document were published by the German Bild newspaper on Sept. 6.
The report cited a document captured in Gaza indicating that Hamas’s main concern in ceasefire negotiations with Israel was to rehabilitate its military capabilities, and not to alleviate the suffering of Gaza’s civilian population. Bild said it had obtained the spring 2024 document exclusively, without offering further details. It said the document was found on a computer in Gaza that belonged to now-slain Hamas leader Sinwar.
Around the same time, Jewish Chronicle published a report saying that Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar planned to smuggle hostages through the Philadelphi Corridor to Egypt.
Netanyahu has used those reports to justify his control over the Philadelphi Corridor along Gaza's border with Egypt and to thwart the hostages deal.
In the past days, the scandal has provoked sharp criticism from opposition leaders and the families of hostages.
The independent media said it highlighted “the corruption that knows no bounds” in the Netanyahu government.
Yossi Verter wrote in the Haaretz newspaper that, “Recent scandals among those in Netanyahu's inner circle reveal the nature of his entourage – a crime organization that places him above the country and national security concerns.”
Speaking about the main suspect in the case, Feldstein, Verter wrote, “The new star, burning with motivation to prove himself, quickly adapted to the office's corrupt semi-criminal atmosphere, its moral and ethical decay and its culture of lies, manipulation, and disinformation.”
At the Maariv newspaper, Shimon Hefetz, a colonel in the army reserve and military secretary to three Israeli presidents, spoke on Monday at the 29th anniversary of the assassination of Prime Minister Yitzhak Rabin, saying: “(The assassination) will forever be a shocking day for Israeli democracy, as it is happening in the Prime Minister's office today.”