Rutte: Russian Victory Over Ukraine Would Have Costly Impact on NATO's Credibility

NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte gives a joint press conference with Finland's president and Estonia's prime minister during the Baltic Sea NATO Allies Summit in Helsinki, Finland, 14 January 2025.  EPA/KIMMO BRANDT
NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte gives a joint press conference with Finland's president and Estonia's prime minister during the Baltic Sea NATO Allies Summit in Helsinki, Finland, 14 January 2025. EPA/KIMMO BRANDT
TT

Rutte: Russian Victory Over Ukraine Would Have Costly Impact on NATO's Credibility

NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte gives a joint press conference with Finland's president and Estonia's prime minister during the Baltic Sea NATO Allies Summit in Helsinki, Finland, 14 January 2025.  EPA/KIMMO BRANDT
NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte gives a joint press conference with Finland's president and Estonia's prime minister during the Baltic Sea NATO Allies Summit in Helsinki, Finland, 14 January 2025. EPA/KIMMO BRANDT

NATO Secretary-General Mark Rutte warned on Thursday that a Russian victory over Ukraine would undermine the dissuasive force of the world’s biggest military alliance and that its credibility could cost trillions to restore.
NATO has been ramping up its forces along its eastern flank with Russia, Belarus and Ukraine, deploying thousands of troops and equipment to deter Moscow from expanding its war into the territory of any of the organization’s 32 member countries.
“If Ukraine loses then to restore the deterrence of the rest of NATO again, it will be a much, much higher price than what we are contemplating at this moment in terms of ramping up our spending and ramping up our industrial production,” the Associated Press quoted Rutte as saying.
“It will not be billions extra; it will be trillions extra,” he said, on the sidelines of the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland.
Rutte insisted that Ukraine’s Western backers must “step up and not scale back the support” they are providing to the country, almost three years after Russia’s full-fledged invasion began.
“We have to change the trajectory of the war,” Rutte said, adding that the West “cannot allow in the 21st century that one country invades another country and tries to colonize it."
"We are beyond those days,” he said.
Anxiety in Europe is mounting that US President Donald Trump might seek to quickly end the war in talks with Russian President Vladimir Putin on terms that are unfavorable to Ukraine, but Rutte appeared wary about trying to do things in a hurry.
“If we got a bad deal, it would only mean that we will see the president of Russia high-fiving with the leaders from North Korea, Iran and China and we cannot accept that,” the former Dutch prime minister said. “That would be geopolitically a big, big mistake.”
Polish Foreign Minister Radek Sikorski welcomed Trump's acknowledgement that it must be Russia which should make the first peace moves, but he cautioned that “this is not the Putin that President Trump knew in his first term.”
On Wednesday, Trump threatened to impose stiff taxes, tariffs and sanctions on Moscow if an agreement isn’t reached to end the war, but that warning will probably fall on deaf ears in the Kremlin. Russia's economy is already weighed down by a multitude of US and European sanctions.
Sikorksi warned that Putin should not be put at the center of the world stage over Ukraine.
“The president of the United States is the leader of the free world. Vladimir Putin is an outcast and an indicted war criminal for stealing Ukrainian children,” Sikorski said.
"I would suggest that Putin has to earn the summit, that if he gets it early, it elevates him beyond his, significance and gives him the wrong idea about the trajectory of this,” he said.



Iran Rejects International Pressure Over its Nuclear Program

Iran's Vice-President for Strategic Affairs Javad Zarif speaks during the 55th annual World Economic Forum (WEF) meeting in Davos, Switzerland, January 22, 2025. Reuters 
Iran's Vice-President for Strategic Affairs Javad Zarif speaks during the 55th annual World Economic Forum (WEF) meeting in Davos, Switzerland, January 22, 2025. Reuters 
TT

Iran Rejects International Pressure Over its Nuclear Program

Iran's Vice-President for Strategic Affairs Javad Zarif speaks during the 55th annual World Economic Forum (WEF) meeting in Davos, Switzerland, January 22, 2025. Reuters 
Iran's Vice-President for Strategic Affairs Javad Zarif speaks during the 55th annual World Economic Forum (WEF) meeting in Davos, Switzerland, January 22, 2025. Reuters 

Iran on Thursday rejected international pressure over its accelerating nuclear program, which is close to nearly weapons-grade levels, while its Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi described the UN chief’s call for his country to renounce nuclear weapons, as “audacious.”

On Wednesday, UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres said Iran must make a first step towards improving relations with countries in the region and the United States by making it clear it does not aim to develop nuclear weapons.

“My hope is that the Iranians understand that it is important to once and for all make it clear that they will renounce to have nuclear weapons, at the same time that they engage constructively with the other countries of the region,” Guterres said as he discussed the situation in the Middle East at the World Economic Forum in Davos.

The UN nuclear watchdog chief, Rafael Grossi, touched on the same theme in Davos, saying Iran is “pressing the gas pedal” on its enrichment of uranium to near weapons grade.

Asked how crucial the dialogue between Tehran and Trump is right now, Grossi replied: “Absolutely indispensable.”

Grossi said last month that Iran had informed the International Atomic Energy Agency that it would “dramatically” accelerate enrichment of uranium to up to 60% purity, closer to the roughly 90% of weapons grade.

He said Iran is now producing more than 30 kilograms of uranium enriched to up to 60% and that it had about 200 kg of uranium enriched to up to 60%.

In a post on X, Araghchi wrote, “It is audacious to preach that Iranians must ‘once and for all make it clear that they will renounce to have nuclear weapons’,” without mentioning the name of the UN Chief.

“Iran's longstanding commitment to the global nonproliferation regime is clear,” the Foreign Minister said, noting that his country has signed the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons Treaty (NPT) in 1968 as a founding member.

Araghchi then pointed to a fatwa (religious decree) by Leader of the Iranian Revolution that bans the production, possession and stockpiling of weapons of mass destruction (WMDs) including nuclear weapons.

He added that in 2015, Iran signed the JCPOA which imposed the most intrusive inspection regime in IAEA history.

The FM posted a statement from the nuclear deal which states that “Iran reaffirms that under no circumstances will Iran ever seek, develop or acquire any nuclear weapons.”

“This is a permanent and clear commitment which Iran has remained committed to—even after the US unilaterally withdrew from the deal in 2018,” Araghchi said in his post.

The Iranian foreign minister also said that the most relevant question regarding the region is Israel's genocidal war on the Gaza Strip, as well as the regime's occupation of Palestinian, the Syrian and Lebanese territories.”

He then warned of the threat posed by Israel's nuclear arsenal and its refusal to join the NPT.

“This must not be normalized or whitewashed,” the FM wrote.

The statements came one week after Araghchi’s deputies had warned their counterparts in Germany, France and the UK regarding the potential misuse of the snapback mechanism relating to the 2015 Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), which could reinstate suspended sanctions on Iran.

Earlier, western media said Tehran signaled it would withdraw from the nuclear treaty if the so-called snapback mechanism is renewed and has even threatened to change the course of its nuclear program.

In a meeting with Guterres in Lisbon last November, Araghchi warned about an ongoing debate in Iran over whether to change the nuclear doctrine in the face of the West's continued sanctions on the Iranian Republic.

He then noted that if European countries were to reimpose sanctions on Iran through the UN Security Council, it would convince everyone in Iran that Tehran’s current doctrine had been mistaken.

Trump 2.0

On Wednesday, Iran’s vice-president for strategic affairs, Mohammad Javad Zarif, dismissed the idea that Tehran sought nuclear arms, and signalled support for the idea of talks to improve relations between Iran and its critics in the West.

“There's always hope that people will choose rationality. I hope that this time around, a 'Trump 2' will be more serious, more focused, more realistic,” Zarif told a panel, adding the Iran did not pose a security threat to the world.

“Now, for us, is the time to move forward. We have been looking at our surroundings as a threat, because of our history. Now ... Nobody thinks of Iran as such an easy place to carry out their whims. So, we can move forward, based on opportunity, rather than based on threats. So, let's talk about that,” he said.

Iran's main concern is the potential for Trump to reimposes his “maximum pressure policy” through more sanctions on its oil.

On Wednesday, two US officials gave preliminary outlines of the new US administration’s policy toward Iran, including its readiness to activate the “snapback” mechanism at the UN Security Council.

Trump's pick for UN Ambassador, Elise Stefanik, said she supports the suggestion of newly sworn-in secretary of state Marco Rubio to activate the “snapback” of UN sanctions on Iran.