Le Drian to Visit Lebanon Next Month on ‘Last Opportunity’ Mission

 Presidential Envoy Jean-Yves Le Drian held a meeting with Samir Geagea, the leader of the “Lebanese Forces” party during his recent visit to Lebanon.
Presidential Envoy Jean-Yves Le Drian held a meeting with Samir Geagea, the leader of the “Lebanese Forces” party during his recent visit to Lebanon.
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Le Drian to Visit Lebanon Next Month on ‘Last Opportunity’ Mission

 Presidential Envoy Jean-Yves Le Drian held a meeting with Samir Geagea, the leader of the “Lebanese Forces” party during his recent visit to Lebanon.
Presidential Envoy Jean-Yves Le Drian held a meeting with Samir Geagea, the leader of the “Lebanese Forces” party during his recent visit to Lebanon.

During a recent meeting of the five nations focused on Lebanon’s affairs in the Qatari capital, it became clear that a fragile balance holds the international community back from withdrawing support for the Lebanese leadership’s attempts to address their political, financial, and economic challenges – unless they take initiative themselves.

Signs suggest that patience wears thin over the Lebanese’s perceived lack of dedication and inability to forge a crisis exit strategy.

French special envoy Jean-Yves Le Drian had presented two key questions to Lebanese political leaders he met last July.

He demanded answers to these queries before his return to Lebanon in mid-September.

Le Drian’s upcoming comprehensive meeting with Lebanon’s parliamentary blocs is expected to be “more than a dialogue... and less than an initiative.”

French diplomatic sources in Beirut told Asharq Al-Awsat that Le Drian’s message aims to break free from the “vicious cycle” in which political maneuvers have been revolving since Lebanon’s presidential vacancy started in November 2022.

Sources mentioned that Le Drian’s endeavor will represent “one of the international community’s final attempts to assist Lebanon,” cautioning that the international community’s patience is wearing away.

In a potentially final opportunity, Le Drian is striving to break the existing political deadlock, drawing on the strong support of the French President and the backing of the five nations concerned with Lebanese affairs (Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Qatar, France, and the United States), along with his considerable political expertise in conflict resolution.

He hopes that Lebanon can benefit from this experience before the idea of assistance from friends is abandoned.

Le Drian had posed the same two questions to those he met last July, concerning their views on the projects that the incoming president should undertake and the qualities they should possess.

Sources clarified that the French envoy would compile the answers he receives into a working plan, which he will then present to Lebanese leadership during an extensive meeting to be hosted by France in Beirut.

This will be preceded by bilateral meetings conducted by the French envoy, with Le Drian set to make shuttle visits to Lebanon during that period to “do whatever is necessary to provide an opportunity for a solution.”



Iraq Preoccupied with Potential Broad Israeli Attack

Iraqi PM Mohammed Shi al-Sudani at an emergency national security council meeting. (Iraqi government)
Iraqi PM Mohammed Shi al-Sudani at an emergency national security council meeting. (Iraqi government)
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Iraq Preoccupied with Potential Broad Israeli Attack

Iraqi PM Mohammed Shi al-Sudani at an emergency national security council meeting. (Iraqi government)
Iraqi PM Mohammed Shi al-Sudani at an emergency national security council meeting. (Iraqi government)

Baghdad has been preoccupied this week with serious possibilities that Israel may expand its war on Gaza and Lebanon by striking several targets in Iraq in retaliation to attacks by Iran-backed armed factions.

Concern has been high that Israel may attack government buildings, oil fields and strategic locations, not just the positions of the armed factions that have previously launched attacks against Israel, said sources close to the pro-Iran ruling Coordination Framework.

Media sources have spoken of government speculation that Iraq could come under “300 Israeli attacks”.

The fears in Iraq have been compounded by an Israeli complaint to the United Nations Security Council against seven armed factions and holding Baghdad responsible for the attacks they have carried out against it.

This prompted the government, through the foreign ministry, to send an official letter to the Security Council, UN Secretary-General, Arab League and Organization of Islamic Cooperation in response to the Israeli threats.

The ministry said on Saturday that Iraq is “the cornerstone of stability in the region and world and it is one of the countries that are most committed to the UN Charter.”

“The Zionist entity’s letter to the Security Council is part of a systematic policy aimed at creating claims and excuses in an attempt to expand the conflict in the region.”

It said Iraq has turned to the Security Council out of Iraq’s keenness on the international body carrying out its duty in maintaining international peace and security and the need to rein in the “Zionist aggression in Gaza and Lebanon.”

Moreover, it stressed that Iraq has been keen on exercising restraint when it comes to the use of its airspace to attack a neighboring country.

Israel has used Iraqi airspace to launch attacks against Iran in October.

Iraq underscored the importance of the international community stepping in to “stop this hostile behavior that is a flagrant violation of international law.”

It called for international efforts to stop the Israeli escalation in the region and ensure that international laws and treaties are respected to consolidate security and stability.

Meanwhile, a source close to the Coordination Framework said the main Shiite parties are taking the Israeli threats “very seriously”, urging Prime Minister Mohammed Shia al-Sudani's government to take “all the necessary measures to avert a potential Israeli strike.”

All leaders of armed factions, as well as Shiite leaders, have taken up alternative locations and are moving under great secrecy, confirming that they have changed the majority of their military positions, said the source.

It also dismissed claims that Israeli jets have overflown Iraq, saying nothing has been confirmed, but not ruling out the possibility, especially since US forces have control over Iraqi skies and Iraq is helpless against stopping these violations.

Iraq had submitted a formal complaint to the UN and Security Council over Israel’s use and violation of its airspace to attack Iran.

Analyst and former diplomat Ghazi Faisal said the pro-Iran armed factions have been gathering their forces in the Sinjar province, which is strategic for Iran’s arms deliveries and logistic support to Syria where attacks can be carried out against American forces and the Israeli-occupied Golan Heights.

Sinjar is one of the most important strategic bases for the Iranian Revolutionary Guards Corps, he added.

Furthermore, he noted that the armed factions insist on continuing the war against Israel, rejecting government calls for calm and neutrality.

The government’s statements are aimed at delivering a message that it “is not directly responsible for the strategy of these factions,” which follow Iran’s policies.

Iraq has repeatedly said that it refuses for its territory to be used to attack another country, but some observers believe that it may allow Iran to do so should Israel strike.