Conflict in Middle East Could Escalate, US National Security Adviser Warns

An Israeli tank maneuvers at an undisclosed location on the border with the Gaza Strip on October 15, 2023. (AFP)
An Israeli tank maneuvers at an undisclosed location on the border with the Gaza Strip on October 15, 2023. (AFP)
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Conflict in Middle East Could Escalate, US National Security Adviser Warns

An Israeli tank maneuvers at an undisclosed location on the border with the Gaza Strip on October 15, 2023. (AFP)
An Israeli tank maneuvers at an undisclosed location on the border with the Gaza Strip on October 15, 2023. (AFP)

White House national security adviser Jake Sullivan warned on Sunday of the risk of conflict escalating in the Middle East, and said the US is trying to find safe passage for American citizens out of Gaza into Egypt.

The Israeli military said on Sunday it would continue to allow Gazans to evacuate south ahead of an expected ground assault by its forces on the Gaza Strip in retaliation for unprecedented attacks inside Israel by Hamas militants eight days ago that killed some 1,300 Israelis, mostly civilians.

Sullivan, who spoke to CBS's "Face the Nation", said the US is focused on making sure the civilian population leaving Gaza have access to food, water and shelter, and that they can make it into safe areas.

"There is a risk of an escalation of this conflict, the opening of a second front in the north and, of course, Iran's involvement," Sullivan said. The United States remains concerned about proxy forces and Lebanon's Hezbollah, he said.

The vast majority of the population of Gaza has nothing to do with Hamas, Sullivan said on another network on Sunday, and they "deserve dignity, safety and security."

He said the US is not interfering with Israel's military planning, but is emphasizing publicly and in private conversations international law around the war and the need for Israel to recognize democratic rights.

Authorities in Gaza have said more than 2,300 people had been killed, a quarter of them children, and nearly 10,000 wounded so far. The enclave's hospitals are running short of medical supplies and struggling to cope with the flow of injured.

US President Joe Biden's decision to send an aircraft carrier to the region sends a clear message of deterrence "to any actor that would seek to exploit the situation," Sullivan said.



Yemen Hopes to End Banking Split, Fears Houthi Obstacles

The Central Bank of Yemen in Aden (government media)
The Central Bank of Yemen in Aden (government media)
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Yemen Hopes to End Banking Split, Fears Houthi Obstacles

The Central Bank of Yemen in Aden (government media)
The Central Bank of Yemen in Aden (government media)

While Houthi naval attacks have stalled Yemen’s peace process, a new UN agreement between the government and the Houthi militias on banking and aviation issues has sparked hope among many Yemenis.

UN envoy Hans Grundberg announced earlier this week the agreement, which aims to de-escalate tensions and address issues with commercial banks and Yemenia Airways.

However, he did not provide details on when or where these talks would take place, only stating that both sides agreed to begin discussions on economic and humanitarian issues based on a new roadmap.

Yemenis have shown mixed reactions to the new de-escalation agreement, but many are hopeful it will address key economic issues, such as the financial divide and unpaid salaries in Houthi-controlled areas, problems that have persisted for eight years.

A report from the Sanaa Center for Strategic Studies, written by Nade Wali, presented conflicting views.

It suggested the agreement resulted from coalition pressures on the government to favor the Houthis, but also cited Grundberg, who warned that Yemen’s economic split could lead to severe consequences.

Grundberg noted that isolating banks and exchange companies from the global financial system could harm businesses and remittances.

The report highlighted Yemen’s economic paralysis due to a decade of conflict, with the use of two currencies and varying exchange rates complicating matters. It warned that any further pressures could worsen the humanitarian situation and disrupt aid.

Western sources told Asharq Al-Awsat that Saudi Arabia supports the roadmap to end Yemen’s crisis, stressing that disputes are not the way to peace.

Najat, a Yemeni teacher who only gave Asharq Al-Awsat her first name, avoided the debate over the agreement.

She believes that successful economic talks could bring real relief, especially for those in Houthi-controlled areas who haven’t received salaries since 2016.

Najat hopes both sides will address the suffering of millions of Yemenis due to economic hardship and agree on resuming oil and gas exports, establishing a mechanism for salary payments, and ending the financial divide, seeing this as the path to peace.