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ISIS Gains Momentum in Syria, Avoids Iranian Militias

ISIS members in Syria (SOHR)
ISIS members in Syria (SOHR)
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ISIS Gains Momentum in Syria, Avoids Iranian Militias

ISIS members in Syria (SOHR)
ISIS members in Syria (SOHR)

ISIS has significantly escalated its attacks in Syria during the first half of 2024, a report by the Syrian Observatory for Human Rights (SOHR) said on Thursday.
The Observatory revealed that ISIS still avoids targeting Iranian militias despite their large presence in the Syrian desert (Badia).
Instead, ISIS mainly targets Syrian regime forces, killing many officers, it said.
SOHR also said that ISIS targeted military and civilians alike. The attacks were mainly staged within scattered areas of the Syrian desert under the control of the regime and Iranian militias, and in areas controlled by the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) in northern and eastern Syria.
It noted that the terrorist group killed hundreds of people despite the sweep campaigns launched against its cells by Russian-backed army forces in the Syrian countryside and the security operations carried out by the SDF, with the support of the International Coalition, in northern and eastern Syria.
On Wednesday, ISIS killed eight people, including two civilians, in an ambush on pro-government militiamen in Syria’s desert.
The monitor group reported a death toll of eight, including “six members of the National Defense Forces and two sheep herders.”
According to SOHR statistics, ISIS has killed 449 people in 155 military operations it launched in the Syrian desert since early 2024.
The Britain-based monitor with sources in Syria said that the fatalities include 29 ISIS members, three of whom were killed in Russian airstrikes and the others by regime forces and their proxy militias.
It added that 376 members of regime forces and their proxy militias, including 33 Iranian-backed Syrian militiamen and three members of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps, were killed in 155 operations by ISIS members, including ambushes, armed attacks, and explosions, in west Euphrates region and the deserts of Deir Ezzor, Al-Raqqah, Homs.
The SOHR report said all counter-operations to limit the rise of ISIS have failed.
ISIS overran large swathes of Syria and Iraq in 2014, proclaiming a governorate and launching a reign of terror.
It was defeated territorially in Syria in 2019, but its remnants still carry out deadly attacks -- particularly in the desert -- and mainly targeting government loyalists and Kurdish-led fighters.
Last month, the Observatory said ISIS fighters had killed nearly 4,100 people in Syria since 2019.
The United Nations in January said ISIS’s combined strength in Iraq and Syria was 3,000-5,000 fighters, with the desert serving as a hub for the group in Syria.

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Iraq Frustrated by Iran’s Reluctance to Rein in Militias

Iraqi Prime Minister Mohammed Shia al-Sudani has cautioned leaders of the Coordination Framework about the threats facing Iraq due to the escalating conflict between Israel and Iran (X)
Iraqi Prime Minister Mohammed Shia al-Sudani has cautioned leaders of the Coordination Framework about the threats facing Iraq due to the escalating conflict between Israel and Iran (X)
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Iraq Frustrated by Iran’s Reluctance to Rein in Militias

Iraqi Prime Minister Mohammed Shia al-Sudani has cautioned leaders of the Coordination Framework about the threats facing Iraq due to the escalating conflict between Israel and Iran (X)
Iraqi Prime Minister Mohammed Shia al-Sudani has cautioned leaders of the Coordination Framework about the threats facing Iraq due to the escalating conflict between Israel and Iran (X)

A senior government official said Iraqi Prime Minister Mohammed Shia al-Sudani has warned leaders of the Coordination Framework about the “risks to Iraq” from the growing conflict between Israel and Iran.

The official added that Iran is using “deception” when asked to distance its allied militias from the war.

Political and government figures are increasingly worried that Iraq could be hit, after two Israeli soldiers were killed in a drone strike on the Golan Heights early Friday.

Speaking anonymously to Asharq Al-Awsat, the official said al-Sudani is taking steps to keep Iraq out of the conflict.

These efforts include ramping up “political mediation” to persuade militias not to involve Iraq. The prime minister “informed Coordination Framework leaders of the risks” and urged them to “act quickly.”

The official also warned that an attack is still possible, saying intelligence shows the Iraqi militias launched the strike from outside Iraq, using weapons that came from Iraqi territory.

Al-Sudani’s Mediation Efforts

The Iraqi premier has chosen mediators, approved by Iran, to negotiate with militias about the conflict and conditions for de-escalation. These three individuals have previously acted as mediators in past crises.

Last week, Asharq Al-Awsat reported that al-Sudani asked three key Shiite figures to intervene and prevent militias from getting involved in the war between Hezbollah and Israel, after reports surfaced that Israel had identified 35 Iraqi targets.

Sources confirmed that Ammar al-Hakim is among the mediators, along with two other influential Shiite leaders whose names haven’t been disclosed.

However, two Iraqi militias—likely the al-Nujaba Movement led by Akram al-Kaabi and Kataib Hezbollah led by Abu Hussein al-Hamidawi—have refused to cooperate and continue launching rocket attacks on Israel.

The Iraqi official admitted that some militias are “stubborn,” but stressed that al-Sudani knows Iraq is “at the center of the storm.”

He reportedly told leaders of the Coordination Framework, “Iraq cannot avoid a military strike if it happens, so we must stay out of the war to protect the country.”

Iran’s Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, in a Friday sermon, stated that “Iran’s allies in the region won’t back down,” increasing concerns that Iraqi militias tied to Iran will continue attacking Israel.

Iraqi sources also reported that the Coordination Framework has reviewed an “intelligence report” on dozens of Iraqi targets that Israel might strike or assassinate.

Government Efforts to Prevent Escalation

Al-Sudani has blocked the flow of Iraqi funds into conflict zones, unlike previous leaders, according to the official.

He has worked closely with the US and its Treasury Department to strictly monitor financial movements, often insisting that Iran uses official channels to claim its dues from Iraq.

The official also said global auditing firms are now helping Iraq’s central bank oversee financial transactions, shutting down all previous routes for illicit money flows.

Since the Gaza war began on October 7, 2023, the US told Iraq it pressured Israel not to strike Iraq, as long as Iraq stays out of the conflict, the official added.

The US doesn’t oppose Iraq’s stance of condemning Israel, supporting Lebanon and Palestine, and sending aid.

But it “won’t accept any financial or military support to militias.”

Regarding Iran’s role, the official said Tehran claims militias act independently, dodging responsibility for reining them in.