Israel, Hezbollah Negotiate Hochstein Proposals amid Escalating Violence

US mediator Amos Hochstein (Reuters)

With Israel pushing to include Lebanon in the Doha negotiations and US mediator Amos Hochstein proposing a new ceasefire plan, Israel and Hezbollah have escalated their cross-border shelling.
Experts in Tel Aviv say both sides are using firepower as leverage. Israel is pressuring Hezbollah by displacing Lebanese villages and destroying homes, while Hezbollah ambushes Israeli forces and targets settlements.
Escalating strikes continued Monday amid reports that US, Egyptian, and Qatari mediators believe a Lebanon deal is unlikely without a prisoner swap to end the Gaza conflict.
An Israeli security official told Haaretz that Hezbollah, following the assassination of its leader Hassan Nasrallah, is trying to show it remains strong and influential in Lebanon.
Hezbollah insists on linking the Gaza and Lebanon fronts and rejects Israel’s push to amend UN Security Council Resolution 1701, stalling negotiations.
According to Yedioth Ahronoth, Israel has set the following conditions for negotiations on the Lebanese front:
Full compliance with UN Security Council Resolution 1701, which requires Hezbollah to implement a complete ceasefire, withdraw its forces beyond the Litani River, and allow the Lebanese army to deploy in southern Lebanon. Following these steps, Israel would retreat to the international border.
Implementation of Resolution 1559, which demands the disarmament of Hezbollah and its dismantling as an independent militia within 24 months, led by the Lebanese army and supported by international enforcement.
Creating a new UN Security Council resolution that imposes sanctions on any country providing arms to Hezbollah, specifically naming Iran, Syria, and Russia.
Adding a clause that allows Israel complete military freedom to enforce these resolutions if Hezbollah’s power in Lebanon increases or if there are ceasefire violations.
Israelis say Hochstein, set to arrive in Tel Aviv on Tuesday, agrees on adding enforcement mechanisms to the UN Security Council resolution but is seeking to ease Israel’s conditions.
He aims to create a new negotiation framework to finalize the border between Israel and Lebanon and resolve disputes over 12 border points.
Israel believes that by applying military pressure on Hezbollah and its support network, as well as Lebanon overall, it can impose its terms and create significant shifts in the relationship between the two countries. This escalation is occurring despite the rising costs of Israel's operations in Lebanon.
Strategic expert Amatzia Baram states that Israel aims to shift the balance of power in Lebanon and reduce Iranian influence in the region, which could unite various factions within Lebanon and beyond.
He emphasizes that Israel should establish a new reality in Lebanon through a political settlement, using its military power as leverage.
Unlike past agreements that primarily affected Israel, this time, two key conditions must be met: a meaningful enforcement mechanism to ensure compliance with the agreements and the legitimacy of proactive military action by Israel if the accords are violated.