Hezbollah Faces a Choice: Adapt to Change or Return to Conflict

An image grab shows Hezbollah chief Naim Qasem delivering a televised speech from an undisclosed location. AFP
An image grab shows Hezbollah chief Naim Qasem delivering a televised speech from an undisclosed location. AFP
TT

Hezbollah Faces a Choice: Adapt to Change or Return to Conflict

An image grab shows Hezbollah chief Naim Qasem delivering a televised speech from an undisclosed location. AFP
An image grab shows Hezbollah chief Naim Qasem delivering a televised speech from an undisclosed location. AFP

In his recent speech, Hezbollah's Deputy Secretary-General Sheikh Naim Qassem sent several messages to both Lebanon and the wider world, suggesting that the post-war era will be different from the past.

While he declared victory over Israel, he also signaled a shift towards political engagement under the Taif Agreement, highlighting the changes facing both Hezbollah and the broader “Resistance Axis.”

However, the victory Qassem spoke of does not reflect Lebanon's reality after the war.

Former minister Rashid Derbas argued that Hezbollah may claim victory, but in truth, Lebanon—both as a state and a people—has been defeated. He noted that Qassem's remarks are mainly aimed at rallying supporters, while the Lebanese people continue to suffer.

In a statement to Asharq Al-Awsat, Derbas said that while Sheikh Naim Qassem has the right to address his supporters this way, he views the overall tone of the speech as positive.

Derbas highlighted Qassem’s decision to return to political work under the Taif Agreement, his call for a swift presidential election, and his push for cooperation with the Lebanese army.

In his speech, Hezbollah’s Secretary-General outlined the party’s future vision, including high-level coordination with the Lebanese army, continued support for Palestine, and ongoing reconstruction efforts with the Lebanese state and international partners.

He emphasized that Hezbollah’s role in Lebanon will remain politically and economically influential, with a focus on completing constitutional institutions, starting with electing a new president.

The results of the war have forced Hezbollah to reassess its approach, pushing for deeper political integration in a more pragmatic manner than before.

Derbas praised Qassem’s agreement to withdraw completely north of the Litani River, signaling a shift away from confrontation with Israel. He noted that Hezbollah has come to realize that only Lebanon and the state can protect it, not Syria, Iraq, or Iran.

Regarding Hezbollah’s “army, people, and resistance” equation, Derbas pointed out the reality of Israel's military strength, which is linked to US weapons, and emphasized the need to rely on the state for protection.

He stressed that the party must return to a more realistic approach.

The tone of Hezbollah’s rhetoric after this war is different from its stance after the 2006 July War, which was more aggressive toward political forces.

Political analyst Qassem Qasir noted that the party is now acting with greater rationality, coordinating with the Lebanese state and army to implement UN Resolution 1701.

He called on all political groups to adopt a positive and non-provocative discourse that reflects Hezbollah’s openness toward all Lebanese factions.



Aleppo Residents Share Accounts of ‘Sudden Battle’

Militants from the factions that attacked near a bus station in New Aleppo (Asharq Al-Awsat)
Militants from the factions that attacked near a bus station in New Aleppo (Asharq Al-Awsat)
TT

Aleppo Residents Share Accounts of ‘Sudden Battle’

Militants from the factions that attacked near a bus station in New Aleppo (Asharq Al-Awsat)
Militants from the factions that attacked near a bus station in New Aleppo (Asharq Al-Awsat)

Syrian armed groups, including Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) and Ankara-backed militias, have taken control of most of Aleppo, the country’s second-largest city, after a swift retreat by Syrian army forces.

The factions announced a 24-hour curfew on Saturday. The Syrian army said in a statement that “dozens of its soldiers were killed” in the attack, forcing its troops to withdraw. It added that preparations are underway for a counteroffensive to regain the city.

Residents told Asharq Al-Awsat they were caught off guard by the fighting, which broke out after four years of relative calm.

Ahmed Abu Bakr, a government employee in Aleppo, described how life was normal in the city until last Wednesday, November 27.

“Suddenly, we heard fighting in some areas. The attacking factions advanced quickly and took control of parts of the city, reaching the center by the next day,” he told Asharq Al-Awsat.

Ahmed expressed concern for Aleppo’s future, fearing it could be divided again, like during the years 2012-2016 when the city was split between government forces and armed factions.

“The city can’t handle more conflict,” he said.

According to Ahmed and others, the HTS and allied groups have seized most neighborhoods, government offices, and prisons. Activists shared images online showing militants freeing hundreds of prisoners.

Raouf, 44, a displaced resident, shared his concern about the situation.

“The militants say there’s no need to fear and that things will improve, but it feels like they’re the ones in charge, with the power to make promises of protection.”

Raouf criticized HTS, calling it a rebranded version of al-Nusra Front, and reminded Syrians of their violent past.

“They executed women, killed activists and journalists, and brought foreign fighters into Syria,” he said.

Maysa, 54, who lives near the governor’s palace in central Aleppo, recalled the first moments militants entered the palace.

“We heard gunfire and chants,” she said.

“When we went outside, we saw Free Syrian Army vehicles near the palace and the Russian consulate. They told everyone over loudspeakers to stay indoors for safety.”

She confirmed that all shops, markets, and pharmacies closed after the attack on Wednesday.

“Only the fighters and their vehicles are here now. Aleppo has turned into a military base,” she added.

Reem, 33, a former private-sector employee in New Aleppo, described the fear among residents.

“Those still here are in shock. We never expected this sudden attack. We were hit by factions led by al-Qaeda fighters,” she said, clearly upset.

“We are living in fear, with our future now in the hands of a few militants,” she affirmed.