Iraq Parliamentary Election Paves Way for Tough Talks to Form Govt

Iraqi Prime Minister Mohammed Shia al-Sudani shows his ink-stained finger after voting at a polling station in the Green Zone during the parliamentary election, in Baghdad, Iraq, November 11, 2025. (Reuters)
Iraqi Prime Minister Mohammed Shia al-Sudani shows his ink-stained finger after voting at a polling station in the Green Zone during the parliamentary election, in Baghdad, Iraq, November 11, 2025. (Reuters)
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Iraq Parliamentary Election Paves Way for Tough Talks to Form Govt

Iraqi Prime Minister Mohammed Shia al-Sudani shows his ink-stained finger after voting at a polling station in the Green Zone during the parliamentary election, in Baghdad, Iraq, November 11, 2025. (Reuters)
Iraqi Prime Minister Mohammed Shia al-Sudani shows his ink-stained finger after voting at a polling station in the Green Zone during the parliamentary election, in Baghdad, Iraq, November 11, 2025. (Reuters)

Iraq closed ballot boxes on Tuesday evening in its sixth parliamentary election since 2005, ending a relatively calm voting day with no significant violations reported, amid a boycott by followers of the Sadrist movement led by influential cleric Moqtada al-Sadr.  

Sources told Asharq Al-Awsat the turnout figure is expected to approach 40 percent, a relative improvement from the previous election.   

They attributed the rise to fresh momentum in western and northern cities, in Baghdad’s belt areas, and to high participation rates in the Kurdistan region.  

By midday, the Independent High Electoral Commission had announced a low turnout of 23 percent.  

Technical performance and violations  

On security and technical breaches, the sources said the electoral commission showed marked improvement after quickly dealing with several problems during the day, including fingerprint failures for elderly voters, manual laborers and diabetes patients, as well as malfunctioning surveillance cameras.   

The commission also replaced iris scans with special election ink for identity verification.  

The sources said there were violations, but monitoring networks saw nothing likely to affect the results.  

Jumana al-Ghalai, spokesperson for the Commission, said the election process was successful and that it did not record technical breaches during Tuesday’s general vote.  

She said the Commission was completing procedures for manual counting and sorting and matching them with electronic results.  

Tough negotiations ahead  

Politically, sources said competing parties agree on the need to launch rapid negotiations to form a new government, though substantive talks will only begin once final results are settled.  

They expect difficult talks among all Shiite parties under the banner of the “largest bloc”, which is required to put forward a nominee to form the next government.  

As soon as results are announced and parties know the size of their blocs, and even before the Federal Supreme Court certifies them, side negotiations among winning lists will start. Most observers expect these talks to be long and difficult.  

The ruling pro-Iran Coordination Framework alliance said in a statement it was committed to respecting constitutional timelines and to working seriously to form a government that meets reform aspirations.  

Iraqi judicial authorities expect the Federal Supreme Court to certify the results as soon as possible. Parliament Speaker Mahmoud al-Mashhadani said on Tuesday Iraq had “overcome the first hurdle by holding the election on time without delay”.  

Al-Mashhadani told Asharq Al-Awsat the second hurdle was also cleared, as the voting process proceeded smoothly and democratically with very few violations.  

He said the next phase requires shifting from power struggles to state building, adding that this requires a government of competencies in a secure and prosperous environment with a successful economy, not a government built on political loyalties.  

Sadr’s boycott  

The complete absence of the Sadrist movement was evident after its leader Moqtada al-Sadr ordered a boycott, leaving a large gap in the Shiite landscape and lowering turnout because of the movement’s weight. The bloc won 72 seats in the last election, a little under the total Shiite share in parliament.  

Sadr issued two statements on election day urging followers to stay away, saying in one, “I left a community that does not believe in the homeland or reform, and denies them. The tried should not be tried again. We are boycotting corruption and subservience.”  

These messages translated into near total abstention by his supporters in their strongholds in Baghdad and other provinces.  

At the end of the day, Sadr issued a third statement saying that although he had ordered a boycott, his movement did not seek to disrupt the vote. “We are not seekers of power but a project to save the homeland,” he said.  

He added full responsibility now lies with those benefiting from the votes cast to restore Iraq to its rightful path, pull it out of its bottleneck, end foreign interference, and ensure all weapons are under the control of the state, including the Popular Mobilization Forces.  

Official congratulations  

Senior officials congratulated Iraqis on the “success of the election process”.   

Prime Minister Mohammed Shia al-Sudani said the Iraqi people had once again taken a distinguished step toward greater stability and success and toward strengthening the democratic system that reflects their free constitutional will and their desire to continue building the state and supporting its institutions.  

Al-Sudani said that the successful organization and implementation of the sixth parliamentary election under Iraq’s permanent constitution meant the government had fulfilled one of its major commitments in its executive program, as well as its obligation to constitutional timelines and requirements ensuring peaceful power transfer.  

Main competing blocs  

More than 7,740 candidates, about one third of them women, competed for 329 parliamentary seats across Shiite, Kurdish and Sunni blocs and parties.  

On the Shiite side, participants included the Construction and Development Alliance led by Prime Sudani, the State of Law Coalition led by former PM Nouri al-Maliki, and other lists led by Badr Organization chief Hadi al-Amiri and Asaib Ahl al-Haq Secretary General Qais al-Khazali.  

On the Sunni side, the Taqadum (Progress) Party alliance led by former parliament Speaker Mohammed al-Halbousi was the most prominent, alongside the Sovereignty and Azm alliances.  

In the Kurdish region, the two main parties, the Kurdistan Democratic Party and the Patriotic Union of Kurdistan, headed the field, joined by the New Generation Movement and other nationalist and Islamist parties spread across the Kurdistan region. 



Lebanon: Hezbollah Boycotts Cabinet Session over Iran Ambassador Expulsion

A previous session of the Lebanese Parliament (National News Agency)
A previous session of the Lebanese Parliament (National News Agency)
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Lebanon: Hezbollah Boycotts Cabinet Session over Iran Ambassador Expulsion

A previous session of the Lebanese Parliament (National News Agency)
A previous session of the Lebanese Parliament (National News Agency)

Ministers from Hezbollah and its ally Amal boycotted Lebanon's cabinet session on Thursday in protest over the government declaring the Iranian ambassador persona non grata, a Lebanese official told AFP.

The two Shiite parties have a combined four ministers, with one independent Shiite also represented in the cabinet present at the meeting, the official said, as the spat over the Iranian diplomat's expulsion escalated.

Hezbollah is an armed movement backed by Iran, which also has political representation in both government and parliament.


Lebanese Fear Another Occupation as Israel Threatens to Use Gaza Tactics in the South

Israeli military vehicles maneuver on the Lebanese side of the border, as seen from the Upper Galilee in northern Israel, 25 March 2026. EPA/ATEF SAFADI
Israeli military vehicles maneuver on the Lebanese side of the border, as seen from the Upper Galilee in northern Israel, 25 March 2026. EPA/ATEF SAFADI
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Lebanese Fear Another Occupation as Israel Threatens to Use Gaza Tactics in the South

Israeli military vehicles maneuver on the Lebanese side of the border, as seen from the Upper Galilee in northern Israel, 25 March 2026. EPA/ATEF SAFADI
Israeli military vehicles maneuver on the Lebanese side of the border, as seen from the Upper Galilee in northern Israel, 25 March 2026. EPA/ATEF SAFADI

As Israel trades fire with Hezbollah, calls for mass evacuations and sends ground troops deeper into Lebanon, its leaders have hinted at a long-term occupation modeled on the devastating conquest of much of Gaza after Hamas' Oct. 7, 2023, attack.

Israel says it needs to establish a zone of control in the depopulated south to shield its own northern communities, which have faced daily rocket attacks since the Iran-backed militant Hezbollah group joined the wider war. Many in Lebanon fear that could mean the open-ended displacement of over a million people, the flattening of their homes and a loss of territory.

Israel's Defense Minister Israel Katz said this week that it would create a “security zone” up to the Litani River, some 30 kilometers (20 miles) from the border in some places. He said troops would destroy homes, which he claimed were being used by militants, and that residents would not return until northern Israel is safe.

The campaign would mirror the one in Gaza, in which Israeli forces flattened and largely depopulated the eastern half of the Palestinian territory, Katz said on Tuesday. Israel has said it won't withdraw from the enclave until Hamas disarms as part of a US-brokered ceasefire deal.

“We have ordered an acceleration in the destruction of Lebanese homes in contact-line villages to neutralize threats to Israeli communities, in accordance with the model of Beit Hanoun and Rafah in Gaza,” Katz said, referring to border towns that were largely obliterated.

From one war to the next

After a 2024 ceasefire halted Israel's last war with Hezbollah, Israeli forces gradually withdrew from southern Lebanon except for five strategic hilltops along the border.

Lebanese returned to find that homes, infrastructure, and some entire villages destroyed. Israel said it had dismantled Hezbollah infrastructure that could have been used to launch an Oct. 7-style attack, and it continued to strike what it said were militant targets on a near-daily basis after the truce.

Hezbollah resumed it attacks after Israel and the United States launched the war with Iran on Feb. 28, accusing Israel of having repeatedly violated the ceasefire. Israel accused Lebanon's government of failing to carry out its pledge to disarm Hezbollah, despite its unprecedented steps toward criminalizing the group.

In the latest fighting, Israel has launched blistering air raids across Lebanon, killing more than 1,000 people — mostly outside of the border area — and displacing over a million. It has warned residents to evacuate a wide swath of the south, extending from the border to the Zahrani River, some 55 kilometers (34 miles) away.

The Israeli military says it has launched a limited ground operation. Political leaders speak of more ambitious plans.

Bezalel Smotrich, Israel's far-right finance minister and a member of its Security Cabinet, said this week that the current war must end with “fundamental change.”

“The Litani must be our new border with the state of Lebanon,” he said.

Echoes of an earlier occupation Israel invaded southern Lebanon in 1982 during the country's civil war. Hezbollah, established that year, waged a guerrilla campaign that eventually ended the Israeli occupation in 2000.

This time around, Israel has bombed seven bridges over the Litani, the northern edge of a UN-patrolled buffer zone established after previous conflicts. Israel says Hezbollah was using the bridges to move fighters and weapons, and that its military will control the remaining crossings.

Heavy fighting has meanwhile erupted in the town of Khiam, the fall of which would cut off the south from Lebanon's eastern Bekaa Valley, another area with a large Hezbollah presence.

After the bridges were bombed, Lebanese President Joseph Aoun accused Israel of seeking to sever the south from the rest of the country “to establish a buffer zone, entrench the reality of occupation, and pursue Israeli expansion within Lebanese territories.”

UN peacekeepers say the bombing of the bridges and ongoing clashes have hindered their operations and put personnel at risk.

“This is the closest fighting activity we have seen to our positions,” said Kandice Ardel, spokesperson for the UN mission known as UNIFIL. “Bullets, fragments, and shrapnel have hit buildings and open areas inside our headquarters.”

Ardel said peacekeepers at observation points have seen a growing presence of Israeli troops and “engineering assets,” though they have not seen any new military positions built yet.

‘Different shades’ of control

Mohanad Hage Ali, a senior fellow at the Carnegie Middle East think tank in Beirut, said Israel has already established “different shades” of control.

“The first line of borders is a no-man zone. This is basically a large parking lot that is facing Israel,” he said. “There is nothing there, no movement, nothing at all.”

Lebanese movement is restricted farther north. During last year's olive harvest, farmers struggled to reach their groves because of regular Israeli strikes and had to be accompanied by Lebanese troops and UNIFIL peacekeepers, who coordinated with Israel.

Sarit Zehavi, the founder and president of the Alma Institute and a retired Israeli military officer, said Israel will likely establish a more extensive area of control stretching farther north.

She acknowledged that Israel was unlikely to defeat Hezbollah and was at risk of having to maintain a long-term presence in southern Lebanon.

“But the other alternative is to take the risk that we will be slaughtered. It’s as simple as that,” she said.

No diplomatic offramp in sight

Lebanon's government has broken a longstanding taboo by proposing direct talks with Israel. It has also taken action against Hezbollah since the last war, criminalizing its activities and claiming to have dismantled hundreds of military positions.

But neither the US nor Israel has shown any interest in such talks as they focus on the wider war with Iran.

If negotiations occur, Israel could demand major concessions in exchange for relinquishing territory taken by force — an updated version of the decades-old “land for peace” formula.

Israel seized parts of Syria after the overthrow of Syrian President Bashar Assad and is in talks with the new government in Damascus about an updated security arrangement. In Gaza, it has vowed to keep half the territory until the militant Palestinian Hamas group lays down its arms, as each side has accused the other of violating the truce reached in October.

Lebanese who fled their homes are meanwhile in limbo — and some fear they may never return.

Elias Konsol and his neighbors fled the Christian border village of Alma al-Shaab with UNIFIL's help. He was reunited with his mother, who cried in his arms, at a church near Beirut where funeral services were being held for a resident killed in an Israeli strike.

Konsol said there were no weapons or Hezbollah fighters in his village, but it was forced to evacuate anyway.

“We no longer know our fate,” he said. “We don’t know if we will see our homes and village again.”


Lebanon: Hezbollah Claims Targeting 10 Israeli Merkava Tanks

Israeli tanks near the Israeli side of the border with Lebanon, amid escalating hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah, as the US-Israeli conflict with Iran continues, in northern Israel, March 25, 2026. REUTERS/Tyrone Siu
Israeli tanks near the Israeli side of the border with Lebanon, amid escalating hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah, as the US-Israeli conflict with Iran continues, in northern Israel, March 25, 2026. REUTERS/Tyrone Siu
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Lebanon: Hezbollah Claims Targeting 10 Israeli Merkava Tanks

Israeli tanks near the Israeli side of the border with Lebanon, amid escalating hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah, as the US-Israeli conflict with Iran continues, in northern Israel, March 25, 2026. REUTERS/Tyrone Siu
Israeli tanks near the Israeli side of the border with Lebanon, amid escalating hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah, as the US-Israeli conflict with Iran continues, in northern Israel, March 25, 2026. REUTERS/Tyrone Siu

Lebanon's Iran-aligned Hezbollah group said Thursday that it struck10 Israeli Merkava tanks in three southern towns along the border.

In a series of separate statements, Hezbollah said that its members targeted the advanced Israeli tanks with guided missiles in the towns of Deir Siryan, Debel, and Al-Qantara, and achieved confirmed hits.

Earlier, Hezbollah said it targeted the headquarters of the Israeli Ministry of War in the center of Tel Aviv, and the Dolphin barracks of the Military Intelligence Division north of Tel Aviv with a number of missiles.

The Israeli military said an Israeli soldier was killed in fighting in south Lebanon after the army announced it was conducting ground operations against Hezbollah.

"Staff sergeant Ori Greenberg, aged 21, from Petah Tikva, a soldier of the Reconnaissance unit, Golani Brigade, fell during combat in southern Lebanon," the military said.

In total, three Israeli soldiers have been killed in fighting in south Lebanon since Hezbollah drew the country into the Israel and US war on Iran by launching rocket attacks against Israel on March 2 to avenge the killing of Iran's supreme leader Ali Khamenei.

Israel is responding by launching large-scale raids on Lebanon, while its forces have advanced into southern Lebanon.

After the Lebanese Presidency repeatedly announced its readiness to open direct negotiations with Israel in order to end the war, Hezbollah announced its refusal to negotiate "under fire."

Its Secretary-General, Naim Qassem, said Wednesday in a statement: "When negotiating with the Israeli enemy under fire is proposed, it is an imposition of surrender and a deprivation of all of Lebanon's capabilities."

He called on the government to "reverse its decision to criminalize resistance and the resistance fighters," after announcing a ban on the party's security and military activities, as part of a series of unprecedented measures it has taken since the outbreak of the war.