Gaza Factions Prepare Defensive Plans as Fears of War Rise

 First responders inspect the site of an Israeli strike on a police station in Gaza City on May 5, 2026. (AFP)
First responders inspect the site of an Israeli strike on a police station in Gaza City on May 5, 2026. (AFP)
TT

Gaza Factions Prepare Defensive Plans as Fears of War Rise

 First responders inspect the site of an Israeli strike on a police station in Gaza City on May 5, 2026. (AFP)
First responders inspect the site of an Israeli strike on a police station in Gaza City on May 5, 2026. (AFP)

Palestinian factions in the Gaza Strip have raised their level of alert among fighters as Israeli threats grow over a possible return to war.

Field sources in Hamas and Islamic Jihad told Asharq Al-Awsat that factions are working on “clear defensive plans” in case Israel resumes fighting along the same lines as its previous military operations in Gaza.

Residents are increasingly concerned about a broad resumption of war months after a ceasefire agreement between the two sides in October, which has been marked by repeated Israeli violations that have killed more than 800 people.

Four sources from the two groups said the plans are based on self-defense if Israel carries out its threats, stressing there are “no plans or intentions to initiate any attack.”

Israeli newspaper Maariv quoted Israeli Chief of Staff Eyal Zamir as saying during a visit to troops in Lebanon days ago that the next battle could be in the Gaza Strip, because it has not ended yet, warning that if Hamas obstructs efforts to disarm it, the army would have to resume the war “with full force.”

Avoiding provocations

Two Hamas sources said instructions have been issued to avoid any provocative actions and maintain the current calm despite Israeli violations. A third source said the primary goal is to confront any Israeli military incursions into cities, as was the case before the ceasefire.

For months, Palestinian factions have deployed armed members at night across various areas of the enclave, especially in locations where Israeli special forces or armed groups aligned with Israel could infiltrate, aiming to confront them.

Fighters rotate shifts under a system that requires each member to participate in security duties once or twice a week.

Since a ceasefire was announced under a plan proposed by US President Donald Trump, a boundary known as the “yellow line” has divided the Gaza Strip.

Areas east of the line are held by Israel and make up about 55% of the territory, while areas to the west remain under the control of Hamas and other factions.

Factions accuse Israel of using armed groups cooperating with its military to expand the scope of the yellow line and force residents in non-occupied areas to flee.

Killings of Hamas members

Israel has recently targeted security checkpoints manned by faction members, as well as police and security forces affiliated with the Hamas-run government, killing at least 33 police and security personnel since the ceasefire.

The latest victim was a lieutenant colonel in Hamas’s internal security service, Mohammad al-Ghandour, who was killed in an airstrike in Sheikh Radwan neighborhood shortly after midnight between Monday and Tuesday.

Gaza’s Interior Ministry said al-Ghandour was killed when his vehicle was struck, while field sources told Asharq Al-Awsat that the attack targeted him and another member of the Qassam Brigades, Hamas’s armed wing, who was critically wounded as they were stationed at a checkpoint on Al-Jalaa Street in Sheikh Radwan.

Sources said al-Ghandour, who was also active in the Qassam Brigades, had previously survived two assassination attempts, one by drone and another in a strike on his home.

The strike came days after Israeli attacks had paused in deeper western areas beyond the yellow line, where Hamas maintains control.

The Israeli military also announced on Tuesday it had killed what it described as a “Nukhba commander” in Hamas, Anas Mohammad Ibrahim Hammad, accusing him of taking part in the Oct. 7, 2023, attack.

Israeli strikes have decreased in recent days at the request of mediators and the senior Gaza representative to the “Board of Peace,” Nickolay Mladenov, to allow room for negotiations underway in Cairo on a new roadmap for the ceasefire agreement.



Israeli Military Says Killed Two After West Bank Shooting

 Israeli soldiers and emergency personnel gather near ambulances following a shooting attack near Yehuda Junction, near Hebron, in the occupied West Bank, Friday, Oct. 23, 2026. (AP)
Israeli soldiers and emergency personnel gather near ambulances following a shooting attack near Yehuda Junction, near Hebron, in the occupied West Bank, Friday, Oct. 23, 2026. (AP)
TT

Israeli Military Says Killed Two After West Bank Shooting

 Israeli soldiers and emergency personnel gather near ambulances following a shooting attack near Yehuda Junction, near Hebron, in the occupied West Bank, Friday, Oct. 23, 2026. (AP)
Israeli soldiers and emergency personnel gather near ambulances following a shooting attack near Yehuda Junction, near Hebron, in the occupied West Bank, Friday, Oct. 23, 2026. (AP)

Israeli troops on Friday shot dead two suspected Palestinian assailants in the West Bank after a shooting that left at least five people wounded, officials said.

Footage shared by rescuers showed a lifeless body in casual attire on the ground next to a petrol station as Israeli troops patrolled in all directions.

The Israeli military said soldiers had rushed to the Judea Junction area near the flashpoint city of Hebron after the early-morning shooting attack.

"Israeli soldiers eliminated two terrorists and continue searches in the area," it said in a statement.

The initial shooting wounded five people, two of whom were in critical condition, said Magen David Adom, Israel's emergency medical rescue service.

The incident comes as tensions soar in the West Bank, including over attacks by extremist Israeli settlers against Palestinian olive harvesters, and days ahead of Israeli elections.


Istanbul Hosts Middle East, European FMs to Discuss Regional Crises

The foreign ministers of Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Türkiye and Pakistan meet in Amman on August 5. (Turkish Foreign Ministry)
The foreign ministers of Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Türkiye and Pakistan meet in Amman on August 5. (Turkish Foreign Ministry)
TT

Istanbul Hosts Middle East, European FMs to Discuss Regional Crises

The foreign ministers of Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Türkiye and Pakistan meet in Amman on August 5. (Turkish Foreign Ministry)
The foreign ministers of Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Türkiye and Pakistan meet in Amman on August 5. (Turkish Foreign Ministry)

Foreign ministers from seven European and Middle Eastern countries will hold talks in Istanbul Friday focusing on the Strait of Hormuz and the crises in the Middle East.

Ministers from the so-called E3 group -- Britain, France and Germany -- will meet counterparts from the newly created R4 group comprising Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Türkiye and Pakistan to discuss the Palestinians, developments in Yemen and the Strait of Hormuz, and ways to end the Russia-Ukraine war, a Turkish foreign ministry source said.

Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan is hosting the meeting, the first to bring together the two groups.

In chairing the talks, Fidan was to stress that "regional security first and foremost requires countries of the region to assume responsibility" and within that context, Türkiye "prioritizes strengthening cooperation mechanisms based on regional ownership".

He would also say "existing disputes should not be allowed to feed one another, conflicts should not be allowed to spread to new areas, and regional tensions should not be allowed to turn into broader instability".

Fidan will focus on the international community "increasing pressure on Israel" in response to its settlement expansion and its "encouragement of settler terrorism".

He will also underline Türkiye's support for Saudi Arabia's security in the face of Houthi attacks and the need for permanent freedom of navigation in the Hormuz and Bab el-Mandeb Straits.

British foreign minister Ed Miliband's office said the talks would essentially revolve around "the Strait of Hormuz and the situation in Saudi Arabia".

"Despite positive progress from the US and regional partners, passage through the Strait remains under threat, with traffic through the waterway sharply down on pre-war levels," a foreign ministry statement said.

It said Miliband "will advocate for a diplomatic solution to the crisis that restores full navigational rights and freedoms" and stress "how Iranian tactics are being replicated across the region, with attacks on Saudi Arabia further destabilizing the region and increasing pressure on vital waterways and global chokepoints, such as Bab El-Mandeb and the Suez Canal."

"The UK is stepping up to help stabilize the region, having this week committed RAF Typhoons to defend Saudi Arabia from Houthi attacks in their airspace," it added.

- Black Sea security -

Unrest in the Black Sea would also be a key focus, with the minister pointing to Türkiye's ongoing "warnings and proposals" to prevent the Russia-Ukraine war from spreading to the Black Sea and to draw a line under the civilian deaths there.

Armed attacks on commercial ships, often with drones, have multiplied in recent months as the war has spilled into the Black Sea, with Turkish ships increasingly in the firing line.

Last month, Türkiye sent a proposal to Russia and Ukraine to end the strikes, but it appears to have fallen on deaf ears with the attacks increasing in recent weeks, notably near Romania and Bulgaria.

NATO said Tuesday it was deploying additional planes, drones and radar systems to the Black Sea, calling for more "situational awareness" in the region through increased sensors and more data-sharing.

The E3 was set up more than 20 years ago to advance diplomatic coordination over Iran's nuclear program.

The R4 was formed this year and brings together Egypt with the signatories to the Makkah Defense Agreement -- a mutual defense pact set up by Saudi Arabia, Türkiye and Pakistan in August.


Iraq Fears Return of ‘Shadow Factions’ to Regional ‘Unity of Fronts’ Campaign

Members of Harakat al-Nujaba movement attend a gathering in Baghdad on Oct. 8, 2023 (AFP)
Members of Harakat al-Nujaba movement attend a gathering in Baghdad on Oct. 8, 2023 (AFP)
TT

Iraq Fears Return of ‘Shadow Factions’ to Regional ‘Unity of Fronts’ Campaign

Members of Harakat al-Nujaba movement attend a gathering in Baghdad on Oct. 8, 2023 (AFP)
Members of Harakat al-Nujaba movement attend a gathering in Baghdad on Oct. 8, 2023 (AFP)

Fears are mounting in Iraq that armed factions’ refusal to surrender their weapons may be an attempt to buy time ahead of a possible resumption of the war with Iran and the revival of the so-called “Axis of Resistance,” as Baghdad faces growing security and political pressure to prevent attacks on regional targets from Iraqi soil.

Political sources close to the Coordination Framework, an alliance of Iraq’s main Shiite political forces, said negotiations to bring all weapons under state control had made no tangible progress, with several factions yet to hand over the rockets and drones in their possession.

However, the sources told Asharq Al-Awsat that some alliance leaders considered it unlikely that the factions would attack countries in the region in support of Iran if the war resumed, given the potential repercussions for Prime Minister Ali al-Zaidi’s government, which could face mounting regional and international pressure.

Nujaba Reaffirms Refusal to Surrender Weapons

Those assessments have failed to ease fears that smaller armed groups could resume attacks that would be difficult to attribute directly to major factions, amid rising regional tensions and continuing divisions in Iraq over weapons outside state control.

Underscoring resistance to any change in the factions’ military status, Abdul Qadir al-Karbalai, military deputy of the Harakat al-Nujaba movement, said Wednesday that the group would not participate in the political process and that its position remained unchanged.

In a statement, al-Karbalai rejected the terms “placing weapons under state control,” “handing over weapons” and “disarmament” in reference to what the group calls resistance weapons.

His remarks pose an additional challenge to the government’s efforts to bring weapons under state control, with concerns extending beyond the political standoff between Baghdad and the factions to the possibility of renewed attacks on regional targets from Iraqi territory.

‘Shadow Factions’

Iraqi newspaper Al-Mada, citing informed sources, reported that the closure of the al-Sheeb border crossing with Iran in Maysan province was not solely related to the technical reasons cited by the government.

The move also came amid security fears of a return by so-called “shadow factions,” small groups of five to 10 members suspected of being used to carry out attacks that would be difficult to trace to those responsible.

Security agencies have stepped up surveillance of suspected attack sites over the past two weeks, the newspaper’s sources said, after attacks targeting Saudi Arabia reportedly shifted from areas in the Najaf desert in July to locations near the al-Sheeb crossing in September.

The developments suggest that armed groups may be changing tactics, avoiding heavily monitored sites and seeking new areas from which to operate.

The assessments and the identities of those behind the reported attacks could not be independently verified.

The Iraqi government has maintained that the crossing’s closure is temporary and intended to improve operational efficiency.

Government spokesman Haider al-Aboudi denied any political motive, describing the closure as “a purely administrative measure that requires no political interpretation.”

Meanwhile, Prime Ministerial adviser Abdul Amir Taiban accused the Iranian side of “serious violations” of Iraqi sovereignty, creating chaos along the shared border and deliberately undermining Iraq’s economy through the smuggling of counterfeit currency and drugs.

Mounting US Pressure

The closure comes as Washington steps up pressure on Baghdad over cross-border trade with Iran.

AFP quoted an Iraqi source Wednesday confirming the closure, while an Iranian official said border crossings with Iraq remained open to travelers, although truck traffic was experiencing delays.

Two political sources said Washington was pressing Baghdad to close additional crossings with Iran. One said the US Treasury Department had raised the issue with al-Zaidi during his visit to New York last month.

Security concerns also extend beyond Iraq’s land borders.

A security source in Basra province said Wednesday that a drone fell into the sea about 200 meters from an oil tanker identified as the Corden Eikel, after its crew alerted Iraqi naval forces to the presence of two drones.

One crashed into the water, while the other disappeared from sight, the source said.

Meanwhile, Baghdad is pursuing diplomatic contacts with regional countries in an effort to contain the escalation.

Iraq’s Foreign Ministry said Foreign Minister Fuad Hussein and his Emirati counterpart, Sheikh Abdullah bin Zayed Al Nahyan, discussed by phone ways to create conditions conducive to peaceful understandings that could ease regional tensions and strengthen security and stability.