Lebanon-Israel Talks: A Cumulative Process or ‘Open-Ended Negotiations’?

 A motorcade delegation arrives for a new round of talks between the Lebanese and Israeli delegations at the US Embassy in Rome on August 4, 2026. (AFP)
A motorcade delegation arrives for a new round of talks between the Lebanese and Israeli delegations at the US Embassy in Rome on August 4, 2026. (AFP)
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Lebanon-Israel Talks: A Cumulative Process or ‘Open-Ended Negotiations’?

 A motorcade delegation arrives for a new round of talks between the Lebanese and Israeli delegations at the US Embassy in Rome on August 4, 2026. (AFP)
A motorcade delegation arrives for a new round of talks between the Lebanese and Israeli delegations at the US Embassy in Rome on August 4, 2026. (AFP)

The seventh round of Lebanese-Israeli talks in Rome concluded after three days without agreement on a new pilot zone, while discussions continued over a verification mechanism and other issues. Further rounds are expected as tensions persist on the ground in South Lebanon.

Lebanese lawmakers differed over the point of continuing the dialogue, though most believe the outcome of their outcome cannot be judged based on a single round.

Supporters argued that successive meetings can produce incremental gains and pave the way for more advanced stages of talks despite setbacks and violations on the ground.

Critics said that the lack of tangible results risks turning the effort into “open-ended negotiations” that Israel benefits from.

Laying the groundwork for implementation

Ghassan Hasbani, an MP from the Strong Republic bloc, described the current track as an effort to develop mechanisms aimed at stabilizing southern Lebanon, while acknowledging that conditions have yet to reach a point where renewed war or continued violations can be ruled out.

“The negotiations appear to be preparations for a later, more decisive phase, establishing a mechanism or model for the Lebanese army to take over and deploy in southern Lebanon,” Hasbani told Asharq Al-Awsat.

He added that the broader situation had not reached a final stage that could guarantee that no new round of war would erupt.

Hasbani described the “framework agreement” as a de-escalatory step that could provide a model for army deployment, including the capabilities required and the possible involvement of an independent party trusted by both sides to assist the Lebanese military.

“These are not open-ended negotiations, but a natural progression,” he stressed. “I see the current dialogue as a new or additional avenue for developing mechanisms to maintain stability in southern Lebanon. It is not leading to major, final or decisive agreements, but it is a step forward.”

Criticism

Mohammad Khawaja, an MP from Parliament Speaker Nabih Berri’s Development and Liberation bloc, took the opposite view, saying that Lebanon had effectively entered a phase of “open-ended negotiations,” with Israel turning dialogue into an end in itself without offering political or military concessions.

“Israel negotiates but offers nothing in return,” he told Asharq Al-Awsat.

Citing statements by Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Defense Minister Israel Katz that Israel would not withdraw from Lebanon, the Golan Heights or Gaza, he argued that Tel Aviv had already decided it would make no concessions.

Khawaja reiterated his bloc’s opposition to direct negotiations and criticized the framework agreement, saying it had shifted the entire problem onto Lebanon while giving Israel what it wanted at Beirut’s expense.

He also maintained that Israel benefits from dragging out the dialogue, pointing to its experience negotiating with Egypt and the Palestinians, where some discussions going on for years.

“I see no benefit in pursuing a course that has produced no results for Lebanon,” he added, linking the diplomatic effort to mounting violence in the south. “Every day we see larger and more violent explosions, alongside strikes, killings and the burning of villages, crops and farmland.”

Incremental progress

MP Mark Daou rejected the characterization of the rounds as “open-ended negotiations,” arguing that each has a defined objective and that progress is being achieved through cumulative steps.

“I do not believe we are facing open-ended negotiations or permanent talks for their own sake. Each round has a clear objective and a specific purpose,” Daou told Asharq Al-Awsat.

“The process is proceeding normally, with each stage addressing different goals. Specific issues are raised, addressed and answered before moving on to the next phase.”

Daou viewed Israeli military escalation ahead of negotiating rounds as an attempt to influence their outcome, suggesting such efforts could intensify as political and electoral deadlines approach in Israel.

International pressure, he added, remains focused on compelling Israel to carry out what has been agreed and translate the results into action on the ground, whether through pilot zones or by limiting strikes and violations.

“The war has not yet ended, and Israel still occupies parts of Lebanese territory,” Daou noted. “At the same time, practical mechanisms are gradually taking shape, allowing for interim gains that can be built upon.”

‘Too early’ to call talks open-ended

Former Lebanese ambassador to Washington Antoine Chedid adopted a diplomatic view, saying it was premature to call the Rome discussions open-ended because their primary purpose is to complete the framework agreement and gradually advance to new stages.

“The aim of this round is to continue implementing the framework agreement, which began with the Zawtar al-Gharbiyeh pilot zone, and move to a second phase,” Chedid told Asharq Al-Awsat.

“It is too early to judge this as an open-ended negotiating framework,” he added. “What is happening now involves carrying out specific stages of the framework agreement, rather than launching negotiations without limits or objectives.”



Palestinian Authority Arrests Brokers Over Alleged Sale of Jericho Homes to Settlers

Settlers stand on the roof of one of eight homes they said they purchased in Jericho last Thursday (AP). 
Settlers stand on the roof of one of eight homes they said they purchased in Jericho last Thursday (AP). 
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Palestinian Authority Arrests Brokers Over Alleged Sale of Jericho Homes to Settlers

Settlers stand on the roof of one of eight homes they said they purchased in Jericho last Thursday (AP). 
Settlers stand on the roof of one of eight homes they said they purchased in Jericho last Thursday (AP). 

The Palestinian Authority has arrested several property and land brokers suspected of facilitating the transfer of homes in Jericho to Israeli settlers, amid fears the move could mark the beginning of what has been described as a “Jewish invasion” of one of the world’s oldest continuously inhabited cities.

Palestinian security forces spokesman Maj. Gen. Anwar Rajab said several suspects had been detained in connection with homes seized by settlers in Al-Duyuk al-Tahta, west of Jericho.

Security sources told Asharq Al-Awsat that the brokers were suspected of facilitating the transfer of the properties as part of a plan to enable settlers to take control of an entire neighborhood. The suspects were remanded in custody for 15 days pending investigation.

The case emerged Wednesday when 20 Jewish families entered eight homes they claimed to have legally purchased through the Nachala settlement movement, with the involvement of the Binyamin Regional Council, in an operation described as secret.

The houses are located in Area C of the occupied West Bank, near the archaeological site known as the Hasmonean Palaces.

Israel’s Yedioth Ahronoth newspaper reported that the purchases had been arranged in secrecy, with only a small number of people involved. Even some participants’ wives were reportedly surprised by the move.

Settlers who arrived at the site said they were reestablishing Jewish settlement in Jericho, which Jews regard as their gateway into Palestine.

The takeover sparked an uproar in the Palestinian territories, raising questions about how the properties had been transferred, whether the transactions were illegal, particularly as some of the homes stand on government-owned land, and where the Palestinian Authority had been during the process.

The site lies in Al-Duyuk al-Tahta, within Area C, but very close to Area A, which is under Palestinian administration. Establishing a settlement outpost there would therefore carry serious geographical and political implications.

The Palestinian Authority responded immediately by forming a crisis committee and launching an arrest campaign.

Palestinian Security Forces Investigate Property Transfers

In a statement, Palestinian security forces said investigations into the settlers’ seizure of homes in the Al-Duyuk area of Jericho governorate were ongoing, under close supervision by the relevant authorities and the Public Prosecution.

They said legal measures would be taken against anyone found to be involved, in accordance with established procedures.

The security forces warned citizens against dealing with documents, papers or information circulated on social media about the case or similar incidents, saying such material could be intended to sow confusion and disrupt investigations.

They urged residents and media outlets to rely exclusively on official sources and avoid rumors or unreliable information, some of which was intended to incite discord and disputes within Palestinian society.

The statement reaffirmed the security services’ commitment to protecting citizens and their property and maintaining security and public order. It said any official developments would be announced through authorized channels.

The security forces stressed that they would not allow the case to become a source of rumors or tolerate attempts to undermine public security, threaten property, mislead public opinion or exploit the investigation to spread disorder.

The statement followed the widespread circulation of forged documents seeking to implicate a Palestinian Authority figure, triggering heated debate on social media.

Before the security forces issued their statement, the Palestinian Land Authority rejected claims that preliminary sale transactions, official documents or powers of attorney existed in connection with the properties.

It said such practices formed part of Israeli occupation policies aimed at seizing more land and forcibly displacing residents.

The authority stressed that any action taken by a third party concerning state property constituted a violation of state ownership. It said no allocation, lease or other transaction had been authorized for Plot 14.

According to land records predating 1967, one of the two plots on which the buildings stand belongs to the state, while the other belongs to its historical owners.

The Land Authority maintained that the occupation could not confer property rights and that any measures taken under its authority were null and void, carrying no legal effect.

Israeli Commander Accused of Prior Knowledge

As Palestinian authorities continued their arrests and investigations, a separate controversy erupted in Israel.

Although the Israeli military initially said the operation had not been coordinated with it, Israeli security sources familiar with the matter told Haaretz that Maj. Gen. Avi Bluth, head of the military’s Central Command, had known in advance about plans by settlers and the Nachala movement to take over Palestinian homes west of Jericho.

According to the sources, Bluth met the settlers a day before they entered the properties and asked them to keep the operation secret and not inform field officers until the takeover was complete.

The sources said he had spoken with senior settler leaders involved in the operation, asked them not to disclose his prior knowledge and “wished them success.”

The allegations gained further attention following remarks by former Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Olmert, who also accused Bluth of assisting settlers involved in attacks against Palestinians in the West Bank.

The Israeli military dismissed the accusations as “offensive and baseless.”

Since the settlers entered the homes, the army has had to divert three combat platoons to protect them after the settlers attacked Bedouin residents in a nearby area and forced them to leave.

Israel’s Walla news website reported Saturday that the entry of Israelis into homes near Jericho had prompted two families from the local Bedouin community to abandon their temporary shelters.

The report said the army had contacted the families and offered assistance to prevent their departure, but both decided to leave.

The Israeli military said it had tried unsuccessfully to persuade the families to stay and would therefore work to prevent Jewish settlers from taking over the two vacated homes.

Senior Israeli military officials warned of the risk of further escalation.


Sudan’s RSF Claims New Gains in Blue Nile Fighting

Sudanese refugees walk at the Iridimi refugee camp, northwest of Iriba, in Wadi Fira province, eastern Chad, November 27, 2025. (Reuters)
Sudanese refugees walk at the Iridimi refugee camp, northwest of Iriba, in Wadi Fira province, eastern Chad, November 27, 2025. (Reuters)
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Sudan’s RSF Claims New Gains in Blue Nile Fighting

Sudanese refugees walk at the Iridimi refugee camp, northwest of Iriba, in Wadi Fira province, eastern Chad, November 27, 2025. (Reuters)
Sudanese refugees walk at the Iridimi refugee camp, northwest of Iriba, in Wadi Fira province, eastern Chad, November 27, 2025. (Reuters)

Sudan’s Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and allied fighters said they had captured the town of Maqja in the southeastern Blue Nile region, following clashes that saw them gain control of several other areas.

The Tasis alliance, which includes the RSF and the Sudan People’s Liberation Movement-North (SPLM-N), said its forces had seized Maqja after taking control of Sali, Al-Keili and Bakori.

The alliance’s claims could not be independently verified, although the Blue Nile regional government acknowledged changes in troop deployments and territorial control.

Videos released Friday by Tasis fighters showed members of the RSF, SPLM-N and Al-Bishi Forces, a Blue Nile paramilitary group affiliated with the RSF, inside Maqja.

The Sudanese army neither confirmed nor denied losing the town. However, pro-army social media platforms said no troops had been stationed there when alliance forces entered, claiming the army had withdrawn from the area about three months earlier.

The platforms played down the significance of the announced capture, describing the videos circulated by the RSF-SPLM-N alliance as part of the information war.

Maqja has witnessed fighting between the two sides before. On September 20, Anadolu Agency quoting a local official, reported that the army and allied forces had repelled an RSF-SPLM-N attack on Maqja and Mada.

Maqja lies in the Bau locality in southwestern Blue Nile, connected by local roads to Kurmuk, Al-Damazin and the Ingessana Hills. It lies some 90 kilometers from Al-Damazin, the regional capital.

The RSF and SPLM-N had captured the strategic Sali area in Kurmuk following clashes with government forces in late October and early November.

Army, RSF claim separate drone shootdowns

Meanwhile, the Sudanese army and RSF separately announced that they had shot down drones in the West Kordofan and Blue Nile states.

In a statement Saturday, the army said its air defenses had downed a hostile FH-95 drone that morning over the Ayal Bakhit area of West Kordofan.

The army did not identify the drone’s operator or provide further details.

The RSF, meanwhile, claimed to have shot down a Bayraktar Akinci drone belonging to the Sudanese army while it was flying over the Blue Nile front.

Neither incident could be independently verified. Images of wreckage released by the RSF did not establish the drone’s type or when and where it had been brought down.

Regional government acknowledges military changes

In its first official response to the latest developments, the Blue Nile regional government issued a statement seeking to reassure residents, urging them to rely on official information and refrain from circulating unverified reports about the fall of towns or the collapse of military positions.

The government acknowledged military and security developments in parts of the region, saying military operations required troop movements and changes in deployment and territorial control.

It said it was monitoring the situation in coordination with military and security authorities and working to protect civilians and maintain essential services.

The statement did not specifically deny that RSF and SPLM-N forces had entered Maqja, nor did it clarify where army units had been deployed before the latest developments.

The Blue Nile region lies in southeastern Sudan, bordering Ethiopia and South Sudan. Al-Damazin hosts the headquarters of the Sudanese army’s Fourth Infantry Division.

The SPLM-N, led by Abdelaziz al-Hilu, has long maintained positions in the southern part of the region, particularly near the borders with South Sudan and Ethiopia.


Lebanon Fears New War as Hezbollah Retains Say Over Conflict

Lebanese President Joseph Aoun inspects military units deployed in Zawtar al-Gharbiyeh, South Lebanon (File photo: Lebanese Presidency).
Lebanese President Joseph Aoun inspects military units deployed in Zawtar al-Gharbiyeh, South Lebanon (File photo: Lebanese Presidency).
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Lebanon Fears New War as Hezbollah Retains Say Over Conflict

Lebanese President Joseph Aoun inspects military units deployed in Zawtar al-Gharbiyeh, South Lebanon (File photo: Lebanese Presidency).
Lebanese President Joseph Aoun inspects military units deployed in Zawtar al-Gharbiyeh, South Lebanon (File photo: Lebanese Presidency).

Lebanon faces mounting political and security uncertainty amid fears it could be drawn into a new regional war pitting the United States and Israel against Iran, with the government unable to guarantee that Hezbollah would stay out of the fighting.

The prospect has alarmed Lebanese citizens, who fear renewed destruction and displacement, as well as officials who have limited control over how events might unfold. President Joseph Aoun and Prime Minister Nawaf Salam have repeatedly warned of the dangers posed by the absence of clear assurances about Hezbollah’s intentions.

Lebanese State Faces Dilemma Over Lack of Guarantees

Although the Lebanese government has taken unprecedented decisions aimed at placing authority over war and peace exclusively in its hands, with broad support from Western and Arab countries, a major source of uncertainty remains in its inability to guarantee that Hezbollah will comply with any state decision to keep Lebanon out of a regional confrontation.

Despite officials’ insistence that such decisions must rest solely with legitimate state institutions, Hezbollah’s continued control over its own military decisions and the close connection between its strategic calculations and developments in Iran leave the state facing a complex situation.

A ministerial source said domestic contacts have continued among the various parties but have yet to produce tangible results, apart from statements suggesting that Hezbollah would not enter any future conflict.

The source cautioned, however, that these assurances have not been accompanied by substantive evidence to justify confidence, making vigilance essential at this stage.

The source stressed that the Lebanese state is not weak and that its position remains firm, having adopted clear decisions in this regard. The problem, however, is that the party directly involved in decisions on war is neither cooperating with the state nor responding to its policies, acting instead according to calculations and priorities that differ from those of official institutions.

“The state does not want war or destruction, but the calculations of the other side — Hezbollah — are different,” the source said.

Amid regional uncertainty following the Israeli and US elections, the source said the core problem also lies in the nature of Hezbollah’s relationship with Iran.

Tehran, the source explained, does not treat the Lebanese state as the official authority on this issue. Instead, it communicates with the group it supports, without offering clear guarantees that Hezbollah will stay out of any future confrontation.

The source also pointed to recent remarks attributed to Mojtaba Khamenei concerning the “unity of fronts,” describing them as a signal that cannot be ignored when assessing the possibilities ahead.

Lebanese Prime Minister Nawaf Salam speaks in Aita al-Shaab during a previous visit to southern Lebanon. (Asharq Al-Awsat)

Israeli Threats, US Warnings Heighten Concerns

Developments on the ground have done little to ease fears, with Israeli attacks continuing in southern Lebanon alongside repeated threats.

Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz has threatened to expand military operations and target additional areas of Lebanon if Hezbollah joins any confrontation involving Iran, while Israeli media have discussed possible military scenarios extending beyond the area south of the Litani River.

Israel’s Maariv newspaper published information about possible plans involving an advance toward Tyre, Sidon and Nabatieh, as well as a naval blockade of the ports of Beirut and Tripoli should the conflict widen.

These remain scenarios reported in the media, with no official confirmation that they will be implemented.

The warnings are not limited to Israel.

The ministerial source reiterated that US Secretary of State Marco Rubio had conveyed clear warnings to President Joseph Aoun that Hezbollah’s involvement in any future war would invalidate previous guarantees, potentially exposing Lebanon to far-reaching consequences that could prove impossible to contain.

Regarding the suspension of Lebanese-Israeli talks, the source expressed hope that negotiations would resume and produce results.

The source added, however, that the suspension was not unexpected, as it had been clear for some time that the talks would not take place during the US and Israeli election periods.

Lebanon Faces a Serious Predicament

Dr. Rodrigue Abi Khalil, head of the Political Science Department at the Lebanese University, said the uncertainty confronting the Lebanese state stems fundamentally from its lack of the means to implement its commitments, despite the unprecedented decisions taken by the government to assert its authority and extend state sovereignty.

Abi Khalil told Asharq Al-Awsat that, despite their significance, these decisions run up against the reality that Hezbollah’s decisions remain tied to Iran, preventing the state from controlling the course of a confrontation or keeping Lebanon from being drawn into one.

“Government decisions, however important, are not sufficient for the international community unless they are translated into practical measures on the ground, particularly since Hezbollah will not relinquish this advantage without a political price,” he said.

Abi Khalil argued that Lebanon’s domestic political situation is closely linked to regional developments, leaving the country in a serious predicament as the region approaches a pivotal phase that could see war resume with greater intensity amid US and Israeli efforts to bring about strategic changes in the region.

He said this reality explains the Lebanese state’s uncertainty and apprehension, as a significant part of the decision affecting Lebanon’s fate depends on the outcome of the potential confrontation.

“This connection has been clearly reflected in the course of Lebanese-Israeli negotiations, which have yet to produce decisive results,” he added.

Abi Khalil concluded that “Lebanon is approaching the prospect of another confrontation without having adequately prepared for it, while the state waits to see what outside powers decide rather than controlling the course of events itself.”