Tunisia Inflation Drops for 2nd Consecutive Month

People buy fruits in Ben Arous, Tunisia (Reuters)
People buy fruits in Ben Arous, Tunisia (Reuters)
TT
20

Tunisia Inflation Drops for 2nd Consecutive Month

People buy fruits in Ben Arous, Tunisia (Reuters)
People buy fruits in Ben Arous, Tunisia (Reuters)

The inflation rate eased slightly for the second consecutive month in Tunisia, reaching 10.1 percent in April, against 10.3 percent in March and 10.4 in February, announced the National Institute of Statistics (INS).

The decline in the inflation rate was seen in the decreased rate of food prices from 15.7 percent in March to 15.6 percent last month, and transport services prices dropped 10.2 percent from 11.4 percent in March.

Earlier this year, Central Bank Governor Marwan Al-Abbassi predicted the inflation rate to rise 11 percent in 2023, compared to 8.3 percent in 2022.

On Wednesday, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) warned of a slowdown in growth in 2023 in the Middle East, North Africa, and Central Asia, especially in oil-exporting countries.

Countries with civil strife and armed confrontation, such as Sudan, generally recorded low or negative GDP growth.

The Fund announced that growth in the Middle East would slow this year to 3.1 percent from 5.3 percent in 2022.

IMF Director of the Middle East and Central Asia Department Jihad Azour said that the decline in growth is an acceptable result in addressing inflation, the most challenging economic problem.

Meanwhile, the Fund expected low-income countries to continue to lag with growth at 1.3 percent this year as they struggle with high commodity prices, macroeconomic instability, and country-specific fragilities.

The Fund signaled it was close to completing a financial arrangement allowing Tunisia to secure a $1.9 billion rescue package.

Tunisian dollar-denominated bonds due 2025 were the biggest gainers, rising as much as 2.3 cents to hit a one-month high of just over 53 cents, according to Tradeweb data.

Euro-denominated bonds rose to 1.6 cents.

Tunisian bonds plunged last month after President Kais Saied expressed opposition to foreign "diktats" that could further impoverish the country.

During a briefing on the Fund's latest forecasts for the region, Azour said that reaching a staff-level agreement with Tunisia in September was necessary.

He added that funding to cover the Tunis program had been met and that the authorities had implemented some necessary steps and others still to come.

In a separate interview with "Bloomberg," Azour said the IMF signaled it was close to completing a financial arrangement allowing Tunisia to secure a $1.9 billion rescue package.

He announced that the Fund is almost done with financing the Tunisian deal, adding: "We needed to ensure enough financing for the program. [..] The good news is we are almost there."



Oil Prices Hold Steady on Support from US-China Trade Hopes

 FILE PHOTO: A pump jack operates near a gas turbine power plant in the Permian Basin oil field outside of Odessa, Texas, US February 18, 2025.  REUTERS/Eli Hartman/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A pump jack operates near a gas turbine power plant in the Permian Basin oil field outside of Odessa, Texas, US February 18, 2025. REUTERS/Eli Hartman/File Photo
TT
20

Oil Prices Hold Steady on Support from US-China Trade Hopes

 FILE PHOTO: A pump jack operates near a gas turbine power plant in the Permian Basin oil field outside of Odessa, Texas, US February 18, 2025.  REUTERS/Eli Hartman/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A pump jack operates near a gas turbine power plant in the Permian Basin oil field outside of Odessa, Texas, US February 18, 2025. REUTERS/Eli Hartman/File Photo

Oil prices held steady on Thursday, supported by hopes of a breakthrough in looming trade talks between the US and China, the world's two largest oil consumers. Brent crude futures were up 43 cents, or 0.7%, at $61.55 a barrel, while US West Texas Intermediate crude rose 49 cents, or 0.8% to $58.56 a barrel at 0803 GMT.

The market has almost stabilized at slightly above $61 a barrel, said SEB analyst Ole Hvalbye, which along with some optimism around the current tariff situation with talks due between the US and China, was providing support.

US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent will meet with China's top economic official on May 10 in Switzerland for negotiations over a trade war that is disrupting the global economy. The countries are the world's two largest economies and the fallout from their trade dispute is likely to lower crude consumption growth. At the same time, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies, known as OPEC+, will increase its oil output, adding to pressure on prices.

Analysts at Citi Research lowered their three-month price forecast for Brent to $55 per barrel from $60 earlier, but maintained its long-term forecast of $60 a barrel this year.

A US-Iran nuclear deal could drive Brent prices down towards $50 per barrel on increased supply in the market, but if no deal were to happen, prices could go up to over $70, they added.

Overnight, the US Federal Reserve left the policy rate unchanged, but highlighted the risks of higher inflation and unemployment.

"The Fed signaled that rates will likely remain on hold until the effects of tariffs become clearer. This boosted the US dollar, which added to headwinds facing the broader commodity markets," said ING analysts in a report on Thursday.