Oil Prices Hold Steady on Support from US-China Trade Hopes

 FILE PHOTO: A pump jack operates near a gas turbine power plant in the Permian Basin oil field outside of Odessa, Texas, US February 18, 2025.  REUTERS/Eli Hartman/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A pump jack operates near a gas turbine power plant in the Permian Basin oil field outside of Odessa, Texas, US February 18, 2025. REUTERS/Eli Hartman/File Photo
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Oil Prices Hold Steady on Support from US-China Trade Hopes

 FILE PHOTO: A pump jack operates near a gas turbine power plant in the Permian Basin oil field outside of Odessa, Texas, US February 18, 2025.  REUTERS/Eli Hartman/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A pump jack operates near a gas turbine power plant in the Permian Basin oil field outside of Odessa, Texas, US February 18, 2025. REUTERS/Eli Hartman/File Photo

Oil prices held steady on Thursday, supported by hopes of a breakthrough in looming trade talks between the US and China, the world's two largest oil consumers. Brent crude futures were up 43 cents, or 0.7%, at $61.55 a barrel, while US West Texas Intermediate crude rose 49 cents, or 0.8% to $58.56 a barrel at 0803 GMT.

The market has almost stabilized at slightly above $61 a barrel, said SEB analyst Ole Hvalbye, which along with some optimism around the current tariff situation with talks due between the US and China, was providing support.

US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent will meet with China's top economic official on May 10 in Switzerland for negotiations over a trade war that is disrupting the global economy. The countries are the world's two largest economies and the fallout from their trade dispute is likely to lower crude consumption growth. At the same time, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies, known as OPEC+, will increase its oil output, adding to pressure on prices.

Analysts at Citi Research lowered their three-month price forecast for Brent to $55 per barrel from $60 earlier, but maintained its long-term forecast of $60 a barrel this year.

A US-Iran nuclear deal could drive Brent prices down towards $50 per barrel on increased supply in the market, but if no deal were to happen, prices could go up to over $70, they added.

Overnight, the US Federal Reserve left the policy rate unchanged, but highlighted the risks of higher inflation and unemployment.

"The Fed signaled that rates will likely remain on hold until the effects of tariffs become clearer. This boosted the US dollar, which added to headwinds facing the broader commodity markets," said ING analysts in a report on Thursday.



Kuwait Plans to Return to Globat Debt Market to Finance Development Projects

Undersecretary of the Ministry of Finance Aseel Al-Munifi and Director of Public Debt at the Finance Ministry Faisal Al-Muzaini speak during a presentation of the new debt law. (KUNA)
Undersecretary of the Ministry of Finance Aseel Al-Munifi and Director of Public Debt at the Finance Ministry Faisal Al-Muzaini speak during a presentation of the new debt law. (KUNA)
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Kuwait Plans to Return to Globat Debt Market to Finance Development Projects

Undersecretary of the Ministry of Finance Aseel Al-Munifi and Director of Public Debt at the Finance Ministry Faisal Al-Muzaini speak during a presentation of the new debt law. (KUNA)
Undersecretary of the Ministry of Finance Aseel Al-Munifi and Director of Public Debt at the Finance Ministry Faisal Al-Muzaini speak during a presentation of the new debt law. (KUNA)

Kuwait plans to return to the global debt market this year and is expected to borrow between $10 to $20 billion during the current fiscal year to finance development projects, a finance ministry official said on Monday.

On March 26, the Kuwaiti government issued a debt law that sets the public debt ceiling at a maximum of 30 billion Kuwaiti dinar (about $97 billion), or its equivalent in major convertible foreign currencies. The law also allows the issuance of financial instruments with maturities of up to 50 years.

It is valid for 50 years from the date of its entry into force, establishing a long-term legal framework for regulating public borrowing and liquidity management in Kuwait.

Director of Public Debt at the Finance Ministry Faisal Al-Muzaini said during a presentation of the new debt law that the ratio of debt to gross domestic product (GDP) in Kuwait is minuscule at just 2.9%, whereas it is 60 to 70% in many countries.

Al-Muzaini announced that Kuwait is returning to the financial markets, both domestic and international, for borrowing in the 2025/2026 fiscal year.

He described the move as the largest financial market entry in over eight years, hailing the law as a landmark in public finance reform and saying stating it provides the government with a robust legal framework for managing public debt.

The framework allows for debt maturities of up to 50 years and sets a borrowing ceiling of 30 billion Kuwaiti dinar (approximately $92 billion).

Al-Muzaini added that the Ministry of Finance has outlined a flexible strategy to engage confidently with financial markets while prioritizing competitive financing costs and diversifying the investor base both geographically and institutionally.

One key focus, he said, is developing the local debt market by establishing a yield curve that will serve as a benchmark for future issuances.

“This law sends a strong message of fiscal discipline and credibility to global markets,” Al-Muzaini said. “It is expected to contribute to enhancing Kuwait’s credit profile, drawing wider investor interest, and advancing the country’s transition toward a diversified economy.”

Undersecretary of the Finance Ministry Aseel Al-Munifi said on Monday that the law aims to stimulate the economic environment, attract foreign investments and boost developmental and economic returns for the state. The law, which came into effect on March 27, also seeks to bolster the banking sector and improve fiscal stability, she said.

Al-Munifi explained that the legislation equips the government with modern financial tools, enabling access to both local and international financial markets. These tools, she said, will help secure funding for key development projects.

“The law will support the restructuring of government financing, reduce borrowing costs, and strengthen Kuwait’s credit rating,” she said. “It reflects positively on the state’s borrowing capabilities under competitive conditions and helps build up financial reserves to meet commitments amid evolving economic circumstances.”

Al-Munifi also noted that the new law will serve as an essential mechanism for financing major national projects, particularly in infrastructure, housing, education, and healthcare — sectors included in the government’s general budget for the next five years.

Moreover, she revealed that preparations for the issuance of the long-anticipated Sukuk Law have been finalized. “The draft has been completed by the Ministry and is currently under discussion in relevant Cabinet committees. It will soon proceed through the constitutional procedures for final approval,” she said.