Saudi Arabia Outperforms Goals Outlined in Vision 2030

King Abdullah Financial District in the Saudi capital, Riyadh. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
King Abdullah Financial District in the Saudi capital, Riyadh. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
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Saudi Arabia Outperforms Goals Outlined in Vision 2030

King Abdullah Financial District in the Saudi capital, Riyadh. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
King Abdullah Financial District in the Saudi capital, Riyadh. (Asharq Al-Awsat)

Saudi Arabia has outperformed some of the goals outlined in Vision 2030, such as female workforce participation which increased to 36 percent, ahead of the 2030 target of 30 percent, according to a recent report by PwC Middle East.

The Kingdom’s economic diversification plans are beginning to bear fruit across various sectors, the report said, with the share of the non-oil economy reaching 59 percent, and non-oil GDP increasing in 2022 by 15 percent in actual terms and 28 percent in nominal terms, compared to the pre-Vision baseline.

The report stressed that Riyadh found its way to recovery through the tourism sector and the economic initiatives, which are aimed at expansion, innovation and diversification, indicating that this positive outlook was due to high oil prices and strong balance sheets at the sovereign and institutional levels.

Richard Boxshall, PwC Partner and Chief Economist commented: “The Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) as a whole is making good progress towards achieving its countries’ National Visions, with areas of common focus including non-oil diversification, improving infrastructure, advancing digitalization, creating competitive business environments and workforce nationalization targets for the private sector.”

He continued: “Most GCC countries are also advancing towards their sustainability objectives, such as investing in solar generation capacity. With COP28 on the horizon, we expect the momentum and reinvestments driving this transformation to increase.”

The report highlighted the speed with which the region moved in its endeavor to secure the recovery of the non-oil economy, even in the sectors most affected by the pandemic, namely hospitality, transportation, retail and wholesale trade.

In 2022, the tourism sector in five Gulf countries, namely Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Qatar, Bahrain and Oman, recorded a decline of 8 percent compared to 2019 levels. However, by the last quarter of 2022, three of them, namely Qatar, Saudi Arabia and Bahrain, recorded much higher levels than those registered in the same period in 2019.

PwC Middle East revealed that Saudi Arabia received almost 6 million visitors in the fourth quarter of 2022, up 47 percent compared to the same quarter in 2019.

“Saudi Arabia’s economy has shown great growth since the launch of Vision 2030... The Kingdom’s increased focus on diversity has enabled the country to lead its economic sustainability agenda on a larger scale,” said Faisal Al-Sarraj, partner and Saudi deputy country leader at PwC Middle East.

He added: “This only gives us more optimism that the future for the Kingdom expands beyond Vision 2030 and will continue to lead by example through innovative solutions and transformation.”



Dollar Set to End Week on a High on US Rates, Economic Outlook

A teller sorts US dollar banknotes inside the cashier's booth at a forex exchange bureau in downtown Nairobi, Kenya February 16, 2024. REUTERS/Thomas Mukoya/File photo
A teller sorts US dollar banknotes inside the cashier's booth at a forex exchange bureau in downtown Nairobi, Kenya February 16, 2024. REUTERS/Thomas Mukoya/File photo
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Dollar Set to End Week on a High on US Rates, Economic Outlook

A teller sorts US dollar banknotes inside the cashier's booth at a forex exchange bureau in downtown Nairobi, Kenya February 16, 2024. REUTERS/Thomas Mukoya/File photo
A teller sorts US dollar banknotes inside the cashier's booth at a forex exchange bureau in downtown Nairobi, Kenya February 16, 2024. REUTERS/Thomas Mukoya/File photo

The dollar was on track for its strongest weekly performance since early December on Friday, propped up by expectations that the US economy will continue to outperform its peers globally this year and US interest rates will stay elevated for longer.

The greenback began the new year on a strong note, reaching a more than two-year high of 109.54 against a basket of currencies on Thursday as it extended a stellar rally from last year. A more hawkish Fed and a resilient US economy have led US Treasury yields to rise, prompting the dollar to charge higher.

Coupled with expectations that policies by US President-elect Donald Trump will boost growth this year and potentially add to price pressures, the dollar now looks relentless.

"Looks like dollar strength is here to stay for now in early 2025 given the US exceptionalism story is here to stay, and it still comes with high US yields," said Charu Chanana, chief investment strategist at Saxo, Reuters reported.

"Add to that the uncertainty from policies of the incoming (Donald) Trump administration, and you also get the safety aspect of the dollar looking attractive." Uncertainties over how Trump's plans for hefty import tariffs, tax cuts and immigration restrictions will affect global markets has in turn given the greenback additional safe haven support. Jobless claims data on Thursday confirmed a resilient US labor market, with the number of Americans filing new applications for unemployment benefits dropping to an eight-month low last week. The dollar index last stood at 109, down 0.2% on the day, but on track for a weekly gain of just under 1%, its strongest since early December.

Other currencies attempted to rebound against the firm dollar on Friday, still tracking steep losses on the week. The euro was last up 0.28% at $1.02950 but was headed for a 1.3% weekly decline, its worst since November.

The common currency was among the biggest losers against a towering dollar, having tumbled 0.86% in the previous session to a more than two-year low of $1.022475.

Traders are pricing in more than 100 basis points worth of rate cuts from the European Central Bank next year, while they expect just about 45 bps of easing from the Fed.

Uncertainties around trade policies of the incoming Trump administration are also weighing on the outlook for the euro looking ahead, along with China's yuan and some other emerging market currencies.

"We expect Trump's policy mix to trigger further dollar strengthening, with European currencies – and the euro in particular – coming under pressure from protectionism and monetary easing," said ING analysts in a note. Similarly, sterling ticked up 0.22% to $1.24065, after sliding 1.16% on Thursday. It was on track to lose roughly 1.4% for the week. Elsewhere, the yen rose around 0.24% to 157.085 per dollar, but was not far from an over five-month low of 158.09 per dollar hit in December. The Japanese currency has been a victim of the stark interest rate differential between the US and Japan for over two years now, with the Bank of Japan's caution over further rate increases spelling more pain for the yen.

The yen tumbled more than 10% in 2024, extending its losses into a fourth straight year. China's onshore yuan hit its weakest level in over a year at 7.3190 per dollar, as falling yields and expectations of more domestic rate cuts continued to weigh on the currency.