OPEC Expects its Market Share to Rise 40% in 2040

OPEC Secretary General Haitham Al-Ghais (Reuters)
OPEC Secretary General Haitham Al-Ghais (Reuters)
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OPEC Expects its Market Share to Rise 40% in 2040

OPEC Secretary General Haitham Al-Ghais (Reuters)
OPEC Secretary General Haitham Al-Ghais (Reuters)

OPEC Secretary General Haitham Al-Ghais said he expected the organization’s market share to increase from 30% to more than 40% by 2040.

The increase will come from production decreases from non-OPEC+ countries, Al-Arabiya quoted Al-Ghais as saying.

“This will happen after production decreases from countries outside OPEC+ or outside OPEC. The US production is expected to decrease by 2029-2030, as well as other countries,” he told the agency.

For his part, Kuwaiti Oil Minister Saad Al-Barrak told the Emirates News Agency (WAM) on Thursday that his country would invest more than $300 billion in the energy sector by 2040.

The OPEC energy ministers held a meeting on Wednesday to attend the eighth international OPEC conference in Vienna.

Participants in the meeting reviewed the market conditions and agreed to continue consultations with their non-OPEC counterparts, through the approved mechanisms, including the Meetings of the Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee, and the ministerial meeting of OPEC and non-OPEC countries, in continuation of their efforts to support the stability and balance of oil markets.

During the meeting, the ministers expressed their appreciation to Saudi Arabia for extending its voluntary cut of one million barrels per day, to the month of August.

They also thanked Russia for the additional voluntary cut of 500,000 barrels per day in exports, and Algeria for the additional voluntary cut of 20,000 barrels per day in August.

Meanwhile, the Iraqi Oil Ministry said that Oil Minister Hayan Abdul Ghani met with his Saudi counterpart, Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman, on the sidelines of the OPEC conference.

The two officials underlined the importance of joint coordination between the member states of the OPEC and OPEC Plus to achieve stability in global oil markets.



China Mulls Draft Law to Promote Private Sector Development

A Chinese national flag flutters on a financial street in Beijing. (Reuters)
A Chinese national flag flutters on a financial street in Beijing. (Reuters)
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China Mulls Draft Law to Promote Private Sector Development

A Chinese national flag flutters on a financial street in Beijing. (Reuters)
A Chinese national flag flutters on a financial street in Beijing. (Reuters)

Chinese lawmakers are deliberating a draft of the country's first basic law specifically focused on the development of the private sector, the country’s Xinhua news agency reported.

“The law will be conducive to creating a law-based environment that is favorable to the growth of all economic sectors, including the private sector,” said Justice Minister He Rong, while explaining the draft on Saturday during the ongoing session of the Standing Committee of the National People's Congress, the national legislature.

The draft private sector promotion law covers areas such as fair competition, investment and financing environments, scientific and technological innovation, regulatory guidance, service support, rights and interests protection and legal liabilities.

The draft has incorporated suggestions solicited from representatives of the private sector, experts, scholars and the general public, the minister said.

China left its benchmark lending rates unchanged as expected at the monthly fixing on Friday.

Persistent deflationary pressure and tepid credit demand call for more stimulus to aid the broad economy, but narrowing interest margin on the back of fast falling yields and a weakening yuan limit the scope for immediate monetary easing.

The one-year loan prime rate (LPR) was kept at 3.10%, while the five-year LPR was unchanged at 3.60%.

In a Reuters poll of 27 market participants conducted this week, all respondents expected both rates to stay unchanged.

Morgan Stanley said in a note that the 2025 budget deficit and mix are more positive than expected and suggest Beijing is willing to set a high growth target and record fiscal budget to boost market confidence, but further policy details are unlikely before March.

Last Friday, data released by the country's central bank said total assets of China's financial institutions had risen to 489.15 trillion yuan (about $68.03 trillion) by the end of third quarter this year.

The figure represented a year-on-year increase of 8%, said the People's Bank of China.

Of the total, the assets of the banking sector reached 439.52 trillion yuan, up 7.3% year on year, while the assets of securities institutions rose 8.7% year on year to 14.64 trillion yuan.

The insurance sector's assets jumped 18.3% year on year to 35 trillion yuan, the data showed.

The liabilities of the financial institutions totaled 446.51 trillion yuan, up 8% year on year, according to the central bank.

Separately, data released by the National Energy Administration on Thursday showed that China's electricity consumption, a key barometer of economic activity, rose by 7.1% year on year in the first 11months of the year.

During the period, power consumption of the country's primary industries increased by 6.8% year on year, while that of its secondary and tertiary sectors rose by 5.3% and 10.4%, respectively.

Residential power usage saw strong growth of 11.6% during this period, the administration said.

In November alone, power usage climbed 2.8% from one year earlier, according to the data.