Rise of Interests Predicts Further Decline in Real Estate Financing in Saudi Arabia

 The decline in real estate financing is likely to increase the supply of real estate products in the Kingdom. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
 The decline in real estate financing is likely to increase the supply of real estate products in the Kingdom. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
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Rise of Interests Predicts Further Decline in Real Estate Financing in Saudi Arabia

 The decline in real estate financing is likely to increase the supply of real estate products in the Kingdom. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
 The decline in real estate financing is likely to increase the supply of real estate products in the Kingdom. (Asharq Al-Awsat)

Real estate financing sector for individuals in the Kingdom is expected to witness a further decline, following a decision by the Saudi Central Bank (SAMA) to raise the rates of Repurchase Agreement (Repo) and the Reverse Repurchase Agreement (Reverse Repo) by 25 basis points each.

The volume of real estate financing for individuals in Saudi Arabia recorded a decline during the second quarter of 2023, reaching SAR 16.9 billion ($4.5 billion), compared to SAR 22.7 billion ($6 billion) in the first quarter of the year.

One of the main reasons for this decline is the high interest rate and its impact on borrowing costs, which in turn will be reflected in sales and thus lead to a drop in residential real estate prices.

The head of Amaken International Group, economist Khaled Al-Jasser, told Asharq Al-Awsat that raising the interest rate would affect the financial market, as investors would prefer to withdraw their liquidity and deposit it in banks or valuable assets, thus preserve the value of the purchasing capital, or at least its stability.

He added that SAMA’s decision to raise the interest rate reflected the consistency of financial goals in maintaining monetary and financial stability. He explained that the new move would curb the inflation.

Last month, the Saudi Central Bank decided to raise the rate of Repurchase Agreement (Repo) by 25 basis points to 6.00 percent, and the rate of Reverse Repurchase Agreement (Reverse Repo) by 25 basis points to 5.50 percent. These decisions come in line with SAMA’s endeavor to preserve monetary stability.

For his part, economic expert Ahmed Al-Jubeir told Asharq Al-Awsat that SAMA’s decision would lead to a further decline in the volume of real estate financing for individuals during the next stage, which would affect real estate prices in the Kingdom. He added that the governmental reforms were aimed at containing the inflation rate.

Real estate and personal finance consultant and expert, Suhail Asiri, explained that the decline in the demand for real estate financing was due to expectations for a drop in prices.

“The Saudi Central Bank report reveals that the financing companies sector in the Kingdom has grown by 10.8 percent over the past year,” he told Asharq Al-Awsat.

Asiri added: “The report shows an increase in total assets by 6.5 percent to reach SAR 57 billion ($15.2 billion), and an increase in the total financing portfolio by 10.8 percent to SAR 75.45 billion ($20.1 billion), while financing granted to the individual sector constituted the largest part of the net financing portfolio.”



Bitcoin is at Doorstep of $100,000

Bitcoin tokens and a price chart are seen in this illustration picture taken November 21, 2024. REUTERS/Remo Casilli/Illustration
Bitcoin tokens and a price chart are seen in this illustration picture taken November 21, 2024. REUTERS/Remo Casilli/Illustration
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Bitcoin is at Doorstep of $100,000

Bitcoin tokens and a price chart are seen in this illustration picture taken November 21, 2024. REUTERS/Remo Casilli/Illustration
Bitcoin tokens and a price chart are seen in this illustration picture taken November 21, 2024. REUTERS/Remo Casilli/Illustration

Bitcoin topped $98,000 for the first time Thursday, extending a streak of almost daily all-time highs since the US presidential election. The cryptocurrency has rocketed more than 40% in just two weeks.
Now, bitcoin is at the doorstep of $100,000 and investors do not appear to be phased by gravity or any cautionary tales of the cryptocurrencies history of volatility, The Associated Press reported.
Cryptocurrencies and related investments like crypto exchange traded funds have rallied because the incoming Trump administration is expected to be more “crypto-friendly” than the outgoing Biden administration.
As of 8:30 a.m. ET, bitcoin traded at $97,466 after rising as high as $98,349 according to CoinDesk.
Yet cryptocurrency markets remain a wild place and what comes next is impossible to know. And while some are bullish, other experts are warning of investment risks.
Here’s what you need to know.
Back up. What is cryptocurrency again? Cryptocurrency has been around for a while now but have come under the spotlight in recent years.
In basic terms, cryptocurrency is digital money. This kind of currency is designed to work through an online network without a central authority — meaning it’s typically not backed by any government or banking institution — and transactions get recorded with technology called a blockchain.
Bitcoin is the largest and oldest cryptocurrency, although other assets like Ethereum, Tether and Dogecoin have gained popularity over the years. Some investors see cryptocurrency as a “digital alternative” to traditional money — but it can be very volatile, with its price reliant on larger market conditions.
Why are bitcoin and other crypto assets soaring? A lot of the recent action has to do with the outcome of the US election.
Trump has evolved from a crypto skeptic to a crypto champion and has pledged to make the US “the crypto capital of the planet” and create a “strategic reserve” of bitcoin. His campaign accepted donations in cryptocurrency and he courted fans at a bitcoin conference in July. He also launched World Liberty Financial, a new venture with family members to trade cryptocurrencies.
Crypto industry players welcomed Trump’s victory, in hopes that he would be able to push through legislative and regulatory changes that they’ve long lobbied for. Trump also had promised that, if elected, he would remove the chair of the Securities and Exchange Commission, Gary Gensler, who has been leading the US government’s crackdown on the crypto industry and repeatedly called for more oversight.
Digital assets like bitcoin had posted notable gains in the months ahead of the election, mostly due to the early success of a new way to invest in the asset: spot bitcoin ETFs, which were approved by US regulators in January.
Inflows into spot ETFs, “have been the dominant driver of Bitcoin returns from some time, and we expect this relationship to continue in the near-term,” Citi analysts David Glass and Alex Saunders wrote in a research note two weeks ago. They added that spot crypto ETFs saw some of their largest inflows on record in the days following the election.
In April, bitcoin also saw its fourth “halving” — a preprogrammed event that impacts production by cutting the reward for mining, or the creation of new bitcoin, in half. When that reward falls, so does the number of new bitcoins entering the market. And, if demand remains strong, some analysts say this “supply shock” can also help propel the price long term.
What are the risks? History shows you can lose money in crypto as quickly as you’ve made it. Long-term price behavior relies on larger market conditions. Trading continues at all hours, every day.
At the start of the COVID-19 pandemic, bitcoin stood at just over $5,000. Its price climbed to nearly $69,000 by November 2021, in a time marked by high demand for technology assets. Bitcoin later crashed during an aggressive series of Federal Reserve rate hikes aimed at curbing inflation. The collapse of FTX in late 2022 significantly undermined confidence in crypto overall and bitcoin fell below $17,000.
Investors began returning in large numbers as inflation started to cool — and gains skyrocketed on the anticipation and then early success of spot ETFs. Experts still stress caution, especially for small-pocketed investors.
What about the climate impact? Assets like bitcoin are produced through a process called “mining,” which consumes a lot of energy. And operations relying on pollutive sources have drawn particular concern over the years.
Recent research published by the United Nations University and Earth’s Future journal found that the carbon footprint of 2020-2021 bitcoin mining across 76 nations was equivalent to the emissions from burning 84 billion pounds of coal or running 190 natural gas-fired power plants. Coal satisfied the bulk of bitcoin’s electricity demands (45%), followed by natural gas (21%) and hydropower (16%).