Finance Minister Expects 4.5% Growth in Türkiye This Year

Turkish Minister of Finance Mehmet Simsek speaks on Thursday during the general assembly of the Banks Association of Türkiye. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
Turkish Minister of Finance Mehmet Simsek speaks on Thursday during the general assembly of the Banks Association of Türkiye. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
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Finance Minister Expects 4.5% Growth in Türkiye This Year

Turkish Minister of Finance Mehmet Simsek speaks on Thursday during the general assembly of the Banks Association of Türkiye. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
Turkish Minister of Finance Mehmet Simsek speaks on Thursday during the general assembly of the Banks Association of Türkiye. (Asharq Al-Awsat)

Turkish Minister of Finance Mehmet Simsek has said that Ankara expects the nation's economy to grow by around 4.5% in 2023.

“In 2023, we are forecasting a growth rate of around 4.5% despite all global financial problems,” he said, stressing that “the need for establishing a rebalance in the economy is very clear.”

“We will move forward in a system that embraces the principles of free exchange, and floating exchange,” he said on Thursday during the general assembly of the Banks Association of Türkiye.

The global economy is expected to reach 3% during the coming five years, he mentioned.

“Our country grew by 5.4% in real terms on average in the 2003-2022 period,” Simsek noted.

“As I said before, our main principles are transparency, consistency, predictability and complying with international norms,” he said.

"Funds started to flow into our capital markets, all these developments have eased access to foreign financing opportunities and reduced financing costs."

“The country's risk premium has decreased from 700 to around 400 basis points,” Simek said.

He remarked that international credit rating agencies have started to reveal a more optimistic outlook for the Turkish economy, adding one of the agencies raised the Turkish banking system's outlook to stable from negative.

Moody’s expects Türkiye’s economic growth to slow down, with real GDP expanding at 4.2% in 2023, down from 5.6% growth in 2022.

It expects inflation to stay high at 51% in 2023, although down from 72% recorded in 2022.

The Turkish minister also vowed to further strengthen financial stability in the upcoming period. “Simplification and tightening policies will continue,” he added.

Strong domestic demand poses risks through the current account deficit and inflation, Simsek said.

In another context, Türkiye's unemployment rate fell to 9.7% in the second quarter of this year, down to 0.3% compared to the quarter before, the country's statistical authority said Thursday.

The number of unemployed individuals decreased by 73,000 when compared to the quarter earlier, TurkStat added.

The number of those employed in the same period increased by 151,000 and reached 31.5 million, the data revealed.



IMF Grants Egypt Initial Approval of $1.2 Bln Fourth Review

Santa Claus toys are displayed in a shop with Christmas decorations in Cairo, Egypt, December 23, 2024. (Reuters)
Santa Claus toys are displayed in a shop with Christmas decorations in Cairo, Egypt, December 23, 2024. (Reuters)
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IMF Grants Egypt Initial Approval of $1.2 Bln Fourth Review

Santa Claus toys are displayed in a shop with Christmas decorations in Cairo, Egypt, December 23, 2024. (Reuters)
Santa Claus toys are displayed in a shop with Christmas decorations in Cairo, Egypt, December 23, 2024. (Reuters)

The International Monetary Fund said on Wednesday it reached a staff-level agreement with Egypt on the fourth review under its Extended Fund Facility arrangement, potentially unlocking a $1.2 billion disbursement under the program.

Egypt, grappling with high inflation and shortages of foreign currency, agreed to the $8 billion, 46-month facility in March. A sharp decline in Suez Canal revenue caused by regional tensions over the last year compounded its economic woes.

The IMF said Egypt's government had agreed to increase its tax-to-revenue ratio by 2% of gross domestic product over the next two years, with a focus on eliminating exemptions rather than increasing taxes.

This would give it space to increase social spending to help vulnerable groups, the IMF said in a statement.

"While the authorities' plans to streamline and simplify the tax system are commendable, further reforms will be needed to enhance domestic revenue mobilization efforts," the statement said.

Egypt had agreed to make more decisive efforts to ensure the private sector became the main engine of growth and to sustain its commitment to a flexible exchange rate, the IMF statement added.

The staff-level agreement of the fourth review must still be approved by the IMF's executive board.