Saudi Arabia Expands Inflation Gap with the G20 Countries

Saudi Arabia Expands Inflation Gap with the G20 Countries
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Saudi Arabia Expands Inflation Gap with the G20 Countries

Saudi Arabia Expands Inflation Gap with the G20 Countries

Saudi Arabia was able to expand the difference in the inflation rate with the G20 countries and maintain its advanced position, occupying the second place after China, by recording 2 percent in August.

The General Authority for Statistics (GASTAT) announced Thursday that inflation in the Kingdom registered a further decline in August, after reaching 2.3 percent in July. This current level of inflation in the Kingdom is the lowest in a year and a half.

Compared to inflation rates of the G20 countries in August, Saudi Arabia recorded 2 percent, Indonesia 3.27 percent, Canada and Japan 3.3 percent, each, and South Korea 3.4 percent. The inflation rate in America reached 3.7 percent, Mexico 4.6 percent, South Africa 4.7 percent, France 4.8 percent, Russia 5.2 percent, and the Eurozone 5.3 percent.

The rate in Italy reached 5.5 percent, Australia 6 percent, then Germany 6.1 percent, while the United Kingdom recorded a rate of 6.8 percent.

Türkiye and Argentina came at the bottom of the G20 ranking, registering 58.9 percent and 124 percent, respectively.

As for China, it topped the list with the lowest inflation rate of 0.1 percent.

In this context, experts told Asharq Al-Awsat that Saudi Arabia was still controlling inflation through several measures adopted by the government. Those include the Saudi Central Bank (SAMA) raising interest rates, setting the ceiling for energy prices, and resuming grain exports from Ukraine.

Advisor and Professor of Commercial Law Dr. Osama Al-Obaidi, told Asharq Al-Awsat that SAMA’s decision to raise the standard borrowing rates in line with the monetary tightening policy taken by the US Federal Reserve led to curbing inflation.

He added that the drop of the inflation rate in Saudi Arabia was due to the decline in food prices, the establishment of the ceiling for energy prices, the resumption of grain exports from Ukraine, as well as the decrease of housing and education costs.

Al-Obaidi expected inflation rates in Saudi Arabia to continue to shrink during the remainder of this year, between 1 and 1.5 percent on an annual basis, as well as in 2024.

For his part, Economic Expert Mohammad Al-Anqari told Asharq Al-Awsat that several reasons were behind the drop in the inflation rate in Saudi Arabia, including external factors such as the rise of the dollar against global currencies.

GASTAT’s report indicated that the inflation rate last month was affected by an increase in the prices of housing, water, electricity, gas and other types of fuel by 9 percent, in addition to a rise in the prices of food and beverages by 0.4 percent.



Oil Prices Steady as Markets Weigh Demand against US Inventories

FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)
FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)
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Oil Prices Steady as Markets Weigh Demand against US Inventories

FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)
FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)

Oil prices were little changed on Thursday as investors weighed firm winter fuel demand expectations against large US fuel inventories and macroeconomic concerns.

Brent crude futures were down 3 cents at $76.13 a barrel by 1003 GMT. US West Texas Intermediate crude futures dipped 10 cents to $73.22.

Both benchmarks fell more than 1% on Wednesday as a stronger dollar and a bigger than expected rise in US fuel stockpiles pressured prices.

"The oil market is still grappling with opposite forces - seasonal demand to support the bulls and macro data that supports a stronger US dollar in the medium term ... that can put a ceiling to prevent the bulls from advancing further," said OANDA senior market analyst Kelvin Wong.

JPMorgan analysts expect oil demand for January to expand by 1.4 million barrels per day (bpd) year on year to 101.4 million bpd, primarily driven by increased use of heating fuels in the Northern Hemisphere.

"Global oil demand is expected to remain strong throughout January, fuelled by colder than normal winter conditions that are boosting heating fuel consumption, as well as an earlier onset of travel activities in China for the Lunar New Year holidays," the analysts said.

The market structure in Brent futures is also indicating that traders are becoming more concerned about supply tightening at the same time demand is increasing.

The premium of the front-month Brent contract over the six-month contract reached its widest since August on Wednesday. A widening of this backwardation, when futures for prompt delivery are higher than for later delivery, typically indicates that supply is declining or demand is increasing.

Nevertheless, official Energy Information Administration (EIA) data showed rising gasoline and distillates stockpiles in the United States last week.

The dollar strengthened further on Thursday, underpinned by rising Treasury yields ahead of US President-elect Donald Trump's entrance into the White House on Jan. 20.

Looking ahead, WTI crude oil is expected to oscillate within a range of $67.55 to $77.95 into February as the market awaits more clarity on Trump's administration policies and fresh fiscal stimulus measures out of China, OANDA's Wong said.