OECD Expects Economic Growth in Saudi Arabia to Reach 3.1% in 2024

 The OECD expected Saudi economic growth to accelerate to 3.1% next year. (Photo: Reuters)
The OECD expected Saudi economic growth to accelerate to 3.1% next year. (Photo: Reuters)
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OECD Expects Economic Growth in Saudi Arabia to Reach 3.1% in 2024

 The OECD expected Saudi economic growth to accelerate to 3.1% next year. (Photo: Reuters)
The OECD expected Saudi economic growth to accelerate to 3.1% next year. (Photo: Reuters)

The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) expected the global economy to slow next year, affected by interest rate increases and the disappointing outlook for the Chinese recovery.

On the other hand, the OECD said Saudi economic growth was likely to accelerate to 3.1 percent next year, with the real gross domestic product achieving a growth of 1.9 percent in 2023.

According to its latest forecasts issued on Tuesday, the organization said that the annual inflation rate in the Kingdom was expected to remain stable at 2.5 percent this year, and to decline to 2.1 percent in 2024.

Based on the latest data issued by the Saudi General Authority for Statistics (GASTAT), the Kingdom’s economy grew 1.2 percent in the second quarter of 2023 compared to the same period last year. The annual inflation rate fell to 2 percent last August, compared to 2.3 percent in July.

Earlier this month, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) said that the prospects for the Saudi economy were positive, in light of expectations that the Kingdom’s non-oil GDP growth momentum will remain strong.

In contrast to the promising expectations for the Saudi economy, the OECD said that the growth of the US economy would help curb the global slowdown this year, but added that the weakness of the Chinese economy would constitute a greater obstacle in 2024.

The Paris-based organization said: “Global GDP is anticipated to decline after a stronger-than-expected start to 2023, aided by reduced energy prices and China’s reopening.”

It added: “The effects of tighter monetary policy are becoming more apparent, consumer and corporate confidence are declining, and China's recovery is losing steam.”

The organization expected Chinese economic growth to slow from 5.1 percent this year to 4.6 percent in 2024, as momentum from the end of Covid-19 restrictions is fading and the real estate market suffering.

In June, the OECD forecast growth of 5.4 and 5.1 percent in 2023 and 2024, respectively.

The organization lowered growth expectations in the euro zone this year from 0.9 to 0.6 percent, but expected that next year - with Germany's return to growth - it would rise to 1.1 percent, down from a forecast of 1.5 percent in June.

The OECD advised against easing monetary policy prematurely, emphasizing the need for restrictive measures until there are clear signs that underlying inflation pressures have substantially diminished.



Fire, Smoke Upend Western Canada’s Summer Tourism Season

 A helicopter works a forest fire outside of Jasper, Alberta, Canada, on Friday July 26, 2024. (Reuters)
A helicopter works a forest fire outside of Jasper, Alberta, Canada, on Friday July 26, 2024. (Reuters)
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Fire, Smoke Upend Western Canada’s Summer Tourism Season

 A helicopter works a forest fire outside of Jasper, Alberta, Canada, on Friday July 26, 2024. (Reuters)
A helicopter works a forest fire outside of Jasper, Alberta, Canada, on Friday July 26, 2024. (Reuters)

Severe wildfire seasons are increasingly hurting western Canada's lucrative tourism industry, with some visitors beginning to avoid the busy late-summer months due to concerns about uncontrolled blazes, smoke-filled skies and road closures.

After a scorching start to July, nearly 600 wildfires are now ablaze across British Columbia and Alberta, including a huge fire that this week devastated the picturesque tourist town of Jasper in the Canadian Rockies.

Dozens of communities, including popular holiday spots in British Columbia's Kootenay region, are under evacuation orders and several highways are closed.

This year's surge in wildfire activity comes after Canada endured its worst-ever year for wildfires in 2023, when more than 15 million hectares (37 million acres) burned, including parts of the city of West Kelowna in the heart of British Columbia's wine region.

Ellen Walker-Matthews, head of the Thompson Okanagan Tourism Association, said the industry was seeing a lot more last-minute travel decisions instead of booking in advance.

"It's a huge blow. July and August are traditionally the busiest months in the region," said Walker-Matthews, adding that while her region has been relatively unscathed by wildfires this summer, some visitors are choosing to avoid interior British Columbia altogether.

The members of the British Columbia Lodging and Campgrounds Association are reporting a 5-15% drop in bookings from a year ago, with the biggest declines coming from the hotter Okanagan and Cariboo regions, said Joss Penny, who heads the association.

"The concern is that this is something we have to live with and we have it every year now," said Penny.

Although wildfires in Canada's forests are natural and common, scientists say drier, hotter conditions fueled by climate change are leading to more volatile and frequent blazes.

'SMOKEY SKIES'

Some events, like the Salmon Arm Roots and Blues Festival, usually held in August, have now been rescheduled to earlier in the summer to avoid what is now seen as peak smoke season. The festival, which was cancelled last year due to nearby wildfires, was this year moved to July to benefit from "less smokey skies."

Wildfires and extreme climatic events are prompting tourists to "change their plans not just temporarily, but permanently," said Elizabeth Halpenny, a tourism researcher and professor at the University of Alberta, noting that seasonal workers in the sector are often the hardest hit as they have few protections during a bad season or amid a cataclysmic fire.

Tourism contributed C$7.2 billion to the British Columbia economy in 2022, and C$9.9 billion to Alberta in 2023, according to the latest government data.

Jasper National Park is one of Canada's premier tourist destinations, with more than 2 million visitors a year flocking to see its pristine mountain landscapes and abundant wildlife, including grizzly bears, moose and elk.

Kelly Torrens, vice-president of product at international tour company Kensington Tours, described western Canada as a bucket-list destination. But the company now has 49 trips that were supposed to pass through Jasper this season in limbo. Six others were forced to evacuate the park when the fire hit.

Parks Canada has cancelled all camping reservations within Jasper National Park until Aug. 6 and with potentially 50% of the town's structures destroyed by fire, the cleanup and rebuild could take years.

Halpenny is among those hedging their bets.

"I've booked a campsite stay in the mountain parks but at the same time, I booked a campsite out on the prairie somewhere and that's my backup plan because I don't want to miss out on my vacation with my family."