Saudi Arabia Fortifies Itself Against External Shocks with Proactive Measures in 2024 Budget

Saudi budget expectations for 2024 are positive in light of the developments and challenges facing the global economy. (SPA)
Saudi budget expectations for 2024 are positive in light of the developments and challenges facing the global economy. (SPA)
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Saudi Arabia Fortifies Itself Against External Shocks with Proactive Measures in 2024 Budget

Saudi budget expectations for 2024 are positive in light of the developments and challenges facing the global economy. (SPA)
Saudi budget expectations for 2024 are positive in light of the developments and challenges facing the global economy. (SPA)

Saudi Arabia has taken proactive measures to boost the ability of its economy to face challenges and developments, and to ensure financial sustainability.

This is reflected in the figures in the preliminary statement of the 2024 budget, through which the Kingdom is targeting revenues of SAR1.1 trillion ($312 billion), compared to expenditures of about SAR1.2 trillion ($333 billion), and a limited deficit of SAR79 billion ($21 billion), which represents 1.9 percent of the GDP.

The non-oil sector is a fundamental driver of economic growth in Saudi Arabia, highlighting major success in the process of economic diversification, one of the main goals of Vision 2030.

In a statement, the Ministry of Finance expected non-oil activities to grow at a rate of 5.9 percent during the current year, noting that this rate reached 6.1 percent in the second quarter of 2023.

In a recent interview with Fox News, Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman emphasized the non-oil sector’s contribution to the Kingdom’s gross domestic product, which helped the Saudi economy achieve the highest growth rate among the G20 countries in 2022.

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) also announced last week that the Saudi economy was witnessing an economic transformation after implementing several reforms to reduce dependence on oil, diversify sources of income, and enhance competitiveness.

Reform measures

Experts believe that the structural improvements undertaken by the government have enhanced the growth of the domestic product of non-oil activities, which has been reflected positively on the performance of the country’s general budget.

In remarks to Asharq Al-Awsat, Economist Ahmed Al-Shehri said Saudi Arabia has carried out effective reform and crisis containment policies, supported by financial abundance and high foreign exchange reserves. The Kingdom’s economy stands on solid foundations, which are seen in the results of the state’s general budget in 2024.

Economic expert Ahmed Al-Jubeir told Asharq Al-Awsat that the government has put in place reform policies and measures to protect the economy from global crises.

He added that the policy of economic diversification and support for non-oil activities reflected positively on the performance of the general budget.

Financial sources believe that the expected deficit was due to increased spending on important sectors, such as defense, education and health.

In the preliminary statement for the 2024 budget, Saudi Arabia announced its continued work to raise the efficiency of spending and financial control, the sustainability of public finances, the implementation of economic and financial reforms, and the achievement of the goals of Vision 2030 and its major programs, initiatives and projects.

Local investment

According to the statement, the government will seek to raise the level of services provided to citizens and residents, in addition to promoting the growth of local investment by empowering the private sector and qualifying it to include all regions of the Kingdom.

It emphasized the proactive structural and financial measures adopted by Saudi Arabia to enhance the capacity of its economy, which improved the performance of the non-oil sector and increased the number of workers.

The government said all of these measures would contribute to the growth of the domestic product, attract investments, and stimulate economic activity, while developing public financial performance by increasing the financial space and building government reserves in a way that boosts the economy’s ability to confront global crises.

Economic diversification

Finance Minister Mohammed Al-Jadaan said the government will seek to implement structural reforms, with the aim of developing and diversifying the economy and raising growth rates while maintaining financial sustainability.

He pointed to the launching of many initiatives and strategies that aim to encourage promising economic sectors, improve investment attraction, stimulate industries, and raise the percentage of local content and non-oil exports.

Al-Jadaan underlined the importance of analyzing the financial and economic risks facing the country in order to tailor effective policies and strategies.

According to the Minister, preliminary estimates for next year point to a real GDP growth of 4.4 percent, supported by non-oil activities, amid expectations that the private sector will continue to lead economic growth and contribute to increasing business opportunities and creating jobs, in addition to improving the trade balance.



Firm Dollar Keeps Pound, Euro and Yen Under Pressure

US Dollar and Euro banknotes are seen in this illustration taken July 17, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/ File Photo
US Dollar and Euro banknotes are seen in this illustration taken July 17, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/ File Photo
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Firm Dollar Keeps Pound, Euro and Yen Under Pressure

US Dollar and Euro banknotes are seen in this illustration taken July 17, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/ File Photo
US Dollar and Euro banknotes are seen in this illustration taken July 17, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/ File Photo

The US dollar charged ahead on Thursday, underpinned by rising Treasury yields, putting the yen, sterling and euro under pressure near multi-month lows amid the shifting threat of tariffs.

The focus for markets in 2025 has been on US President-elect Donald Trump's agenda as he steps back into the White House on Jan. 20, with analysts expecting his policies to both bolster growth and add to price pressures, according to Reuters.

CNN on Wednesday reported that Trump is considering declaring a national economic emergency to provide legal justification for a series of universal tariffs on allies and adversaries. On Monday, the Washington Post said Trump was looking at more nuanced tariffs, which he later denied.

Concerns that policies introduced by the Trump administration could reignite inflation has led bond yields higher, with the yield on the benchmark 10-year US Treasury note hitting 4.73% on Wednesday, its highest since April 25. It was at 4.6709% on Thursday.

"Trump's shifting narrative on tariffs has undoubtedly had an effect on USD. It seems this capriciousness is something markets will have to adapt to over the coming four years," said Kieran Williams, head of Asia FX at InTouch Capital Markets.

The bond market selloff has left the dollar standing tall and casting a shadow on the currency market.

Among the most affected was the pound, which was headed for its biggest three-day drop in nearly two years.

Sterling slid to $1.2239 on Thursday, its weakest since November 2023, even as British government bond yields hit multi-year highs.

Ordinarily, higher gilt yields would support the pound, but not in this case.

The sell-off in UK government bond markets resumed on Thursday, with 10-year and 30-year gilt yields jumping again in early trading, as confidence in Britain's fiscal outlook deteriorates.

"Such a simultaneous sell-off in currency and bonds is rather unusual for a G10 country," said Michael Pfister, FX analyst at Commerzbank.

"It seems to be the culmination of a development that began several months ago. The new Labour government's approval ratings are at record lows just a few months after the election, and business and consumer sentiment is severely depressed."

Sterling was last down about 0.69% at $1.2282.

The euro also eased, albeit less than the pound, to $1.0302, lurking close to the two-year low it hit last week as investors remain worried the single currency may fall to the key $1 mark this year due to tariff uncertainties.

The yen hovered near the key 160 per dollar mark that led to Tokyo intervening in the market last July, after it touched a near six-month low of 158.55 on Wednesday.

Though it strengthened a bit on the day and was last at 158.15 per dollar. That all left the dollar index, which measures the US currency against six other units, up 0.15% and at 109.18, just shy of the two-year high it touched last week.

Also in the mix were the Federal Reserve minutes of its December meeting, released on Wednesday, which showed the central bank flagged new inflation concerns and officials saw a rising risk the incoming administration's plans may slow economic growth and raise unemployment.

With US markets closed on Thursday, the spotlight will be on Friday's payrolls report as investors parse through data to gauge when the Fed will next cut rates.