Saudi Housing Sector Reduces Real Estate Transactions by 32%

A general view of Riyadh, Saudi Arabia (Asharq Al-Awsat)
A general view of Riyadh, Saudi Arabia (Asharq Al-Awsat)
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Saudi Housing Sector Reduces Real Estate Transactions by 32%

A general view of Riyadh, Saudi Arabia (Asharq Al-Awsat)
A general view of Riyadh, Saudi Arabia (Asharq Al-Awsat)

The value of real estate transactions in Saudi Arabia has declined by 32% in a week due to the contraction in the housing sector, which has been significantly affected by the record drop in land and villa transaction values.

This has led to a decrease in transaction values to historically low levels, driven by the persistently high mortgage interest rates.

The Saudi real estate stock market index remained stable at 10,014 points last week, keeping the total value of real estate transactions at SAR 5 billion (approximately $1.3 billion).

This resulted in a 6.9% decrease in the overall number of real estate transactions to 5,100 transactions.

In an interview with Asharq Al-Awsat, Ahmed Al-Drees, the general manager at “Al-Mustaqbal” real estate construction company, pointed out that the main aim is to lower prices to make them more accessible to everyone.

The market has recently seen a slight decline in prices, which may be a precursor to a more substantial market downturn.
The cumulative decrease in transaction values will lead to price reductions, especially for investors looking to exit the market or those whose financial capacity has been affected by the recession, particularly those tied to previous financing contracts or facilities.

Al-Drees also believes that mortgage loans are no longer beneficial in the face of rising interest rates, emphasizing that the essence of the problem lies in the excessive increase in property values beyond the reach of a significant portion of aspiring property owners.

This is evident in the noticeable decrease in launching advanced real estate projects, which have significantly declined due to the market conditions.

Al-Drees pointed out that current real estate marketing campaigns are more focused on selling existing properties rather than launching new projects.

Over the past decade, the total market value of traded properties has reached approximately SAR 1.43 trillion (approximately $381 billion).

Within the local real estate market activity, the overall weekly value of real estate transactions has witnessed a 32% decline, influenced by the downturn in all major market sectors, particularly the housing sector.



Dollar Strengthens on Elevated US Bond Yields, Tariff Talks

A teller sorts US dollar banknotes inside the cashier's booth at a forex exchange bureau in downtown Nairobi, Kenya February 16, 2024. REUTERS/Thomas Mukoya/File photo
A teller sorts US dollar banknotes inside the cashier's booth at a forex exchange bureau in downtown Nairobi, Kenya February 16, 2024. REUTERS/Thomas Mukoya/File photo
TT

Dollar Strengthens on Elevated US Bond Yields, Tariff Talks

A teller sorts US dollar banknotes inside the cashier's booth at a forex exchange bureau in downtown Nairobi, Kenya February 16, 2024. REUTERS/Thomas Mukoya/File photo
A teller sorts US dollar banknotes inside the cashier's booth at a forex exchange bureau in downtown Nairobi, Kenya February 16, 2024. REUTERS/Thomas Mukoya/File photo

The dollar rose for a second day on Wednesday on higher US bond yields, sending other major currencies to multi-month lows, with a report that Donald Trump was mulling emergency measures to allow for a new tariff program also lending support.

The already-firm dollar climbed higher on Wednesday after CNN reported that President-elect Trump is considering declaring a national economic emergency as legal justification for a large swath of universal tariffs on allies and adversaries.

The dollar index was last up 0.5% at 109.24, not far from the two-year peak of 109.58 it hit last week, Reuters reported.

Its gains were broad-based, with the euro down 0.43% at $1.0293 and Britain's pound under particular pressure, down 1.09% at $1.2342.

Data on Tuesday showed US job openings unexpectedly rose in November and layoffs were low, while a separate survey showed US services sector activity accelerated in December and a measure of input prices hit a two-year high - a possible inflation warning.

Bond markets reacted by sending 10-year Treasury yields up more than eight basis points on Tuesday, with the yield climbing to 4.728% on Wednesday.

"We're getting very strong US numbers... which has rates going up," said Bart Wakabayashi, Tokyo branch manager at State Street, pushing expectations of Fed rate cuts out to the northern summer or beyond.

"There's even the discussion about, will they cut, or may they even hike? The narrative has changed quite significantly."

Markets are now pricing in just 36 basis points of easing from the Fed this year, with a first cut in July.

US private payrolls data due later in the session will be eyed for further clues on the likely path of US rates.

Traders are jittery ahead of key US labor data on Friday and the inauguration of Donald Trump on Jan. 20, with his second US presidency expected to begin with a flurry of policy announcements and executive orders.

The move in the pound drew particular attention, as it came alongside a sharp sell-off in British stocks and government bonds. The 10-year gilt yield is at its highest since 2008.

Higher yields in general are more likely to lead to a stronger currency, but not in this case.

"With a non-data driven rise in yields that is not driven by any positive news - and the trigger seems to be inflation concern in the US, and Treasuries are selling off - the correlation inverts," said Francesco Pesole, currency analyst at ING.

"That doesn't happen for every currency, but the pound remains more sensitive than most other currencies to a rise in yields, likely because there's still this lack of confidence in the sustainability of budget measures."

Markets did not welcome the budget from Britain's new Labor government late last year.

Elsewhere, the yen sagged close to the 160 per dollar level that drew intervention last year, touching 158.55, its weakest on the dollar for nearly six months.

Japan's consumer sentiment deteriorated in December, a government survey showed, casting doubt on the central bank's view that solid household spending will underpin the economy and justify a rise in interest rates.

China's yuan hit 7.3322 per dollar, the lowest level since September 2023.