Japan Warns ‘Gaza War’ Could Impact Economy

Reflection of the image of passers-by on a screen displaying stock movements on the Japanese Stock Exchange in central Tokyo. (Reuters)
Reflection of the image of passers-by on a screen displaying stock movements on the Japanese Stock Exchange in central Tokyo. (Reuters)
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Japan Warns ‘Gaza War’ Could Impact Economy

Reflection of the image of passers-by on a screen displaying stock movements on the Japanese Stock Exchange in central Tokyo. (Reuters)
Reflection of the image of passers-by on a screen displaying stock movements on the Japanese Stock Exchange in central Tokyo. (Reuters)

Japan's government warned on Monday that the conflict in the Middle East could impact the economy through energy costs, while keeping its view that the economy was recovering moderately.

The concerns underscore policymakers' worries as the rising energy prices have already been a burden for the world's third-largest economy that relies on imports to cover most of its energy needs.

The government added the developments in the Middle East to factors requiring close attention as it "could pose a downside risk to the Japanese economy," said an official at the Cabinet Office, which compiled the monthly report for October.

"There could be a negative impact on Japanese households, consumption, and corporate earnings through higher import cost," he said.

The Japanese government's monthly report also reiterated that careful attention needed to be paid to the effects of rising prices and fluctuations in the financial and capital markets.

The Japanese currency recently weakened beyond 150 yen to the dollar to hit its weakest level since October 2022 when authorities intervened in the market to stem the weakness. The 150 yen line is seen by markets as a danger zone that could trigger an intervention.

As wage recovery is not strong enough to offset price increases, Prime Minister Fumio Kishida's government plans to compile a package of measures to cushion the economic blow from rising inflation on Nov. 2.

Japan raised its assessment on business sentiment for the first time since July and said it was "improving moderately as a whole", according to the report.

The upward revision reflected the Bank of Japan's survey earlier this month that business sentiment improved in the third quarter.

The government also kept its caution about downside risks from the global monetary tightening and worries about the outlook for China's economy.

The report came out ahead of the BOJ's monetary policy meeting on Oct. 30-31 when the central bank will face growing pressure to shift further away from its controversial bond yield control.

Meanwhile, Japanese ruling party executive Koichi Hagiuda said on Sunday that the ruling coalition in Japan hasn’t decided yet whether the tax reduction determined during the term of PM Fumio Kishida would last for more than a year.

Moreover, the Japanese government is currently working to allocate ¥140 billion ($935 million) in the fiscal 2023 supplementary budget to support the companies willing to expand their scope of work in emerging markets.



Saudi Aramco Signs Second Phase of Its Jafurah Gas Field

This picture shows Aramco tower (C) at the King Abdullah Financial District (KAFD) in Riyadh on April 16, 2023. (AFP via Getty Images)
This picture shows Aramco tower (C) at the King Abdullah Financial District (KAFD) in Riyadh on April 16, 2023. (AFP via Getty Images)
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Saudi Aramco Signs Second Phase of Its Jafurah Gas Field

This picture shows Aramco tower (C) at the King Abdullah Financial District (KAFD) in Riyadh on April 16, 2023. (AFP via Getty Images)
This picture shows Aramco tower (C) at the King Abdullah Financial District (KAFD) in Riyadh on April 16, 2023. (AFP via Getty Images)

Saudi Arabia's state oil company Aramco said it has signed contracts for the second phase of the expansion of its Jafurah gas field and the third phase of expanding its main gas network.

The awarded contracts are worth more than $25 billion, and will target sales gas production growth of more than 60% by 2030, compared to 2021 levels.

Aramco President and CEO Amin H. Nasser said the contract awards "demonstrate our firm belief in the future of gas as an important energy source, as well as a vital feedstock for downstream industries. The scale of our ongoing investment at Jafurah and the expansion of our Master Gas System underscores our intention to further integrate and grow our gas business to meet anticipated rising demand."

"This complements the diversification of our portfolio, creates new employment opportunities, and supports the Kingdom’s transition towards a lower-emission power grid, in which gas and renewables gradually displace liquids-based power generation. To get where we are today, a lot of hard work, innovation and a strong ‘can do’ spirit has been demonstrated by teams across our vast network of suppliers and service providers, who have joined Aramco on this journey to build and expand our world-class energy infrastructure,” he added.

According to Aramco, the Company has awarded 16 contracts, worth a combined total of around $12.4 billion, for phase two development at Jafurah. The work will involve construction of gas compression facilities and associated pipelines, expansion of the Jafurah Gas Plant including construction of gas processing trains, and utilities, sulfur and export facilities. It will also involve construction of the Company’s new Riyas Natural Gas Liquids (NGL) fractionation facilities in Jubail — including NGL fractionation trains, and utilities, storage and export facilities — to process NGL received from Jafurah.

Another 15 lump sum turnkey contracts, worth a combined total of around $8.8 billion, have been awarded to commence the phase three expansion of the Master Gas System, which delivers natural gas to customers across the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. The expansion, being conducted in collaboration with the Ministry of Energy, will increase the size of the network and raise its total capacity by an additional 3.15 billion standard cubic feet per day (bscfd) by 2028, through the installation of around 4,000km of pipelines and 17 new gas compression trains.

An additional 23 gas rig contracts worth $2.4bn have also been awarded, along with two directional drilling contracts worth $612 million. Meanwhile, 13 well tie-in contracts at Jafurah, worth a total of $1.63bn, have been awarded between December 2022 and May 2024.

Progress at Jafurah

The Jafurah unconventional gas field is estimated to contain 229 trillion standard cubic feet of raw gas and 75 billion Stock Tank Barrels of condensate. Phase one of the Jafurah development program, which commenced in November 2021, is progressing on schedule with initial start-up anticipated in the third quarter of 2025. Aramco expects total overall lifecycle investment at Jafurah to exceed $100 billion and production to reach a sustainable sales gas rate of two billion standard cubic feet per day by 2030, in addition to significant volumes of ethane, NGL and condensate.