Gold Heads for First Weekly Gain in Three on Fed Pause Hopes

FILE PHOTO: Gold bars are pictured at the plant of gold and silver refiner and bar manufacturer Argor-Heraeus in Mendrisio, Switzerland, July 13, 2022. REUTERS/Denis Balibouse//File Photo
FILE PHOTO: Gold bars are pictured at the plant of gold and silver refiner and bar manufacturer Argor-Heraeus in Mendrisio, Switzerland, July 13, 2022. REUTERS/Denis Balibouse//File Photo
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Gold Heads for First Weekly Gain in Three on Fed Pause Hopes

FILE PHOTO: Gold bars are pictured at the plant of gold and silver refiner and bar manufacturer Argor-Heraeus in Mendrisio, Switzerland, July 13, 2022. REUTERS/Denis Balibouse//File Photo
FILE PHOTO: Gold bars are pictured at the plant of gold and silver refiner and bar manufacturer Argor-Heraeus in Mendrisio, Switzerland, July 13, 2022. REUTERS/Denis Balibouse//File Photo

Gold prices extended gains on Friday and were set for their first weekly rise in three, as investors stepped up bets that the US Federal Reserve is done raising interest rates, pressuring the dollar and Treasury yields.
Spot gold was up 0.2% at $1,985.29 per ounce, as of 0745 GMT, after hitting its highest since Nov. 6 in the last session. US gold futures were steady at $1,985.29.
The bullion is up 2.5% so far this week.
"There's probably a couple of set of sequences in which we could see gold push sustainably through $2,000, and that's a very rapid deterioration in the data, which suggests again that rate cuts are on the horizon," said Kyle Rodda, a financial market analyst at Capital.com.
"Alternatively, the war is still bubbling, simmering away in the background," Rodda added.
Data this week showed the US consumer price index was unchanged in October and the core rate was up 0.2%, weaker than anticipated. Producer prices fell by the most in three-and-a-half years.
Meanwhile, the number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits increased more than expected, which could also help the Fed's fight against inflation.
Market participants revised their forecasts for future Fed action.
Lower interest rates decrease the opportunity cost of holding gold, a non-yielding asset used as a hedge against inflation.
The dollar was on track for a weekly drop, making gold less expensive for buyers holding other currencies, while the 10-year Treasury yield hovered near two-month lows.
Spot gold may have resumed its uptrend and may break a resistance at $1,989 per ounce and rise into a range of $1,999-$2,003, according to Reuters technical analyst Wang Tao.
Spot silver rose 0.5% to $23.81 per ounce and was up 7.2% for the week so far, while platinum was flat at $23.81, but has gained 6.2% for the week.
Palladium fell 0.2% to $1,035.54 per ounce, but was heading for its best week in a year.



Oil Prices Steady as Markets Weigh Demand against US Inventories

FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)
FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)
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Oil Prices Steady as Markets Weigh Demand against US Inventories

FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)
FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)

Oil prices were little changed on Thursday as investors weighed firm winter fuel demand expectations against large US fuel inventories and macroeconomic concerns.

Brent crude futures were down 3 cents at $76.13 a barrel by 1003 GMT. US West Texas Intermediate crude futures dipped 10 cents to $73.22.

Both benchmarks fell more than 1% on Wednesday as a stronger dollar and a bigger than expected rise in US fuel stockpiles pressured prices.

"The oil market is still grappling with opposite forces - seasonal demand to support the bulls and macro data that supports a stronger US dollar in the medium term ... that can put a ceiling to prevent the bulls from advancing further," said OANDA senior market analyst Kelvin Wong.

JPMorgan analysts expect oil demand for January to expand by 1.4 million barrels per day (bpd) year on year to 101.4 million bpd, primarily driven by increased use of heating fuels in the Northern Hemisphere.

"Global oil demand is expected to remain strong throughout January, fuelled by colder than normal winter conditions that are boosting heating fuel consumption, as well as an earlier onset of travel activities in China for the Lunar New Year holidays," the analysts said.

The market structure in Brent futures is also indicating that traders are becoming more concerned about supply tightening at the same time demand is increasing.

The premium of the front-month Brent contract over the six-month contract reached its widest since August on Wednesday. A widening of this backwardation, when futures for prompt delivery are higher than for later delivery, typically indicates that supply is declining or demand is increasing.

Nevertheless, official Energy Information Administration (EIA) data showed rising gasoline and distillates stockpiles in the United States last week.

The dollar strengthened further on Thursday, underpinned by rising Treasury yields ahead of US President-elect Donald Trump's entrance into the White House on Jan. 20.

Looking ahead, WTI crude oil is expected to oscillate within a range of $67.55 to $77.95 into February as the market awaits more clarity on Trump's administration policies and fresh fiscal stimulus measures out of China, OANDA's Wong said.