Oil Prices Steady as Markets Weigh Demand against US Inventories

FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)
FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)
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Oil Prices Steady as Markets Weigh Demand against US Inventories

FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)
FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)

Oil prices were little changed on Thursday as investors weighed firm winter fuel demand expectations against large US fuel inventories and macroeconomic concerns.

Brent crude futures were down 3 cents at $76.13 a barrel by 1003 GMT. US West Texas Intermediate crude futures dipped 10 cents to $73.22.

Both benchmarks fell more than 1% on Wednesday as a stronger dollar and a bigger than expected rise in US fuel stockpiles pressured prices.

"The oil market is still grappling with opposite forces - seasonal demand to support the bulls and macro data that supports a stronger US dollar in the medium term ... that can put a ceiling to prevent the bulls from advancing further," said OANDA senior market analyst Kelvin Wong.

JPMorgan analysts expect oil demand for January to expand by 1.4 million barrels per day (bpd) year on year to 101.4 million bpd, primarily driven by increased use of heating fuels in the Northern Hemisphere.

"Global oil demand is expected to remain strong throughout January, fuelled by colder than normal winter conditions that are boosting heating fuel consumption, as well as an earlier onset of travel activities in China for the Lunar New Year holidays," the analysts said.

The market structure in Brent futures is also indicating that traders are becoming more concerned about supply tightening at the same time demand is increasing.

The premium of the front-month Brent contract over the six-month contract reached its widest since August on Wednesday. A widening of this backwardation, when futures for prompt delivery are higher than for later delivery, typically indicates that supply is declining or demand is increasing.

Nevertheless, official Energy Information Administration (EIA) data showed rising gasoline and distillates stockpiles in the United States last week.

The dollar strengthened further on Thursday, underpinned by rising Treasury yields ahead of US President-elect Donald Trump's entrance into the White House on Jan. 20.

Looking ahead, WTI crude oil is expected to oscillate within a range of $67.55 to $77.95 into February as the market awaits more clarity on Trump's administration policies and fresh fiscal stimulus measures out of China, OANDA's Wong said.



Pakistan Sees Economy on Long-Term Recovery Path Under IMF Program

Pakistan's Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif speaks during the World Governments Summit in Dubai, United Arab Emirates, Tuesday, Feb. 11, 2025. (AP Photo/Altaf Qadri)
Pakistan's Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif speaks during the World Governments Summit in Dubai, United Arab Emirates, Tuesday, Feb. 11, 2025. (AP Photo/Altaf Qadri)
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Pakistan Sees Economy on Long-Term Recovery Path Under IMF Program

Pakistan's Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif speaks during the World Governments Summit in Dubai, United Arab Emirates, Tuesday, Feb. 11, 2025. (AP Photo/Altaf Qadri)
Pakistan's Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif speaks during the World Governments Summit in Dubai, United Arab Emirates, Tuesday, Feb. 11, 2025. (AP Photo/Altaf Qadri)

Pakistan's economy is on a path to long-term recovery, thanks to a stabilization program backed by the International Monetary Fund, Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif said, ahead of a first review of a $7 billion bailout set for early in March.

The comments came in Sharif's meeting on Tuesday with managing director of the IMF, Kristalina Georgieva, on the sidelines of the World Government Summit (WGS) 2025 in Dubai, his office said in a statement.

Sharif underscored the progress made under the IMF's Extended Fund Facility (EFF), which has played a key role in stabilizing Pakistan's economy and set it on the path of long-term recovery, it added.

A three-member IMF mission is currently in Pakistan to conduct a Governance and Corruption Diagnostic Assessment under the country's 2024 Extended Fund Facility program.

On Tuesday, the team met with Pakistan's Chief Justice Yahya Afridi to get details regarding the judicial and regulatory system of the cash-strapped country.

In a post on X, Georgieva said, “I am encouraged by their strong commitment to Pakistan's IMF-supported reforms and support their decisive actions.”

These would help pave the way to higher growth and more jobs for Pakistan's youthful population, she added.

Ahead of the IMF review, the government and central bank have expressed confidence about meeting its targets, even as Pakistan struggles to navigate the recovery, following the bailout secured in September.

Tuesday's meeting focused on the macroeconomic stability brought by the government's reform agenda under the IMF program and efforts to maintain fiscal discipline, Sharif's office said.

He vowed to keep up the momentum for reform, particularly in areas such as taxes, energy efficiency and private sector development, it added.