Iraq Seeking Optimal Investments in Oil, Gas

A handout picture provided by the Iranian presidency shows Iraq's Prime Minister Mohammed Shia Al-Sudani addressing a joint press conference with the Iranian president after their meeting in Tehran on November 6, 2023. (Photo by Iranian Presidency / AFP)
A handout picture provided by the Iranian presidency shows Iraq's Prime Minister Mohammed Shia Al-Sudani addressing a joint press conference with the Iranian president after their meeting in Tehran on November 6, 2023. (Photo by Iranian Presidency / AFP)
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Iraq Seeking Optimal Investments in Oil, Gas

A handout picture provided by the Iranian presidency shows Iraq's Prime Minister Mohammed Shia Al-Sudani addressing a joint press conference with the Iranian president after their meeting in Tehran on November 6, 2023. (Photo by Iranian Presidency / AFP)
A handout picture provided by the Iranian presidency shows Iraq's Prime Minister Mohammed Shia Al-Sudani addressing a joint press conference with the Iranian president after their meeting in Tehran on November 6, 2023. (Photo by Iranian Presidency / AFP)

Iraqi Prime Minister Mohammad Shia Al-Sudani stressed on Sunday the importance of utilizing crude oil prices in the global market in increasing financial allocations through optimal oil and gas investments.

During a meeting with Oil Ministry officials, Sudani underscored the need to advance the vital oil sector in all its aspects due to its importance to the state’s development.

Oil represents the primary source of income for Iraq, he remarked, adding that the government is working to develop the sector, as well as the chemical, petrochemical, and fertilizer industries and the electricity sector.

According to a statement by the Iraqi government, Sudani was briefed on the discussions between the Ministry of Oil and the Ministry of Natural Resources in the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG) to complete the procedures required to resume crude oil exports through the Turkish port of Ceyhan.

He reviewed the implementation of the Ministry’s plans to develop the oil sector in Iraq and projects related to oil and gas extraction, refineries, and exports.

The meeting also tackled investment opportunities announced by the Oil Ministry in 2023.

Meanwhile, a prominent Iraqi official said on Sunday that Iraq has made great strides to expand investment in the gas sector and stop burning operations.

Speaking at the Gas Investment Conference, South Gas Company Director General Hamza Abdul-Baqi Nassir said Iraq is investing in gas from oil fields to meet domestic consumption demands and is considering exporting the surplus to global markets.

The Ministry of Oil has made great efforts to activate licensing contracts with foreign companies to reach a production of 1,000 million standard cubic feet to secure the requirements for energy production and stop gas-burning operations to reduce environmental risks.

Iraq is working to establish a company to absorb all the gases produced, aside from cooperation with the French company Total, he said, adding that it would push towards boosting the capabilities of oil fields and developing alternative energy programs.



US Tariffs Could Slow China's Growth to 4.5% in 2025

People walk past a billboard which reads I love Beijing, Happy New Year at 798 art district, ahead of the upcoming Lunar New Year, marking the Year of the Snake, in Beijing on January 14, 2025. (Photo by JADE GAO / AFP)
People walk past a billboard which reads I love Beijing, Happy New Year at 798 art district, ahead of the upcoming Lunar New Year, marking the Year of the Snake, in Beijing on January 14, 2025. (Photo by JADE GAO / AFP)
TT

US Tariffs Could Slow China's Growth to 4.5% in 2025

People walk past a billboard which reads I love Beijing, Happy New Year at 798 art district, ahead of the upcoming Lunar New Year, marking the Year of the Snake, in Beijing on January 14, 2025. (Photo by JADE GAO / AFP)
People walk past a billboard which reads I love Beijing, Happy New Year at 798 art district, ahead of the upcoming Lunar New Year, marking the Year of the Snake, in Beijing on January 14, 2025. (Photo by JADE GAO / AFP)

China's economic growth is likely to slow to 4.5% in 2025 and cool further to 4.2% in 2026, a Reuters poll showed, with policymakers poised to roll out fresh stimulus measures to soften the blow from impending US tariff hikes.

Gross domestic product (GDP) likely grew 4.9% in 2024 - largely meeting the government's annual growth target of around 5%, helped by stimulus measures and strong exports, according to the median forecasts of 64 economists polled by Reuters.

But the world's second-largest economy faces heightened trade tensions with the United States as President-elect Donald Trump, who has proposed hefty tariffs on Chinese goods, is set to return to the White House next week.

“Potential US tariff hikes are the biggest headwind for China's growth this year, and could affect exports, corporate capex and household consumption,” analysts at UBS said in a note.

“We (also) foresee property activity continuing to fall in 2025, though with a smaller drag on growth.”

Growth likely improved to 5.0% in the fourth quarter from a year earlier, quickening from the third-quarter's 4.6% pace as a flurry of support measures began to kick in, the poll showed.

On a quarterly basis, the economy is forecast to grow 1.6% in the fourth quarter, compared with 0.9% in July-September, the poll showed.

The government is due to release fourth-quarter and full-year GDP data, along with December activity data, on Friday.

China's economy has struggled for traction since a post-pandemic rebound quickly fizzled out, with a protracted property crisis, weak demand and high local government debt levels weighing heavily on activity, souring both business and consumer confidence.

Policymakers have unveiled a blitz of stimulus measures since September, including cuts in interest rates and banks' reserve requirements ratios (RRR) and a 10 trillion yuan ($1.36 trillion) municipal debt package.

They have also expanded a trade-in scheme for consumer goods such as appliances and autos, helping to revive retail sales.

Analysts expect more stimulus to be rolled out this year, but say the scope and size of China's moves may depend on how quickly and aggressively Trump implements tariffs or other punitive measures.

More stimulus on the cards

At an agenda-setting meeting in December, Chinese leaders pledged to increase the budget deficit, issue more debt and loosen monetary policy to support economic growth in 2025.

Leaders have agreed to maintain an annual growth target of around 5% for this year, backed by a record high budget deficit ratio of 4% and 3 trillion yuan in special treasury bonds, Reuters has reported, citing sources.

The government is expected to unveil growth targets and stimulus plans during the annual parliament meeting in March.

Faced with mounting economic risks and deflationary pressures, top leaders in December ditched their 14-year-old “prudent” monetary policy stance for a “moderately loose” posture.

China's central bank is expected to deploy its most aggressive monetary tactics in a decade this year as it tries to revive the economy, but in doing so it risks quickly exhausting its firepower. It has already had to repeatedly shore up its defense of the yuan currency as downward pressure pushes it to 16-month lows.

Analysts polled by Reuters expected the central bank to cut the seven-day reverse repo rate, its key policy rate, by 10 basis points in the first quarter, leading to a same cut in the one-year loan prime rate (LPR) - the benchmark lending rate.

The PBOC may also cut the weighted average reserve requirement ratio (RRR) for banks by at least 25 basis points in the first quarter, the poll showed, after two cuts in 2024.

Consumer inflation will likely pick up to 0.8% in 2025 from 0.2% in 2024, and rise further to 1.4% in 2026, the poll showed.