Saudi Trade Surplus Rises to $12 Billion

The Jeddah Islamic Port (SPA)
The Jeddah Islamic Port (SPA)
TT

Saudi Trade Surplus Rises to $12 Billion

The Jeddah Islamic Port (SPA)
The Jeddah Islamic Port (SPA)

Saudi Arabia’s trade surplus continued to rise for the second consecutive month, registering 44 billion riyals (around $12 billion) in September. This figure marks a significant 27.5% monthly increase, compared to the surplus in August, when it reached 34 billion riyals, but remained in a decline of 31.5 percent on an annual basis.

The General Authority for Statistics (GASTAT) reported a 17.1% downturn in commodity exports, amounting to about 103.8 billion riyals, compared to September of the previous year.

This decline was mainly due to a 17.1% drop in oil exports, which fell to 83.1 billion riyals (around $22.2 billion) from 100.3 billion riyals in September 2022, as a result of the voluntary production cut initiated by Saudi Arabia in May, as part of its commitment to the OPEC+ alliance, aimed at stabilizing global oil markets.

Oil exports represented 80.1% of total exports in September, a slight increase from 80% the same month last year.

On a monthly basis, merchandise exports decreased by 0.1 percent, while non-oil exports, which include re-exports, fell by 17.2 percent to 20.7 billion riyals in September 2023, compared to about 25 billion riyals in September 2022.

Imports also saw a decrease by 2.2%, amounting to 60.1 billion riyals compared to 61.5 billion riyals the previous year.

Meanwhile, China remained Saudi Arabia’s main trading partner, with exports to the country constituting 18.3% of total exports in September.

The top ten export destinations included India, UAE, USA, Bahrain, Oman, Egypt, and Poland, and accounted for 67.1% of total exports. Similarly, the top ten countries for imports, namely China, USA, UAE, India, Egypt, Germany, Japan, Switzerland, South Korea, and Italy represented 62.3% of total imports.

The Jeddah Islamic Port constituted the main port for goods entering Saudi Arabia, accounting for 24.1% of total imports in September, followed by other major ports such as the King Abdulaziz Port in Dammam and the King Khalid International Airport in Riyadh.



Oil Prices Steady as Markets Weigh Demand against US Inventories

FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)
FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)
TT

Oil Prices Steady as Markets Weigh Demand against US Inventories

FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)
FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)

Oil prices were little changed on Thursday as investors weighed firm winter fuel demand expectations against large US fuel inventories and macroeconomic concerns.

Brent crude futures were down 3 cents at $76.13 a barrel by 1003 GMT. US West Texas Intermediate crude futures dipped 10 cents to $73.22.

Both benchmarks fell more than 1% on Wednesday as a stronger dollar and a bigger than expected rise in US fuel stockpiles pressured prices.

"The oil market is still grappling with opposite forces - seasonal demand to support the bulls and macro data that supports a stronger US dollar in the medium term ... that can put a ceiling to prevent the bulls from advancing further," said OANDA senior market analyst Kelvin Wong.

JPMorgan analysts expect oil demand for January to expand by 1.4 million barrels per day (bpd) year on year to 101.4 million bpd, primarily driven by increased use of heating fuels in the Northern Hemisphere.

"Global oil demand is expected to remain strong throughout January, fuelled by colder than normal winter conditions that are boosting heating fuel consumption, as well as an earlier onset of travel activities in China for the Lunar New Year holidays," the analysts said.

The market structure in Brent futures is also indicating that traders are becoming more concerned about supply tightening at the same time demand is increasing.

The premium of the front-month Brent contract over the six-month contract reached its widest since August on Wednesday. A widening of this backwardation, when futures for prompt delivery are higher than for later delivery, typically indicates that supply is declining or demand is increasing.

Nevertheless, official Energy Information Administration (EIA) data showed rising gasoline and distillates stockpiles in the United States last week.

The dollar strengthened further on Thursday, underpinned by rising Treasury yields ahead of US President-elect Donald Trump's entrance into the White House on Jan. 20.

Looking ahead, WTI crude oil is expected to oscillate within a range of $67.55 to $77.95 into February as the market awaits more clarity on Trump's administration policies and fresh fiscal stimulus measures out of China, OANDA's Wong said.