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UAE Expects Exports to Increase by 33% Through Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreements

The UAE’s Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement (CEPA) is expected to increase the UAE’s exports by 33%. (WAM)
The UAE’s Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement (CEPA) is expected to increase the UAE’s exports by 33%. (WAM)
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UAE Expects Exports to Increase by 33% Through Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreements

The UAE’s Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement (CEPA) is expected to increase the UAE’s exports by 33%. (WAM)
The UAE’s Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement (CEPA) is expected to increase the UAE’s exports by 33%. (WAM)

The UAE’s Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement (CEPA) is expected to increase the UAE’s exports by 33%.

The CEPA program is projected to contribute more than AED153 billion ($41.6 billion) to the national GDP by 2031 - representing growth of almost 10 percent in 2022.

According to a recent report, three deals were implemented in 2023, two more signed and awaiting implementation, and four were agreed upon their terms, in addition to a partnership agreement with India - taking the total number of CEPA partners since the launch of the program to 10.

Over the course of a pivotal year for trade, the UAE’s CEPAs with Türkiye, Indonesia, and Israel came into force, removing or reducing tariffs, eliminating trade barriers, and opening up market opportunities for exporters and investors.

In addition, CEPAs were signed with the emerging economies of Cambodia and Georgia, both of which will be implemented in the first half of 2024, while terms were also agreed upon for CEPAs with South Korea, Colombia, Mauritius, and Congo-Brazzaville.

The UAE also commenced CEPA negotiations with a number of other countries, including Serbia, Ukraine, Eurasia, Australia, the Philippines, Malaysia, Costa Rica, Kenya, Chile and Vietnam.

Economic partnership

The UAE's Minister of State for Foreign Trade, Thani al-Zeyoudi, stressed that the year 2023 witnessed a number of achievements within the UAE’s foreign agenda through the CEPA program.

He also noted that the flagship CEPA program has secured access to markets that account for nearly 2 billion people, or a quarter of the world’s population.

“Trade has always been important to the UAE, a bridge that has connected our products, skills and natural resources to the world and infused our economy with its latest ideas and innovations. But, as underlined by the ‘We the UAE 2031’ vision, launched at the end of 2022 by Sheikh Mohammed bin Rashid Al Maktoum, Vice President and Prime Minister of the UAE and Ruler of Dubai, it is now a cornerstone of our economic development and diversification ambitions.”

Al-Zeyoudi also highlighted that, in the first half of 2023, the UAE’s non-oil foreign trade reached an all-time high of AED1.24 trillion ($337 billion), with exports climbing to AED205 billion ($55.8 billion) - another record.

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Growth of Non-Oil Sectors Position Saudi Arabia Among Leading Global Economies

 King Abdullah Port, Saudi Arabia (Asharq Al-Awsat)
 King Abdullah Port, Saudi Arabia (Asharq Al-Awsat)
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Growth of Non-Oil Sectors Position Saudi Arabia Among Leading Global Economies

 King Abdullah Port, Saudi Arabia (Asharq Al-Awsat)
 King Abdullah Port, Saudi Arabia (Asharq Al-Awsat)

Saudi Arabia’s economy continued its upward trajectory in 2024, solidifying its status as one of the world’s most stable and fastest-growing markets. This momentum is being driven by the Kingdom’s unwavering commitment to economic diversification — a central pillar of Vision 2030 — which has significantly boosted non-oil sectors, expanded private sector participation, and increased the economy’s ability to generate jobs and attract investment.

Non-oil activities now contribute a record 51% to real GDP, marking a major milestone in the country’s transformation journey.

According to the Vision 2030 annual report, Saudi Arabia’s real non-oil GDP grew by 3.9% in 2024 compared to the previous year, fueled by ongoing investments across diverse sectors. Non-oil activities alone expanded by 4.3% year-on-year, reflecting the success of structural reforms and strategic national programs.

At the heart of Vision 2030 is the ambition to build a thriving economy. One of the key benchmarks is improving Saudi Arabia’s position in global GDP rankings. In 2016, the Kingdom ranked 20th worldwide. By 2030, it aims to break into the top 15, with a targeted GDP of SAR 6.5 trillion ($1.7 trillion).

In early 2024, Saudi Arabia adopted a new moving-chain methodology to measure GDP more accurately. Under this updated system, real GDP has grown consistently since 2016 at a compound annual rate of 1.75%, excluding the pandemic-induced downturn in 2020. Non-oil GDP, meanwhile, has shown even stronger performance, expanding at a 3.01% annual pace over the same period.

While the 2024 non-oil GDP target was narrowly missed, the outcome reached 98% of the goal — a strong showing amid global uncertainties. Leading contributors included wholesale and retail trade, hospitality, transportation, logistics, and information technology.

Non-oil exports also played a pivotal role in economic growth, achieving over 75% of their annual targets. Gains came primarily from increased exports of non-oil goods and a sharp rise in re-exports, underlining Saudi Arabia’s growing role in global trade flows.

The private sector’s role in the economy has expanded significantly, with its contribution to GDP reaching 47% — surpassing the 2024 target. Since 2016, this contribution has grown at a compound annual rate of 1.94%.

This progress reflects ongoing efforts to reduce reliance on oil, empower private enterprise, and enhance the Kingdom’s global competitiveness. Key initiatives include national strategies aimed at unlocking sectoral potential, the Public Investment Fund’s push to stimulate private capital, and the successful drive to attract global companies to relocate their regional headquarters to Saudi Arabia.

The government continues to foster a dynamic business environment, supporting small and medium enterprises (SMEs) through regulatory reforms and major development projects. These efforts span several sectors, including manufacturing, transport, logistics, and foreign investment.

Global Confidence, Positive Outlook

International confidence in the Saudi economy remains strong. In 2024, the world’s top three credit rating agencies affirmed the Kingdom’s sovereign creditworthiness. Moody’s assigned a rating of “Aa3” with a stable outlook; Fitch rated it “A+” with a stable outlook; and S&P awarded an “A/A-1” rating, also with a stable outlook.

Global institutions are also optimistic about the Kingdom’s growth prospects. The Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) forecasts Saudi economic growth at 3.8% in 2025 and 3.6% in 2026 — well above the global average.