Growth of Non-Oil Sectors Position Saudi Arabia Among Leading Global Economies

 King Abdullah Port, Saudi Arabia (Asharq Al-Awsat)
 King Abdullah Port, Saudi Arabia (Asharq Al-Awsat)
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Growth of Non-Oil Sectors Position Saudi Arabia Among Leading Global Economies

 King Abdullah Port, Saudi Arabia (Asharq Al-Awsat)
 King Abdullah Port, Saudi Arabia (Asharq Al-Awsat)

Saudi Arabia’s economy continued its upward trajectory in 2024, solidifying its status as one of the world’s most stable and fastest-growing markets. This momentum is being driven by the Kingdom’s unwavering commitment to economic diversification — a central pillar of Vision 2030 — which has significantly boosted non-oil sectors, expanded private sector participation, and increased the economy’s ability to generate jobs and attract investment.

Non-oil activities now contribute a record 51% to real GDP, marking a major milestone in the country’s transformation journey.

According to the Vision 2030 annual report, Saudi Arabia’s real non-oil GDP grew by 3.9% in 2024 compared to the previous year, fueled by ongoing investments across diverse sectors. Non-oil activities alone expanded by 4.3% year-on-year, reflecting the success of structural reforms and strategic national programs.

At the heart of Vision 2030 is the ambition to build a thriving economy. One of the key benchmarks is improving Saudi Arabia’s position in global GDP rankings. In 2016, the Kingdom ranked 20th worldwide. By 2030, it aims to break into the top 15, with a targeted GDP of SAR 6.5 trillion ($1.7 trillion).

In early 2024, Saudi Arabia adopted a new moving-chain methodology to measure GDP more accurately. Under this updated system, real GDP has grown consistently since 2016 at a compound annual rate of 1.75%, excluding the pandemic-induced downturn in 2020. Non-oil GDP, meanwhile, has shown even stronger performance, expanding at a 3.01% annual pace over the same period.

While the 2024 non-oil GDP target was narrowly missed, the outcome reached 98% of the goal — a strong showing amid global uncertainties. Leading contributors included wholesale and retail trade, hospitality, transportation, logistics, and information technology.

Non-oil exports also played a pivotal role in economic growth, achieving over 75% of their annual targets. Gains came primarily from increased exports of non-oil goods and a sharp rise in re-exports, underlining Saudi Arabia’s growing role in global trade flows.

The private sector’s role in the economy has expanded significantly, with its contribution to GDP reaching 47% — surpassing the 2024 target. Since 2016, this contribution has grown at a compound annual rate of 1.94%.

This progress reflects ongoing efforts to reduce reliance on oil, empower private enterprise, and enhance the Kingdom’s global competitiveness. Key initiatives include national strategies aimed at unlocking sectoral potential, the Public Investment Fund’s push to stimulate private capital, and the successful drive to attract global companies to relocate their regional headquarters to Saudi Arabia.

The government continues to foster a dynamic business environment, supporting small and medium enterprises (SMEs) through regulatory reforms and major development projects. These efforts span several sectors, including manufacturing, transport, logistics, and foreign investment.

Global Confidence, Positive Outlook

International confidence in the Saudi economy remains strong. In 2024, the world’s top three credit rating agencies affirmed the Kingdom’s sovereign creditworthiness. Moody’s assigned a rating of “Aa3” with a stable outlook; Fitch rated it “A+” with a stable outlook; and S&P awarded an “A/A-1” rating, also with a stable outlook.

Global institutions are also optimistic about the Kingdom’s growth prospects. The Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) forecasts Saudi economic growth at 3.8% in 2025 and 3.6% in 2026 — well above the global average.

 

 



Oil Prices Dip after Iran Says Dozens of Vessels are Crossing Hormuz

(FILES) The price per litre of unleaded petrol and diesel is pictured in front a Shell petrol station in Wrotham Heath, south east England on May 7, 2026. British energy giant Shell announced on May 7, 2026 a 19-percent increase in net profits for the first quarter as the Middle East war sent oil and gas prices soaring in volatile trading. (Photo by Ben STANSALL / AFP)
(FILES) The price per litre of unleaded petrol and diesel is pictured in front a Shell petrol station in Wrotham Heath, south east England on May 7, 2026. British energy giant Shell announced on May 7, 2026 a 19-percent increase in net profits for the first quarter as the Middle East war sent oil and gas prices soaring in volatile trading. (Photo by Ben STANSALL / AFP)
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Oil Prices Dip after Iran Says Dozens of Vessels are Crossing Hormuz

(FILES) The price per litre of unleaded petrol and diesel is pictured in front a Shell petrol station in Wrotham Heath, south east England on May 7, 2026. British energy giant Shell announced on May 7, 2026 a 19-percent increase in net profits for the first quarter as the Middle East war sent oil and gas prices soaring in volatile trading. (Photo by Ben STANSALL / AFP)
(FILES) The price per litre of unleaded petrol and diesel is pictured in front a Shell petrol station in Wrotham Heath, south east England on May 7, 2026. British energy giant Shell announced on May 7, 2026 a 19-percent increase in net profits for the first quarter as the Middle East war sent oil and gas prices soaring in volatile trading. (Photo by Ben STANSALL / AFP)

Oil prices dipped on Thursday after Iran's state media said about 30 vessels had crossed the Strait of Hormuz in recent hours while the semi-official Fars news agency cited a source saying Iran had begun allowing transit for some Chinese vessels.

Meanwhile, the White House, speaking of US President Donald Trump's meeting with Chinese President Xi Jinping, said both leaders agreed the Strait of Hormuz must be open for the free flow of energy. Xi said the "rejuvenation of China" and "Make America Great Again" can go hand in hand.

Easing from an earlier high of $107.13 a barrel, Brent crude oil futures were down 60 cents, or 0.6%, to $105.03 a barrel at 1422 GMT. US West Texas Intermediate futures dropped 52 cents, or 0.5%, to $100.50.

Both contracts fell on Wednesday as investors worried about possible US interest rate hikes as higher fuel prices spur inflationary pressures. Brent crude futures lost more than $2 a barrel, while WTI futures dropped more than $1.

Xi expressed interest in purchasing more US oil to reduce China's dependence on the Strait of Hormuz, according to the White House. China, never a big buyer of US crude, has not imported any since May 2025 due to a 20% import tariff imposed during the trade war.

The Strait of Hormuz, a key energy gateway, has been largely shut since the Iran war broke out at the end of February.

Iran appears to have tightened its control over the strait, cutting deals with Iraq and Pakistan to ship oil and liquefied natural gas from the region.

Before the Fars report, a Chinese supertanker carrying 2 million barrels of Iraqi crude sailed through the strait on Wednesday after being stranded in the Gulf for more than two months.

A Panama-flagged crude oil tanker managed by Japanese refining group Eneos has also passed through the strait, ship-tracking data from LSEG showed on Thursday, the second instance of a Japan-linked oil ship making it through.

Global oil supply will fall short of total demand this year as inventories are drained at an unprecedented pace, the International Energy Agency said on Wednesday.

In the United States, crude inventories fell by 4.3 million barrels to 452.9 million barrels for the week ended May 8 on rising exports, the EIA said, although distillates stockpiles rose, in opposition to expectations of a draw.


Türkiye Raises End-2026 Inflation Target to 24%

FILE PHOTO: A view of the city's business and financial districts, from the July 15 Martyrs' Bridge, known as the Bosphorus Bridge, which links the city's Asian and European sides, in Istanbul, Türkiye, November 2, 2025. REUTERS/Murad Sezer/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A view of the city's business and financial districts, from the July 15 Martyrs' Bridge, known as the Bosphorus Bridge, which links the city's Asian and European sides, in Istanbul, Türkiye, November 2, 2025. REUTERS/Murad Sezer/File Photo
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Türkiye Raises End-2026 Inflation Target to 24%

FILE PHOTO: A view of the city's business and financial districts, from the July 15 Martyrs' Bridge, known as the Bosphorus Bridge, which links the city's Asian and European sides, in Istanbul, Türkiye, November 2, 2025. REUTERS/Murad Sezer/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A view of the city's business and financial districts, from the July 15 Martyrs' Bridge, known as the Bosphorus Bridge, which links the city's Asian and European sides, in Istanbul, Türkiye, November 2, 2025. REUTERS/Murad Sezer/File Photo

Türkiye's central bank raised its end-2026 interim inflation target to 24% from 16% Governor Fatih Karahan said on Thursday, forecasting that the inflationary effects related to the Iran war would remain pronounced in the short term.

Presenting the central bank's quarterly inflation report in Istanbul, Karahan said the bank also lifted its end-2027 interim inflation target ⁠to 15% from ⁠9%, setting its end-2028 interim target at 9%.

"While the central question before us is how long the regional tensions and pressures on energy supply will persist, we assess that the related inflationary effects ⁠will remain pronounced in the short term," Reuters quoted Karahan as saying.

He said that how long the tension lasts is a critical risk factor in terms of the inflation outlook, adding that there would be no compromise on the bank's determination to bring down inflation and it will continue to use all available tools for disinflation.

In the previous quarterly inflation report ⁠in ⁠February, the bank raised its year-end inflation forecast range by two percentage points to 15-21% and maintained its interim 16% target, despite market doubts about whether the downward trend seen throughout 2025 is on track.

The war-related surge in energy prices has rattled import-heavy economies like Türkiye. Monthly inflation surged to 4.18% in April and 32.37% on the year.


UK Economy Shows Unexpected Growth of 0.3% in March

Union flags flutter in the breeze close to the Victoria Tower and Palace of Westminster, home to the two houses of Parliament, after the State Opening of Parliament in London on May 13, 2026. (Photo by Adrian DENNIS / AFP)
Union flags flutter in the breeze close to the Victoria Tower and Palace of Westminster, home to the two houses of Parliament, after the State Opening of Parliament in London on May 13, 2026. (Photo by Adrian DENNIS / AFP)
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UK Economy Shows Unexpected Growth of 0.3% in March

Union flags flutter in the breeze close to the Victoria Tower and Palace of Westminster, home to the two houses of Parliament, after the State Opening of Parliament in London on May 13, 2026. (Photo by Adrian DENNIS / AFP)
Union flags flutter in the breeze close to the Victoria Tower and Palace of Westminster, home to the two houses of Parliament, after the State Opening of Parliament in London on May 13, 2026. (Photo by Adrian DENNIS / AFP)

Britain's economy expanded unexpectedly in March to cap another strong first quarter, suggesting the economy was in slightly better shape as the Iran war escalated than many feared, official data showed on Thursday.

Gross domestic product increased by 0.3% month-on-month in March, the Office for National Statistics (ONS) said, against expectations in a Reuters poll of economists for a 0.2% contraction.

The ⁠services sector, construction ⁠output and manufacturing all grew strongly.

"Many will be unconvinced that this momentum can be sustained throughout this year," said Scott Gardner, investment strategist at J.P. Morgan Personal Investing.

"The risk is that ⁠the energy price spike following the start of the Iran conflict will persist and lead to a rebound in inflation."

Recent business surveys point to a rapid increase in cost pressures that is likely to weigh on corporate activity.

For the first quarter as a whole, the economy expanded by 0.6% - marking the third year ⁠running ⁠of conspicuously strong growth in the first quarter.

The ONS on Thursday published a blog that acknowledged there may be post-pandemic shifts in the timing of spending in the economy, and nudged down its readings for the first quarters of 2024 and 2025.

Finance minister Rachel Reeves said the data showed she had the right economic plan.