India Increases Oil Imports from Saudi Arabia in December

An employee inside an oil refinery in India (Reuters)
An employee inside an oil refinery in India (Reuters)
TT
20

India Increases Oil Imports from Saudi Arabia in December

An employee inside an oil refinery in India (Reuters)
An employee inside an oil refinery in India (Reuters)

India increased imports of Saudi oil in December as payment problems drove its Russian oil buys to an 11-month low, with at least five cargoes of the sweet Sokol variant heading to other locations, data from vessel tracking agencies showed.
Indian Oil Corp (IOC) which was set to get the Sokol oil, had to withdraw from its inventory and buy from the Middle East to make up the shortfall, sources told Reuters last month.
Top refiner IOC is the only state-run firm with an annual deal to buy a variety of Russian grades, including Sokol, from Russian oil major Rosneft.
India's oil imports from Russia in December declined between 16% and 22%, according to Reuters calculation based on data from flow tracking agencies Vortexa, Kpler, and the London Stock Exchange (LSEG).
However, data from Kpler and Vortexa showed that India's imports of Saudi oil rose by about 4%.
LSEG data shows India's monthly Russian oil imports declining by 22% to 1.21 million barrels per day (bpd) in December, while Kpler shows a drop of 16% to 1.39 million bpd.
Meanwhile, oil prices jumped by more than 2 percent on Tuesday, in the first session of the new year, amid fears of a possible disruption of supplies from the Middle East and hopes of an improving demand outlook in China.
Brent crude rose $1.58, or 2 percent, to $78.62 per barrel. US West Texas Intermediate crude recorded $73.21 per barrel, an increase of $1.56, or 2.2 percent.

The risks of the conflict between Israel and the Gaza Strip becoming a broader regional conflict increased over the weekend after US helicopters returned fire against Houthi boats that targeted the Maersk Hanzghou in the Red Sea.
A spokesman for Maersk said the company would decide on Tuesday whether to resume operating through the Suez Canal from the Red Sea or redirect them around Africa after an attack on one of its ships over the weekend.
Leon Li, a Shanghai-based CMC Markets analyst, told Reuters that the oil price may be affected by the escalation in the Red Sea over the weekend and the peak demand season during China's Spring Festival.
The expansion of the conflict in Gaza could lead to the closure of vital waterways for transporting oil supplies.
Li added that forecasts for increased demand during China's Lunar New Year holiday in February also raised expectations for price increases this month.
At least four tankers transporting diesel and jet fuel from the Middle East and India to Europe are taking the longer route around Africa to avoid the Red Sea, ship tracking data show.
China's manufacturing activity shrank for a third straight month in December and weakened more than expected, clouding the outlook for the country's economic recovery and raising the case for fresh stimulus measures in the new year.



Oil Extends Climb on Supply Fears, Trade War Concerns Cap Gains

FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)
FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)
TT
20

Oil Extends Climb on Supply Fears, Trade War Concerns Cap Gains

FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)
FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)

Oil prices inched higher on Tuesday after threats by US President Donald Trump to impose secondary tariffs on Russian crude and attack Iran, though worries about the impact of a trade war on global growth capped gains.

Brent futures rose 21 cents, or 0.3%, to $74.98 a barrel at 0645 GMT, while US West Texas Intermediate crude futures climbed 22 cents, or 0.3%, to $71.70.

The contracts settled at five-week highs a day earlier.

"Near-term risks are skewed to the upside, with US threats of secondary tariffs on Russian and Iranian oil leading market participants to price for the risks of tighter oil supplies," said Yeap Jun Rong, market strategist at IG, Reuters reported.

However, broader themes still revolve around concerns of upcoming tariffs weighing on global demand, along with prospects of increased supply from OPEC+ and the US, said Yeap.

A Reuters poll of 49 economists and analysts in March projected that oil prices would remain under pressure this year from US tariffs and economic slowdowns in India and China, while OPEC+ increases supply.

Slower global growth would dent fuel demand, which might offset any reduction in supply due to Trump's threats.

After news of Trump's threats initially boosted prices on Monday, traders told Reuters they viewed the president's warnings to Russia, at least, as a bluff.

Trump, on Sunday, told NBC News that he was very angry with Russian President Vladimir Putin and would impose secondary tariffs of 25% to 50% on Russian oil buyers if Moscow tries to block efforts to end the war in Ukraine.

Tariffs on buyers of oil from Russia, the world's second largest oil exporter, would disrupt global supply and hurt Moscow's biggest customers, China and India.

Trump also threatened Iran with similar tariffs and bombings if Tehran did not reach an agreement with the White House over its nuclear program.

"For now, it appears to be just a threat to Russia and Iran. However, if it becomes a reality, it creates plenty of upside risk to the market given the significant oil export volumes from both countries," said ING commodities strategists on Tuesday.

The market will be watching for weekly inventory data from US industry group the American Petroleum Institute later on Tuesday, ahead of official statistics from the Energy Information Administration on Wednesday.

Five analysts surveyed by Reuters estimated on average that US crude inventories fell by about 2.1 million barrels in the week to March 28.