Moody's Warns of Potential Credit Impact in Middle East Amid Gaza Conflict

Smoke rises after Israeli airstrikes in Khan Yunis in the southern Gaza Strip. (Environmental Protection Agency)
Smoke rises after Israeli airstrikes in Khan Yunis in the southern Gaza Strip. (Environmental Protection Agency)
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Moody's Warns of Potential Credit Impact in Middle East Amid Gaza Conflict

Smoke rises after Israeli airstrikes in Khan Yunis in the southern Gaza Strip. (Environmental Protection Agency)
Smoke rises after Israeli airstrikes in Khan Yunis in the southern Gaza Strip. (Environmental Protection Agency)

Moody's Investor Services expected significant negative credit repercussions on all sovereign bodies in the Middle East if the military conflict in Gaza escalates into a multi-front confrontation.

The agency emphasized, however, that the credit impact if the conflict remains confined to Gaza, would be limited to the Middle East and North African governments (MENA).

"Geopolitical developments remain a key risk," stated Moody’s.

Moody's projects a GDP growth of 2.7% in MENA for 2024, a notable increase from the 1.1% recorded in 2023. Excluding the volatile growth associated with the oil and gas sector, the real GDP of the region is estimated to reach 3.1%, slightly down from the 3.4% observed in 2023.

The agency points out that economic activity in Saudi Arabia, UAE, Jordan, Kuwait, Morocco, Oman, and Qatar is expected to benefit from implementing state-backed mega-projects. The growth of non-oil GDP in 2024 is forecasted to outpace levels observed in 2018 and 2019, excluding Egypt and Iraq.

“Moody’s outlook for sovereign creditworthiness in MENA is stable,” it added.

However, it noted that high-interest rates and restricted capital inflows in emerging markets could impede debt sustainability and limit foreign funding for sovereign bodies. This concern is particularly pertinent in the face of economic challenges in Egypt, Lebanon, and Tunisia.



Saudi Arabia’s Kingdom Holding Buys $400 Million Stake in xAI

xAI logo is seen near computer motherboard in this illustration taken January 8, 2024. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration
xAI logo is seen near computer motherboard in this illustration taken January 8, 2024. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration
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Saudi Arabia’s Kingdom Holding Buys $400 Million Stake in xAI

xAI logo is seen near computer motherboard in this illustration taken January 8, 2024. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration
xAI logo is seen near computer motherboard in this illustration taken January 8, 2024. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration

Kingdom Holding Company (KHC) said on Wednesday it has acquired a key stake in xAI Corporation, an artificial intelligence company founded by US billionaire Elon Musk for 1.5 billion Saudi Riyals ($400 million), becoming the second largest investor in X and xAI.

The acquisition of the new stake is part of xAI’s Series C funding round, said KHC in its filing to Saudi bourse Tadawul.

This transaction follows KHC's previous investment at the same value in xAI during its Series B funding round.

It further solidifies KHC's strategic partnership with Elon Musk, and follows its strategic stake in X (Twitter), held since 2015, KHC stated.

A post on X said Prince Alwaleed bin Talal became the second largest shareholders in Musk’s two companies, X & xAI.

In November 2022, the Saudi prince moved almost 35 million Twitter shares through the Kingdom Holding Company, worth about $1.9 billion at the $54.20 per share sale price. That made him the “second-largest investor” in the new parent company.
Funding Rounds

The funding rounds consist of several fundraising events in which startups or existing companies raise funds from investors to continue building their infrastructure and accelerate research and development.

The rounds start with a “seed round” of funding where a startup typically raises money from the owners to cover initial operating expenses and then expand to Series A, B, and C funding rounds as the company develops to raise additional capital.

In terms of risks, Series B funding is generally less risky than Series A funding, while Series C is less risky than Series B and is typically used by companies that are growing rapidly and need additional capital to fund their expansion.

Musk's xAI Series C funding round included the Qatar Investment Authority (QIA) and the Oman Investment Authority (OIA).

Participants included Morgan Stanley and BlackRock, which were described as two of the major investors in the fundraising round.

KHC, in which Public Investment Fund (PIF) owns a 17% stake, said xAI has a $45 billion valuation with the latest funding round, indicating a significant increase from its $25 billion valuation during the Series B funding round, the filing showed.

Following the announcement of the acquisition, the shares of KHC, listed on the Saudi Stock Exchange, rose by 0.44% to 9.16 riyals.

xAI’s strategy focuses on developing leading AI models and working closely with other technology companies associated with its founder, including Tesla, SpaceX, and X, whose application has over 500 million users.

KHC said this transaction further solidifies KHC's strategic partnership with Elon Musk, and follows its strategic stake in X (Twitter), held since 2015.

It forms part of KHC’s business model of securing early stakes in emerging technologies and its ambition to lead and innovate within the AI industry, it added.