Ministry: Japan's Reliance on Middle East Oil Rose to 95.1% in 2023

Oil storage tanks in Japan. (Reuters)
Oil storage tanks in Japan. (Reuters)
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Ministry: Japan's Reliance on Middle East Oil Rose to 95.1% in 2023

Oil storage tanks in Japan. (Reuters)
Oil storage tanks in Japan. (Reuters)

Japan's reliance on crude oil supplied from the Middle East has increased by one percentage point to 95.1% last year, data released by the Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry showed on Wednesday.

Japan imported 147.7 million kiloliters of oil last year (2.5 million barrels per day), down 7% from a year before, with the share of Saudi Arabia and the UAE rising to 40.4% and 39% from 38.1% and 37.9%, respectively.

Share of oil imports from Russia fell further to just 0.1% of total crude oil imports by Japan, down from 1.3% in 2022 and 4% in 2021, a year before Moscow invaded Ukraine, triggering Western sanctions.

Oil prices settled lower on Wednesday, pressured by low economic activity in leading crude importer China.

Brent crude futures for March, which expire on Wednesday, settled down 87 cents, or about 1.1%, to $82 a barrel, while the more actively traded April contract settled down 80 cents, or about 1%, at $81.70.

West Texas Intermediate crude for March delivery fell 82 cents, or 1.1%, to $77 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.

Manufacturing activity in China, the world's second-largest economy, contracted for a fourth straight month in January, an official factory survey showed on Wednesday.

"The factory data confirms our view that China, at least for now, is an impediment to global oil demand growth," said Tamas Varga of oil broker PVM.

Meanwhile, the Israel-Hamas war has widened the conflict in the Red Sea between the United States and Iran-aligned Houthi militants.

But while that has disrupted oil and natural gas tanker shipping, which is driving up delivery costs and starting to affect oil supplies, a Reuters poll suggested that record production in the West and slow economic growth will keep a lid on prices and limit any geopolitical risk premium.

Russian Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak said that current oil prices adequately reflect the current market situation, while global oil demand is widely seen rising by around 2 million barrels per day.

He declined to elaborate more just a day before leading ministers from the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies led by Russia, known as OPEC+, will meet online.

The panel, named the Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee, can call for a full OPEC+ meeting or make recommendations on policy.

OPEC+ will likely decide its oil production levels for April and beyond in the coming weeks, OPEC+ sources said, adding that a meeting of a key ministerial panel next Thursday would take place too early to take decisions on further output policy.

"The market requires silence; any words somehow affect the market. I want to say that the current (oil) price on the market adequately reflects the current situation," Novak told reporters.



Oil Prices Steady as Markets Weigh Demand against US Inventories

FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)
FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)
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Oil Prices Steady as Markets Weigh Demand against US Inventories

FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)
FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)

Oil prices were little changed on Thursday as investors weighed firm winter fuel demand expectations against large US fuel inventories and macroeconomic concerns.

Brent crude futures were down 3 cents at $76.13 a barrel by 1003 GMT. US West Texas Intermediate crude futures dipped 10 cents to $73.22.

Both benchmarks fell more than 1% on Wednesday as a stronger dollar and a bigger than expected rise in US fuel stockpiles pressured prices.

"The oil market is still grappling with opposite forces - seasonal demand to support the bulls and macro data that supports a stronger US dollar in the medium term ... that can put a ceiling to prevent the bulls from advancing further," said OANDA senior market analyst Kelvin Wong.

JPMorgan analysts expect oil demand for January to expand by 1.4 million barrels per day (bpd) year on year to 101.4 million bpd, primarily driven by increased use of heating fuels in the Northern Hemisphere.

"Global oil demand is expected to remain strong throughout January, fuelled by colder than normal winter conditions that are boosting heating fuel consumption, as well as an earlier onset of travel activities in China for the Lunar New Year holidays," the analysts said.

The market structure in Brent futures is also indicating that traders are becoming more concerned about supply tightening at the same time demand is increasing.

The premium of the front-month Brent contract over the six-month contract reached its widest since August on Wednesday. A widening of this backwardation, when futures for prompt delivery are higher than for later delivery, typically indicates that supply is declining or demand is increasing.

Nevertheless, official Energy Information Administration (EIA) data showed rising gasoline and distillates stockpiles in the United States last week.

The dollar strengthened further on Thursday, underpinned by rising Treasury yields ahead of US President-elect Donald Trump's entrance into the White House on Jan. 20.

Looking ahead, WTI crude oil is expected to oscillate within a range of $67.55 to $77.95 into February as the market awaits more clarity on Trump's administration policies and fresh fiscal stimulus measures out of China, OANDA's Wong said.