Egypt Signs Expanded $8 Billion Loan Deal with IMF

 People walk past a currency exchange point, displaying an image of the US dollar, in Cairo, Egypt, March 6, 2024. (Reuters)
People walk past a currency exchange point, displaying an image of the US dollar, in Cairo, Egypt, March 6, 2024. (Reuters)
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Egypt Signs Expanded $8 Billion Loan Deal with IMF

 People walk past a currency exchange point, displaying an image of the US dollar, in Cairo, Egypt, March 6, 2024. (Reuters)
People walk past a currency exchange point, displaying an image of the US dollar, in Cairo, Egypt, March 6, 2024. (Reuters)

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) will increase its current loan program with Egypt by $5 billion, the country's prime minister said on Wednesday, as the central bank let the pound plummet and said it would allow the currency to trade freely.

The new agreement is an expansion of the $3 billion, 46-month Extended Fund Facility that the IMF struck with Egypt in December 2022, a key plank of which was meant to be a shift to a more flexible exchange rate system.

The program stalled when Egypt reverted to keeping its pound at a tightly managed rate over the past year, and amid delays to an ambitious program to divest state assets and boost the role of the private sector.

As part of the new agreement, Egypt will also receive a loan of about $1.2 billion from a separate facility that promotes environmental sustainability, Prime Minister Mostafa Madbouly said.

The IMF said it had reached agreement with Egypt on the policies needed to create the delayed first and second reviews under the program, which can unlock disbursements of funding subject to approval by the fund's executive board.

"The comprehensive policy package seeks to preserve debt sustainability, restore price stability, and reinstate a well-functioning exchange rate system, while continuing to push forward deep structural reforms to promote private sector-led growth and job creation," it said in a statement.

Policy discussions included commitments to a flexible exchange rate, monetary tightening and fiscal consolidation, social spending to protect vulnerable groups, and to reforms to eliminate privileges for state-owned enterprises - all pillars of the original program.

They also included "a new framework to slow down infrastructure spending including projects that have so far operated outside regular budget oversight", the IMF statement said.

Gaza spillover

Such projects, including a new capital city east of Cairo, have been a centerpiece of policy under President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi, who has defended them as providing jobs and boosting growth.

Egypt negotiated the original program, the latest in a series of support packages from the fund, after the economic fallout from the war in Ukraine prompted investors to pull $20 billion from Egypt within weeks, bringing the country's financial troubles to the fore.

Since then, spillover from the war in the neighboring Gaza Strip has brought new risks to Egypt's dollar revenues, including those from shipping in the Suez Canal, which dropped by about a half early this year due to Houthi attacks in the Red Sea.

Annual headline inflation accelerated to a record 38% last September, before easing slightly.

IMF officials have said additional financing for Egypt's program is critical for its success following the external shocks, and that Egypt's stability matters for the whole region.

Wednesday's deal comes less than two weeks after Egypt announced a deal with the Emirati sovereign wealth fund ADQ that it said would deliver $35 billion in investments by late April.

A senior IMF official said the deal was separate from its own negotiations, but Wednesday's IMF statement acknowledged that it had alleviated near-term financing pressures.

"Egypt's international and regional partners will play a critical role in facilitating the implementation of the authorities' policies and reforms," the statement said.



Saudi Government Calls for Private Sector Involvement to Enhance Vision 2030 Reports

King Abdullah Financial Center in Riyadh (Asharq Al-Awsat)
King Abdullah Financial Center in Riyadh (Asharq Al-Awsat)
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Saudi Government Calls for Private Sector Involvement to Enhance Vision 2030 Reports

King Abdullah Financial Center in Riyadh (Asharq Al-Awsat)
King Abdullah Financial Center in Riyadh (Asharq Al-Awsat)

The Saudi government has directed greater private sector involvement in shaping the content of Vision 2030 communications and reports, according to sources who spoke to Asharq Al-Awsat. The goal is to amplify the impact of the annual Vision 2030 reports by making them more comprehensive and directly relevant to the business community.

The Strategic Management Office in the Saudi Royal Court has invited private sector stakeholders to review the annual Vision 2030 report to raise awareness of governmental achievements. Businesses are encouraged to provide feedback to ensure that future reports are more impactful and valuable for their audience.

The initiative aims to gather feedback on whether the current report format effectively delivers information relevant to the business sector. It also seeks input on the balance between general achievements and sector-specific details, as well as insights on the report’s accessibility and usefulness to business audiences.

According to the sources, the government is also evaluating the level of transparency in the report, particularly in showcasing progress and achievements. Stakeholders are being asked to suggest areas of focus for future editions to make the reports more comprehensive and relevant to their needs.

Additional proposals include enhancing collaboration between the Vision 2030 communications team and Saudi chambers of commerce to better report on progress and achievements to the private sector. Furthermore, the government is exploring the inclusion of practical success stories from businesses that have played a role in achieving Vision 2030 goals.

Since its inception, Vision 2030 has worked to identify and address challenges facing businesses. Significant reforms have been implemented to remove barriers, ensuring the private sector can fulfill its vital role in driving economic growth.

Efforts have included reforms to streamline the business environment, enhance the quality and efficiency of government services, and digitize processes. Additionally, numerous programs, initiatives, funding platforms, and business incubators and accelerators have been launched to support the private sector.

The Vision 2030 annual report for 2023 highlighted strong program performance, with 87% of the year’s 1,064 initiatives either completed or on track. Among the 243 key performance indicators (KPIs) identified, 81% of third-level KPIs met their targets, while 105 exceeded future targets set for 2024–2025.

The report also noted that non-oil gross domestic product (GDP) reached SAR 1.889 trillion, compared to a baseline of SAR 1.519 trillion. The 2023 target was SAR 1.934 trillion, with the ultimate Vision 2030 target set at SAR 4.97 trillion.

Private sector contributions to GDP increased to 45%, meeting the 2023 target and surpassing the baseline of 40.3%. The long-term Vision 2030 target is 65%.