عربي English Türkçe اردو فارسى
Logo
Latest News
Business

Oil Steady as Middle East Worries Offset US Crude Stock Buildup

A pump jack lifts oil out of a well during a sandstorm in Midland, Texas, US, April 13, 2018. Picture taken April 13, 2018. (Reuters)
A pump jack lifts oil out of a well during a sandstorm in Midland, Texas, US, April 13, 2018. Picture taken April 13, 2018. (Reuters)
TT
TT

Oil Steady as Middle East Worries Offset US Crude Stock Buildup

A pump jack lifts oil out of a well during a sandstorm in Midland, Texas, US, April 13, 2018. Picture taken April 13, 2018. (Reuters)
A pump jack lifts oil out of a well during a sandstorm in Midland, Texas, US, April 13, 2018. Picture taken April 13, 2018. (Reuters)

Oil prices were little changed on Wednesday after two straight days of losses, as the deadlock in Gaza ceasefire talks renewed uncertainty about the security of supplies from the Middle East, offsetting a bigger-than-expected build in US crude inventories.

Brent crude futures were up marginally at $89.49 per barrel at 0330 GMT, while US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures rose 8 cents to $85.31.

Prices for both benchmarks remain down around 1.8% on the end of last week despite geopolitical tensions in the Middle East triggered by the prospect of Israel's war in Gaza lasting longer, and drawing in more countries.

"Some of the heat has come out of rally in crude oil in the early part of this week on hopes of a ceasefire in Gaza and higher US inventories," said Tony Sycamore, a market analyst at IG in Singapore.

Hamas said on Tuesday that an Israeli proposal on a ceasefire in their war in Gaza did not meet the demands of Palestinian militant factions, but it would study the offer further and deliver its response to mediators.

If the conflict continues, it risks the involvement of other countries in the region, particularly Hamas backer Iran, the third-largest producer in the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC).

Meanwhile, US crude stocks climbed last week by 3.03 million barrels, according to market sources citing American Petroleum Institute figures. Analysts had estimated that stocks would rise by about 2.4 million barrels.

Official US government inventory data is due at 1430 GMT.

However, all the risks remain to the upside, IG's Sycamore said.

"Anything from a cooler-than-expected US CPI tonight to another Ukrainian drone attack on Russian oil infrastructure to a response from Iran after Israel killed two of its generals in Syria last week is more than capable of re-igniting the uptrend," he added.

Separately, the government raised its forecast for US crude oil output, expecting an increase of 280,000 bpd to 13.21 million bpd in 2024, up 20,000 bpd from an earlier forecast from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA).

However, EIA said it expects Brent crude prices to average $88.55 a barrel in 2024, up from a previous forecast of $87 a barrel.

On Tuesday, both Brent and WTI fell more than 1%, as Israel-Hamas ceasefire discussions in Cairo continued.

Türkiye said it would restrict exports of various products, including jet fuel, to Israel until there is a ceasefire. Israel said it would respond with its own curbs.

Most Viewed

 
 
Business

IMF Urges US to Curb Deficit, Tackle its ‘Ever-Increasing’ Debt Burden

Gita Gopinath, IMF’s first deputy managing director (X) 
Gita Gopinath, IMF’s first deputy managing director (X) 
TT
TT

IMF Urges US to Curb Deficit, Tackle its ‘Ever-Increasing’ Debt Burden

Gita Gopinath, IMF’s first deputy managing director (X) 
Gita Gopinath, IMF’s first deputy managing director (X) 

A top IMF official has called on the US to reduce its fiscal deficit and tackle its “ever-increasing” debt burden at a time of rising concerns about President Donald Trump’s plans for sweeping tax cuts.

“The US fiscal deficits are too large and they need to be brought down,” Gita Gopinath, the IMF’s first deputy managing director, told the Financial Times this week.

She also warned that the world’s biggest economy was still affected by “very elevated” trade policy uncertainty despite “positive developments”, such as the Trump administration dialing back tariffs on China.

Gopinath’s comments came after Moody’s stripped the US of its last remaining pristine triple A credit rating owing to concerns over the country’s growing debt.

Trump’s proposal to prolong his 2017 tax cuts beyond this year has added to those worries and prompted unease among investors.

The administration says the cuts — combined with deregulation — will pay for themselves with higher growth, but neither Moody’s nor financial markets are convinced.

The rating agency said last week that the proposed legislation, which Trump calls “the big, beautiful bill”, would raise US deficits from 6.4% last year to just under 9% by 2035.

Treasury secretary Scott Bessent told NBC on Sunday that the Moody’s downgrade was “a lagging indicator”, blaming the fiscal situation on the Biden administration.

He added that the administration was “determined to bring the spending down and grow the economy.”

Bessent previously said he would cut the deficit to 3% by the end of Trump’s term.

But Gopinath noted that US debt to GDP was “ever-increasing”, adding: “It should be that we have fiscal policy in the US that is consistent with bringing debt to GDP down over time.”

The federal government debt held by the public amounted to 98% of GDP in fiscal 2024, compared with 73% a decade earlier, according to the Congressional Budget Office.

Although the IMF said last month that it expected the US fiscal deficit to fall this year as long as tariff revenues grew, those projections did not account for Trump’s tax bill, which is winding its way through Congress.

Gopinath added that Bessent had been right to make a “clear call” to bring down fiscal deficits.

Trump is pressuring Republicans in the House of Representatives, where he has a slim majority, to support the legislation, arguing that doing otherwise would increase voters’ tax bills.

Deficit worries and Moody’s downgrade have driven the dollar lower and pushed prices down and yields up in the Treasury market.

The 30-year Treasury bond yield on Monday rose to 5.04%, its highest level since 2023.

A bigger deficit means the government will have to sell more bonds at a time when foreign and domestic investors have begun to question the stability of the US market.

The IMF in April cut its US growth forecast by nearly a percentage point to 1.8 per cent in 2025, while dropping its global growth projection to 2.8%, as it incorporated the impact of Trump’s tariffs.

Since then, Trump has announced sharp cuts to American levies, as China and the US agreed to slash respective tariffs by 115 percentage points for 90 days.