Oil Prices Fall After Iran Attack as Market Draws Down Risk Premium 

A complex of pipes used for the export of crude oil in a dock that is part of the Ecopetrol refinery, is seen in Cartagena, Colombia April 12, 2024. (Reuters)
A complex of pipes used for the export of crude oil in a dock that is part of the Ecopetrol refinery, is seen in Cartagena, Colombia April 12, 2024. (Reuters)
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Oil Prices Fall After Iran Attack as Market Draws Down Risk Premium 

A complex of pipes used for the export of crude oil in a dock that is part of the Ecopetrol refinery, is seen in Cartagena, Colombia April 12, 2024. (Reuters)
A complex of pipes used for the export of crude oil in a dock that is part of the Ecopetrol refinery, is seen in Cartagena, Colombia April 12, 2024. (Reuters)

Oil prices fell at Asia's open on Monday, as market participants dialed back risk premiums following Iran's attack on Israel late on Saturday which the Israeli government said caused limited damage.

Brent futures for June delivery fell 24 cents to $90.21 a barrel while West Texas Intermediate (WTI) futures for May delivery were down 38 cents at $85.28 a barrel by 1256 GMT.

The attack involving more than 300 missiles and drones was the first on Israel from another country in more than three decades. It had raised concerns about a broader regional conflict affecting oil traffic through the Middle East.

But the attack, which Iran called retaliation for an air strike on its Damascus consulate, caused only modest damage, with missiles shot down by Israel's Iron Dome defense system. Israel, which is at war with Iran-backed Hamas fighters in Gaza, has neither confirmed nor denied it struck the consulate.

While Israeli officials said the country's war cabinet was in favor of retaliation, the US said it would not take part in any offensive against Iran. Global powers, other Arab nations and the UN secretary general have issued calls for restraint.

"The Iranian retaliatory missile and drone attack on Israel yesterday morning appears sufficient in size to revenge the killing of Iranian military personnel in Syria without being damaging enough to trigger a further escalation in hostilities at this point," IG market analyst Tony Sycamore said in a client note.

Oil benchmarks had risen on Friday in anticipation of a retaliatory attack by Iran, touching their highest levels since October.

But prices still ended the week down about 1% after the International Energy Agency lowered its forecast for oil demand growth this year.

Despite the limited damage sustained by Israel, analysts were widely expecting at least a short-lived rally in prices this morning.

The attack marks an "unprecedented and dangerous development in an already volatile region," said Rystad Energy Senior Vice President Jorge Leon.

Analysts said more significant and longer-lasting price effects from the escalation would require a material disruption to supply, such as constraints on shipping in the Strait of Hormuz near Iran.

So far, the Israel-Hamas conflict has had little tangible impact on oil supply.

A "less certain path to Fed rate cuts" because of persistent US inflation also weighed on prices, Sycamore said. "However, in the medium term, ongoing geopolitical instability in the Middle East and Europe means that all the risks remain to the topside in crude oil towards $90."



Saudi Arabia to Bring Together 45 Ministers, 200 Speakers to Boost Global Jobs

A general view of Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. (SPA)
A general view of Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. (SPA)
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Saudi Arabia to Bring Together 45 Ministers, 200 Speakers to Boost Global Jobs

A general view of Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. (SPA)
A general view of Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. (SPA)

Saudi Arabia will host 45 ministers and more than 200 local and international speakers to boost cooperation and create more suitable job opportunities for youth worldwide, according to Dr. Abdullah Abuthnain, Vice Minister of Human Resources and Social Development for Labor and Chairman of the Executive Committee.

The Ministry of Human Resources and Social Development is holding the second edition of the Global Labor Market Conference (GLMC) in Riyadh on January 29-30.

The event aims to establish a key dialogue platform to discuss opportunities and challenges and provide solutions for the future of global labor markets.

Abuthnain told Asharq Al-Awsat that the ministerial roundtable will serve as an annual global platform bringing together policymakers, industry leaders, and decision-makers to discuss labor market challenges, solutions, and relevant developments worldwide.

Over 45 labor ministers from around the world will meet at the event to discuss innovative policies aimed at improving working conditions and youth employment, he added.

The conference will serve as a platform for sharing best practices and discussing challenges and successes in global labor markets, including Saudi Arabia, which is seeing major advancements in policy and a competitive work environment.

The ministerial meeting also aims to “strengthen international cooperation to create more job opportunities for youth worldwide,” Abuthnain added. The meeting is primarily a “platform for exchanging ideas and experiences.”

Building on discussions from the first meeting, the second session will continue to explore previous topics, incorporating new insights and developments over the past year, and looking ahead to future trends. This will give participating countries the chance to share their successes and challenges.

The ministerial meeting will encourage ongoing dialogue to strengthen collective efforts and make use of research and studies to support the future of global labor markets.

With around 200 local and international speakers, the conference will focus on six main themes: continuous learning, the impact of digital transformation on labor markets, wage growth, and the importance of skills-based employment.

Other topics will include productivity, the role of mobile workforces in economic growth, youth challenges, and the contribution of small and medium businesses to innovation and digital transformation.

The conference has strategic partnerships with over 45 countries, as well as organizations like the International Labour Organization, the World Bank, the UN Development Program, the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development and the Misk Foundation.

It will feature experts from think tanks like Combining Trust International, the Korea Labor Institute, and the Indian Labor Economics Association, who will contribute ideas and solutions to common labor market challenges.

Abuthnain believes the diverse group of leaders and experts from around the world will have a significant impact on improving youth employment opportunities.

“Our goal is to find solutions that benefit not only our region but also provide a model for global cooperation,” he told Asharq Al-Awsat.

“We expect participating countries to learn from each other based on their unique needs. This conference is a global platform for sharing ideas and experiences, with a common goal of supporting today’s youth and future generations,” he added.

Saudi Arabia’s labor market is supported by Vision 2030, which has helped achieve historic successes, including reducing the unemployment rate to 3.7% and driving technological progress, Abuthnain said.