Pakistan Pledges $7 Billion IMF Aid Deal Will Be Its Last

Men reach out to buy subsidized flour sacks from a truck in Karachi, Pakistan. (January 10, 2023). (Photo/Reuters)
Men reach out to buy subsidized flour sacks from a truck in Karachi, Pakistan. (January 10, 2023). (Photo/Reuters)
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Pakistan Pledges $7 Billion IMF Aid Deal Will Be Its Last

Men reach out to buy subsidized flour sacks from a truck in Karachi, Pakistan. (January 10, 2023). (Photo/Reuters)
Men reach out to buy subsidized flour sacks from a truck in Karachi, Pakistan. (January 10, 2023). (Photo/Reuters)

The International Monetary Fund has agreed to loan Pakistan $7 billion to bolster its faltering economy, with Islamabad pledging Saturday it would be the last time it relied on relief from the Washington-based lender.
The South Asian nation agreed to the deal -- its 24th IMF payout since 1958 -- in exchange for unpopular reforms, including widening its chronically low tax base, AFP said.
Pakistan last year came to the brink of default as the economy shriveled amid political chaos following catastrophic 2022 monsoon floods and decades of mismanagement, as well as a global economic downturn.
It was saved by last-minute loans from friendly countries, as well as an IMF rescue package, but its finances remain in dire straits, with high inflation and staggering public debts.
"This program should be considered the last program," Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif told ministers and revenue officials in Islamabad. "We should tax those who are not being taxed."
- Dealing with a downturn -
Islamabad wrangled for months with IMF officials to unlock the new loan announced Friday, which will be paid out over three years subject to approval by the organization's Executive Board.
It came on condition of far-reaching reforms including hiking household bills to remedy a permanently crisis-stricken energy sector and uplifting pitiful tax takings.
In a nation of over 240 million people and where most jobs are in the informal sector, only 5.2 million filed income tax returns in 2022.
During the 2024-25 fiscal year that started at the beginning of July, the government aims to raise nearly $46 billion in taxes, a 40 percent increase from the previous year.
More unusual methods have seen the tax authority block 210,000 SIM cards of mobile users who have not filed tax returns in a bid to widen the revenue bracket.
Under the deal "revenue collections will be supported by simpler and fairer direct and indirect taxation including by bringing net income from the retail, export, and agriculture sectors properly into the tax system", IMF Pakistan Mission Chief Nathan Porter said in a statement.
Islamabad also aims to reduce its fiscal deficit by 1.5 percent to 5.9 percent in the coming year, heeding another key IMF demand.
The IMF said the loan and its conditions should allow Pakistan to "cement macroeconomic stability and create conditions for stronger, more inclusive and resilient growth".
But Pakistan's public debt remains huge at $242 billion, and servicing it will still swallow up half of the government's income in 2024, according to the IMF.
Analysts have criticized Islamabad's measures as surface-level reforms aimed at courting the IMF without addressing underlying problems.
 



Dollar General Forecasts Tepid 2025 due to Strained Consumer Spending

A teller sorts US dollar banknotes inside the cashier's booth at a forex exchange bureau in downtown Nairobi, Kenya February 16, 2024. REUTERS/Thomas Mukoya/File photo
A teller sorts US dollar banknotes inside the cashier's booth at a forex exchange bureau in downtown Nairobi, Kenya February 16, 2024. REUTERS/Thomas Mukoya/File photo
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Dollar General Forecasts Tepid 2025 due to Strained Consumer Spending

A teller sorts US dollar banknotes inside the cashier's booth at a forex exchange bureau in downtown Nairobi, Kenya February 16, 2024. REUTERS/Thomas Mukoya/File photo
A teller sorts US dollar banknotes inside the cashier's booth at a forex exchange bureau in downtown Nairobi, Kenya February 16, 2024. REUTERS/Thomas Mukoya/File photo

Dollar General on Thursday forecast annual sales and profit targets below estimates, joining a growing list of retailers that have signalled a grim year as still-high inflation and economic uncertainty dent consumer spending.

Retailers including Walmart, Target, Home Depot and Best Buy have raised caution about weak consumer spending in 2025 due to tariff uncertainty, as well as potential price hikes the levies would bring about, Reuters reported.

Shares of Dollar General were, however, up about 5% in premarket trading, as the discount retailer beat estimates for holiday-quarter sales and profit. The stock has slumped nearly 70% over the last two years.

The company benefitted from improving its private-label brands selling everyday essentials, and remodelling its stores as part of a turnaround plan laid out by CEO Todd Vasos late in 2023.

For the holiday quarter, its comparable sales rose 1.2%, ahead of estimates of a 0.96% rise, according to data compiled by LSEG.

Sales in the consumables category, which makes up about 80% of Dollar General's revenue, grew 5.3% in the quarter ended January 1, helping the company report a profit of $1.68 per share, topping estimates of $1.50.

The company expects annual same-store sales growth between 1.2% and 2.2%, compared with analysts' average estimate of a 1.82% rise.

It also forecast fiscal 2025 profit per share of about $5.10 to $5.80, below analysts' average estimate of $5.85.