Pakistan Pledges $7 Billion IMF Aid Deal Will Be Its Last

Men reach out to buy subsidized flour sacks from a truck in Karachi, Pakistan. (January 10, 2023). (Photo/Reuters)
Men reach out to buy subsidized flour sacks from a truck in Karachi, Pakistan. (January 10, 2023). (Photo/Reuters)
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Pakistan Pledges $7 Billion IMF Aid Deal Will Be Its Last

Men reach out to buy subsidized flour sacks from a truck in Karachi, Pakistan. (January 10, 2023). (Photo/Reuters)
Men reach out to buy subsidized flour sacks from a truck in Karachi, Pakistan. (January 10, 2023). (Photo/Reuters)

The International Monetary Fund has agreed to loan Pakistan $7 billion to bolster its faltering economy, with Islamabad pledging Saturday it would be the last time it relied on relief from the Washington-based lender.
The South Asian nation agreed to the deal -- its 24th IMF payout since 1958 -- in exchange for unpopular reforms, including widening its chronically low tax base, AFP said.
Pakistan last year came to the brink of default as the economy shriveled amid political chaos following catastrophic 2022 monsoon floods and decades of mismanagement, as well as a global economic downturn.
It was saved by last-minute loans from friendly countries, as well as an IMF rescue package, but its finances remain in dire straits, with high inflation and staggering public debts.
"This program should be considered the last program," Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif told ministers and revenue officials in Islamabad. "We should tax those who are not being taxed."
- Dealing with a downturn -
Islamabad wrangled for months with IMF officials to unlock the new loan announced Friday, which will be paid out over three years subject to approval by the organization's Executive Board.
It came on condition of far-reaching reforms including hiking household bills to remedy a permanently crisis-stricken energy sector and uplifting pitiful tax takings.
In a nation of over 240 million people and where most jobs are in the informal sector, only 5.2 million filed income tax returns in 2022.
During the 2024-25 fiscal year that started at the beginning of July, the government aims to raise nearly $46 billion in taxes, a 40 percent increase from the previous year.
More unusual methods have seen the tax authority block 210,000 SIM cards of mobile users who have not filed tax returns in a bid to widen the revenue bracket.
Under the deal "revenue collections will be supported by simpler and fairer direct and indirect taxation including by bringing net income from the retail, export, and agriculture sectors properly into the tax system", IMF Pakistan Mission Chief Nathan Porter said in a statement.
Islamabad also aims to reduce its fiscal deficit by 1.5 percent to 5.9 percent in the coming year, heeding another key IMF demand.
The IMF said the loan and its conditions should allow Pakistan to "cement macroeconomic stability and create conditions for stronger, more inclusive and resilient growth".
But Pakistan's public debt remains huge at $242 billion, and servicing it will still swallow up half of the government's income in 2024, according to the IMF.
Analysts have criticized Islamabad's measures as surface-level reforms aimed at courting the IMF without addressing underlying problems.
 



S&P Global Upgrades Credit Rating of Saudi Arabia to A+ with Stable Outlook

The Saudi flag. Asharq Al-Awsat
The Saudi flag. Asharq Al-Awsat
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S&P Global Upgrades Credit Rating of Saudi Arabia to A+ with Stable Outlook

The Saudi flag. Asharq Al-Awsat
The Saudi flag. Asharq Al-Awsat

Credit rating agency S&P Global upgraded Saudi Arabia’s local and foreign currency credit rating to A+ with a stable outlook.

In its report, the agency stated that the upgrade with a stable outlook reflects the Kingdom's continued progress in economic diversification, sustained growth of the non-oil sector, and development of the local capital market.

These factors help offset the risks associated with rising external sovereign debt, which is being strategically invested to achieve the objectives of Saudi Vision 2030 while managing debt servicing costs.

The agency highlights the Kingdom's measures to spur investments that will support non-oil growth prospects and economic resiliency over the medium term.

As a result, S&P forecasts real gross domestic product (GDP) growth to average 4% over 2025-2028.

The agency expects the Kingdom’s fiscal deficit to average 4.2% of GDP during the same period, driven by transformational spending aimed at accelerating economic diversification.

Furthermore, it is expected that the Kingdom will maintain its comfortable net asset position. Saudi Arabia has seen multiple credit rating upgrades from global rating agencies over the past few years.

These advancements reflect the Kingdom's improved institutional strength and ongoing implementation of structural reforms. They are enabling a successful economic transformation and unprecedented economic diversification in the context of fiscal sustainability and enhanced financial planning efficiency that will continue to support its strong and resilient fiscal position.