Gold Jumps after Cooling US Jobs Report Boosts Rate Cut Hopes

Marked ingots of 99.99 percent pure gold are placed in a cart at the Krastsvetmet non-ferrous metals plant in the Siberian city of Krasnoyarsk, Russia March 10, 2022. REUTERS/Alexander Manzyuk/File Photo
Marked ingots of 99.99 percent pure gold are placed in a cart at the Krastsvetmet non-ferrous metals plant in the Siberian city of Krasnoyarsk, Russia March 10, 2022. REUTERS/Alexander Manzyuk/File Photo
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Gold Jumps after Cooling US Jobs Report Boosts Rate Cut Hopes

Marked ingots of 99.99 percent pure gold are placed in a cart at the Krastsvetmet non-ferrous metals plant in the Siberian city of Krasnoyarsk, Russia March 10, 2022. REUTERS/Alexander Manzyuk/File Photo
Marked ingots of 99.99 percent pure gold are placed in a cart at the Krastsvetmet non-ferrous metals plant in the Siberian city of Krasnoyarsk, Russia March 10, 2022. REUTERS/Alexander Manzyuk/File Photo

Gold prices hit their highest in over two weeks on Friday as Treasury yields and the dollar declined after data showed US economy created fewer jobs than expected in July, boosting hopes of rate cuts by the Federal Reserve this year, Reuters reported.

Spot gold was up 0.8% at $2,464.32 per ounce as of 1320 GMT, just $19 shy of the record peak of $2,483.60 scaled on July 17. US gold futures climbed 1% to $2,506.60.

"The drop in yields along with the reaffirmation that there is a cut in September just makes gold a lot more attractive," said Alex Ebkarian, chief operating officer at Allegiance Gold.

US 10-year yields dropped to their lowest since December and the dollar hit its lowest since March after data showed that employers added fewer jobs in July than economists had forecast, while the unemployment rate increased to 4.3%.

The data follows comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell who on Wednesday said that rates could be cut as soon as September if the US economy follows its expected path.

Gold has gained 3.2% so far this week, on track for its best week since April, as rising safe-haven demand from Middle East tensions and expectations of rate cuts made the metal more appealing for investors.

Bullion is traditionally considered a hedge against geopolitical and economic risks, and lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding the asset.

"The marketplace just now is factoring in a better-than-70% chance for a 50-basis-point cut by the Fed at the September FOMC meeting," said Jim Wyckoff, senior market analyst at Kitco Metals in a note.

Elsewhere, spot silver added 1.2% to $28.88 per ounce, platinum rose 1.3% to $971.20 and palladium dropped 0.4% to $901.82. All three metals were headed for weekly gains.



OPEC+ Sticks to Oil Policy

The online joint ministerial monitoring committee meeting (JMMC) held on Thursday. Photo: OPEC on X
The online joint ministerial monitoring committee meeting (JMMC) held on Thursday. Photo: OPEC on X
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OPEC+ Sticks to Oil Policy

The online joint ministerial monitoring committee meeting (JMMC) held on Thursday. Photo: OPEC on X
The online joint ministerial monitoring committee meeting (JMMC) held on Thursday. Photo: OPEC on X

A meeting of top OPEC+ ministers has kept oil output policy unchanged including a plan to start unwinding one layer of output cuts from October, and repeated that the hike could be paused or reversed if needed.
Several ministers from the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies led by Russia, or OPEC+ as the group is known, held an online joint ministerial monitoring committee meeting (JMMC) on Thursday.
OPEC+ is currently cutting output by a total of 5.86 million barrels per day, or about 5.7% of global demand, in a series of steps agreed since 2022 to bolster the market amid uncertainty over global demand and rising supply outside the group.
In a statement after Thursday's meeting, OPEC+ said the members making the most recent layer of cuts - a 2.2 million bpd voluntary cut until September - reiterated that its gradual phase-out could be paused or reversed, depending on market conditions.
Russian Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak said on Thursday the current level of oil prices was comfortable for Russia, its budget, and other participants in the market. Supply and demand remained in balance, he added.
Algeria's Energy Minister Mohamed Arkab said uncertainties affecting oil markets were unlikely to continue for much longer, as long as the market remains adequately supplied.
Oil demand, he added, was expected to follow a sustained upward trend in the coming weeks.
OPEC+ agreed at its last meeting in June to phase out the 2.2 million bpd cut over the course of a year from October 2024 until September 2025. It also agreed then to extend earlier cuts of 3.66 million bpd until end-2025.
Soon after that, Saudi Energy Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman said OPEC+ could pause or reverse the production hikes if it decided the market is not strong enough.

Thursday's meeting also noted assurances from Iraq, Kazakhstan and Russia made during the meeting to achieve full conformity with pledged output cuts, the statement said. Those countries had earlier delivered plans to compensate for past overproduction.
An OPEC+ source said the chair of the meeting was insisting that members show commitment to the compensation plan.