Global Stocks Plunge, Bond Prices Rally as US Data Spooks

A sign for ‘Jobs’ is displayed outside a business in Los Angeles, California, USA, 02 August 2024. EPA/ALLISON DINNER
A sign for ‘Jobs’ is displayed outside a business in Los Angeles, California, USA, 02 August 2024. EPA/ALLISON DINNER
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Global Stocks Plunge, Bond Prices Rally as US Data Spooks

A sign for ‘Jobs’ is displayed outside a business in Los Angeles, California, USA, 02 August 2024. EPA/ALLISON DINNER
A sign for ‘Jobs’ is displayed outside a business in Los Angeles, California, USA, 02 August 2024. EPA/ALLISON DINNER

Surprisingly weak US employment data on Friday stoked fears of a recession ahead, prompting investors to dump stocks and turn to safe-haven bonds, Reuters reported.

Treasury prices surged, sending yields to multi-month lows.
Oil price benchmarks fell by more than $3 per barrel at their session lows. The US dollar index dropped over 1% to its weakest since March.

Richly valued technology firms bore much of the pain, and an index of European bank stocks headed for its largest weekly decline in 17 months on soft earnings.

The VIX stock market volatility measure, dubbed Wall Street's fear gauge, surged over 40%.

Friday's US jobs report showed job growth slowed more than expected in July and unemployment increased to 4.3%, pointing to possible weakness in the labor market and greater vulnerability to recession.

Markets were already rattled by downbeat earnings updates from Amazon and Intel and Thursday's softer-than-expected US factory activity survey in addition to the monthly US non-farm payrolls report, which showed job growth slumped to 114,000 new hires in July from 179,000 in June.

The data raised expectations of multiple rate cuts by the Federal Reserve this year, which just this week opted to keep rates unchanged, Reuters reported.
"The jobs data are signaling substantial further progress that the Federal Reserve made a policy error by not reducing the fed funds rate this week," said Jamie Cox, managing partner for Harris Financial Group in Richmond, Virginia.

"It’s very possible the Fed alters its inter-meeting communications on the balance of risks to remove all doubt about a September rate cut."

With thin summer trading likely exaggerating moves, a slump that began in Asia with a 5.8% drop for Japan's Nikkei, its biggest daily fall since March 2020 during the COVID-19 crisis, rippled through Europe and headed for Wall Street.

MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe fell 16.09 points, or 2.00%, to 787.31.

The Nasdaq Composite lost 417.98 points, or 2.43%, to 16,776.16. The index has fallen more than 10% from its July closing high, confirming it is in a correction after concerns grew about expensive valuations in a weakening economy.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 610.71 points, or 1.51%, to 39,737.26, the S&P 500 lost 100.12 points.

Europe's STOXX 600 fell close to 3%, with financials and technology the worst hit.
Emerging market stocks fell 24.30 points, or 2.23%, to 1,063.50.
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan closed 2.48% lower 2.48%, at 553.72, while Japan's Nikkei fell 2,216.63 points, or 5.81%, to 35,909.70.
The Fed has kept benchmark borrowing costs at a 23-year high of 5.25%-5.50% for a year, and some analysts believe the world's most influential central bank may have kept monetary policy tight for too long, risking a recession.
Money markets on Friday rushed to price a 70% chance of the Fed, which was already widely expected to cut rates from September, implementing a jumbo 50 basis points cut next month to insure against a downturn.
The "employment report flashes a warning signal that this economy does have the ability to turn rather quickly," said Charlie Ripley, Senior Investment Strategist for Allianz Investment Management in Minneapolis.
"Ultimately, today’s employment data should embolden the committee to cut policy by more than 25 basis points at the next meeting."

RUSH AWAY FROM TECH, TO SAFE HAVENS
Shares in US chipmaker Intel tumbled to a more than 11-year low and finished down over 26%, after suspending its dividend and announcing hefty job cuts alongside underwhelming earnings forecasts.

Artificial intelligence chipmaker Nvidia, one of the biggest contributors to the tech rally, dropped 1.8%
Up more than 700% since January 2023, Nvidia has left many asset managers with an outsized exposure to the fortunes of this single stock.
Safe-haven buying went full throttle, with government debt, gold and currencies traditionally all rallying. They are assets viewed as likely to hold value during market chaos.

The yield on benchmark US 10-year notes fell 18 basis points to 3.798%.
The 2-year note yield, which typically moves in step with interest rate expectations, fell 28.5 basis points to 3.8798%.
In foreign exchange markets, the yen added nearly 2%, extending a rapid bounceback after the Bank of Japan raised interest rates to levels unseen in 15 years.
In commodities, spot gold lost 0.37% to $2,436.31 an ounce and US gold futures settled 0.4% lower to $2,4769.8.
Oil prices took a hit on the growth worries, with global benchmark Brent futures settled down $2.71, or 3.41%, to $76.81 a barrel. US West Texas Intermediate crude futures finished down $2.79, or 3.66%, at $73.52.



Saudi Arabia: Global Mining Needs $6 Trillion in Investments to Meet Demand

Saudi Minister of Industry and Mineral Resources Bandar Al-Khorayef speaks at the start of the event. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
Saudi Minister of Industry and Mineral Resources Bandar Al-Khorayef speaks at the start of the event. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
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Saudi Arabia: Global Mining Needs $6 Trillion in Investments to Meet Demand

Saudi Minister of Industry and Mineral Resources Bandar Al-Khorayef speaks at the start of the event. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
Saudi Minister of Industry and Mineral Resources Bandar Al-Khorayef speaks at the start of the event. (Asharq Al-Awsat)

The global mining industry requires $6 trillion in investments over the next decade to meet rising demand, presenting a major challenge for the sector. This figure was revealed by Saudi Minister of Industry and Mineral Resources Bandar Al-Khorayef during an international meeting of mining ministers.

The announcement underscores the mining sector’s appetite for investments, coinciding with Saudi Arabia’s increasing focus on making mining the third pillar of its national industrial strategy.

The meeting was part of the Future Minerals Forum hosted by Saudi Arabia under the theme “Creating Impact,” which gathered representatives from nearly 90 countries and over 50 organizations. The conference highlighted the vital role of mining in Saudi Arabia and the global economy.

Key topics discussed included boosting value addition in mineral-producing countries and developing green metals using advanced technologies and renewable energy.

The ministerial meeting facilitated the signing of several memorandums of understanding aimed at strengthening international partnerships and advancing Saudi Arabia’s mining and minerals sector.

In 2022, Saudi Arabia increased its estimated untapped mineral wealth from $1.3 trillion to $2.5 trillion, a move intended to support the Kingdom’s efforts to diversify its economy.

Global mining investments

In his opening remarks, Al-Khorayef stated that the global mining industry would need investments of $6 trillion over the next decade to meet growing demand, particularly driven by the global energy transition. He emphasized that metals are the foundation of supply chains and are essential for meeting the increasing demand for critical materials.

The minister also stressed the importance of continuing three initiatives launched at last year’s conference, namely, the International Framework for Critical Minerals, a network of centers of excellence to build mining expertise in the Middle East, and a priority-based approach to supply chain development.

He proposed forming a ministerial-level steering committee to oversee these initiatives and called on multilateral organizations to develop a roadmap to mitigate investment risks and enhance collaboration.

In remarks to Asharq Al-Awsat on the sidelines of the conference, Al-Khorayef said that Saudi Arabia is working closely with Arab countries, particularly those with established mining sectors like Morocco, Jordan and Egypt.

The minister highlighted the need for regional integration in mining, as companies often operate across multiple areas, stressing that mining is a key component of Saudi Vision 2030, particularly as the world shifts toward sustainable energy solutions and technologies that require large quantities of minerals.

Yonis Ali Guedi, Djibouti’s Minister of Energy and Natural Resources told Asharq Al-Awsat that his country had signed a new cooperation agreement with Saudi Arabia to enhance collaboration in the mining sector and exchange training expertise. The agreement also includes resource-sharing and highlights Djibouti’s need for Saudi investments, he added.

The minister underlined the significant role Saudi companies could play in developing Djibouti’s mining sector, while also acknowledging progress in local industries. On a broader level, Guedi pointed to the growth of Africa’s mining sector and underscored the importance of maintaining this momentum to meet global demand.

Focus on critical minerals

In comments to Asharq Al-Awsat, Julius Maada Bio, Sierra Leone’s Minister of Mines and Mineral Resources, said that financing remains the greatest challenge for his country’s mining sector.

Exploration of critical minerals, he explained, requires significant investments with high risks, a challenge faced by many African nations. Bio underscored the importance of improving Sierra Leone’s infrastructure and value chain capabilities, from exploration to processing, and expressed interest in leveraging Saudi expertise in mining.

He added that Sierra Leone is seeking to strengthen international cooperation to create a comprehensive framework for critical minerals, with a focus on sustainability.

Malaysia’s Minister of Natural Resources, Environment, and Climate Change Nik Nazmi Nik Ahmad highlighted that the key challenge for his country’s mining sector is its technological gap. He noted that advanced technologies for producing and processing rare earth minerals are concentrated in a few major countries, limiting Malaysia’s competitiveness in global markets.

The minister also pointed to geopolitical tensions disrupting global supply chains, which has complicated matters for countries like Malaysia that rely on trade with both China and the United States.

Despite these challenges, Ahmad stated that his country is working to boost its domestic processing capabilities for rare earth minerals, aiming to reduce its reliance on raw material exports.

Yemeni Minister of Minerals Dr. Saeed Al-Shamasi emphasized Yemen’s valuable mineral resources, including lithium, which is essential for batteries and renewable energy technologies. Yemen also holds reserves of copper and other strategic minerals.

He called for urgent foreign investments to develop the sector, given Yemen’s lack of advanced infrastructure. Al-Shamasi also highlighted Yemen’s efforts to strengthen cooperation with Saudi Arabia, noting the establishment of a Saudi-Yemeni Business Council to facilitate investment across various sectors.

International agreements

During the ministerial meeting, Al-Khorayef signed cooperation agreements with six countries: Djibouti, the United Kingdom, Jordan, Zambia, Austria and France. These agreements aim to strengthen international partnerships and advance the Kingdom’s mining sector.

The accompanying exhibition featured cutting-edge technologies and innovations in mining, promoting global collaboration to achieve sustainability in the sector.

Meanhwile, two global alliances, including local and international companies, won exploration licenses for six mining sites in Saudi Arabia during the seventh round of mining competitions, according to the Ministry’s statement on Tuesday.