Gold Headed for Weekly Gain as Sept US Rate Cut Views Firm

An employee at a gold shop in Khan El Khalili, Cairo (Reuters)
An employee at a gold shop in Khan El Khalili, Cairo (Reuters)
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Gold Headed for Weekly Gain as Sept US Rate Cut Views Firm

An employee at a gold shop in Khan El Khalili, Cairo (Reuters)
An employee at a gold shop in Khan El Khalili, Cairo (Reuters)

Gold prices edged up on Friday and were set for a weekly gain on growing optimism about a September US rate cut, although expectations the Federal Reserve will ease aggressively have been tempered ahead of Chair Jerome Powell's upcoming speech.

Spot gold was up 0.3% at 2,462.82 per ounce, as of 1002 GMT and has gained more than 1% so far this week. US gold futures rose 0.3% to $2,500.50.

"Gold traders are proceeding with caution this week because US data has greatly lowered the chances of a 50 bps interest rate cut in September," said Zain Vawda, market analyst at MarketPulse by OANDA, Reuters reported.

US. inflation data indicates that gold may need additional catalysts to surpass $2,500, while this level could eventually be reached, it's unlikely in the near term, with gold expected to remain within the $2,360 to $2,480 range, Vawda added.

Recent data restored confidence that had been shaken by a surprisingly weak employment report earlier this month. It also bolstered optimism regarding improving inflation, as evidenced by the July releases of the producer price index and consumer price index this week.

Traders are convinced the Fed will slash rates on Sept. 18, but had debated the size of the reduction. Odds currently stand at 25% for a 50 basis-point cut, down from 36% a day earlier, according to the CME Group's FedWatch Tool.

A low interest rate environment tends to boost non-yielding bullion's appeal.

Minutes of the Fed's July policy meeting are due on Wednesday and Powell will speak on the US economic outlook next Friday at the Jackson Hole symposium.

Elsewhere, spot silver fell 0.6% to $28.22 per ounce, and platinum dipped 0.2% to $951.05 after gaining as much as 4% to hit a two-week high on Thursday. Palladium shed 0.6% to $941.19.

All metals were on track for weekly gains.



Oil Prices Set to End Week Higher on US Demand Optimism

File photo: Hawk Dunlap, an oil well control specialist, and Sarah Stogner, an oil and gas lawyer, survey an excavated pumpjack with a leaking surface casing in Ward County, Texas, US, August 6, 2024. REUTERS/Adrees Latif
File photo: Hawk Dunlap, an oil well control specialist, and Sarah Stogner, an oil and gas lawyer, survey an excavated pumpjack with a leaking surface casing in Ward County, Texas, US, August 6, 2024. REUTERS/Adrees Latif
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Oil Prices Set to End Week Higher on US Demand Optimism

File photo: Hawk Dunlap, an oil well control specialist, and Sarah Stogner, an oil and gas lawyer, survey an excavated pumpjack with a leaking surface casing in Ward County, Texas, US, August 6, 2024. REUTERS/Adrees Latif
File photo: Hawk Dunlap, an oil well control specialist, and Sarah Stogner, an oil and gas lawyer, survey an excavated pumpjack with a leaking surface casing in Ward County, Texas, US, August 6, 2024. REUTERS/Adrees Latif

Oil prices were set for a second straight week of gains despite edging lower on Friday, as recent US economic data boosted optimism over demand in the world's top oil consumer.
Brent crude futures looked set for a 1.3% weekly rise, while US West Texas Intermediate crude futures had increased about 1.2%. On Friday, Brent fell 30 cents, or 0.4%, to $80.74 per barrel by 0528 GMT, while the WTI fell 40 cents, or 0.5%, to $77.76.
US retail sales data on Thursday beat analysts' expectations, while separate data showed fewer Americans had filed new applications for unemployment benefits last week, sparking renewed optimism around US economic growth.
"Crude oil reversed recent losses as positive economic data and supply side concerns boosted investor sentiment," analysts at ANZ Research said.
Analysts at consultancy FGE said oil markets would now return their focus to geopolitics, amid warnings of retaliatory attacks from Iran against Israel over the killing of a Hamas leader in Tehran.
A fresh round of negotiations began on Thursday to secure a ceasefire in the Gaza war, even as Israeli troops continued their assault on the Palestinian enclave.
The talks, which have been boycotted by Hamas, were extended and will resume in the Qatari capital Doha on Friday.
Keeping a lid on oil prices, Chinese refineries sharply lowered crude processing rates last month on tepid fuel demand.
The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) on Monday pared its demand outlook for this year citing softer expectations for China.
"Despite crude oil inventories rising last week, gasoline and distillate demand remains strong. This doesn't appear to be the case in China, with apparent oil demand falling 8% y/y in July," ANZ analysts said.