PM: Egypt Eyes Shift from Commodity Subsidies to Cash Payments by July 2025

FILE PHOTO: Birds fly during sunset with Cairo skyline visible in the background, during foggy cold weather, Egypt February 1, 2024. REUTERS/Amr Abdallah Dalsh/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: Birds fly during sunset with Cairo skyline visible in the background, during foggy cold weather, Egypt February 1, 2024. REUTERS/Amr Abdallah Dalsh/File Photo
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PM: Egypt Eyes Shift from Commodity Subsidies to Cash Payments by July 2025

FILE PHOTO: Birds fly during sunset with Cairo skyline visible in the background, during foggy cold weather, Egypt February 1, 2024. REUTERS/Amr Abdallah Dalsh/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: Birds fly during sunset with Cairo skyline visible in the background, during foggy cold weather, Egypt February 1, 2024. REUTERS/Amr Abdallah Dalsh/File Photo

Egypt could begin transitioning from subsidizing essential commodities to providing direct cash assistance to its poorest citizens as early as the next fiscal year (July to June), Prime Minister Mostafa Madbouly said on Thursday.
Currently, Egypt subsidizes essential commodities for more than half of its population. Over 60 million people have access to discounted prices on staples like pasta, vegetable oil and sugar through state-run outlets, while at least 10 million more benefit from subsidized bread.
“There is widespread consensus that cash subsidies are the way forward,” Madbouly told a press conference, noting that the Ministry of Supply, which oversees Egypt’s subsidy program, is exploring various scenarios for this significant policy shift.
Madbouly expressed optimism that the initial phase of the transition could start in the upcoming fiscal year, provided that consensus was reached on the matter at a year-old national political dialogue that is discussing a variety of reforms.
However, Reuters said that he emphasized that the transition would unfold gradually, in several stages.
The National Dialogue, initiated by President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi in April 2022 amid one of Egypt’s most severe economic crises, aims to generate political, economic, and social reform recommendations for the President's consideration.
The government also subsidizes fuel but has outlined plans to reduce these subsidies, aiming to restore fuel prices to their full cost by December 2025.



Libya's Oil Output Falls More Than Half

A general view of Ras Lanuf Oil and Gas Company in Ras Lanuf, Libya, August 28, 2024. REUTERS/Mohammed Al-Hadad
A general view of Ras Lanuf Oil and Gas Company in Ras Lanuf, Libya, August 28, 2024. REUTERS/Mohammed Al-Hadad
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Libya's Oil Output Falls More Than Half

A general view of Ras Lanuf Oil and Gas Company in Ras Lanuf, Libya, August 28, 2024. REUTERS/Mohammed Al-Hadad
A general view of Ras Lanuf Oil and Gas Company in Ras Lanuf, Libya, August 28, 2024. REUTERS/Mohammed Al-Hadad

More than half of Libya's oil production, or about 700,000 barrels per day, was offline on Thursday and exports were halted at several ports as a standoff between rival political factions over the central bank and oil revenue threatens to end a four-year period of relative peace.

The crisis over control of the Central Bank of Libya threatens a new bout of instability in the country, a major oil producer that is split between eastern and western factions that have drawn backing from Turkey and Russia.

Ports in Libya's hydrocarbon-rich Oil Crescent - Es Sidra, Brega, Zueitina and Ras Lanuf - halted export operations on Thursday, two engineers at the ports told Reuters.

Four vessels had loaded 600,000 barrels of oil each in the eastern region that accounts for the bulk of the country's exports - two at Es Sidra, one at Brega and one at Zueitina - and departed earlier on Thursday, the engineers said.

Output at oilfields controlled by Waha Oil Company, a subsidiary of the National Oil Corporation, has dropped to 150,000 barrels per day (bpd) from 280,000 bpd and is expected to fall further, engineers told Reuters on Thursday.

Production has also been halted or reduced at the Sharara, Sarir, Abu Attifel, Amal and Nafoora fields, engineers have said.

That has taken roughly 700,000 bpd of oil output offline, according to Reuters calculations. Libya pumped about 1.18 million bpd in July.
Consulting firm Rapidan Energy Group has estimated production losses could reach between 900,000 and 1 million bpd and last for several weeks.

Eastern factions have vowed to keep oil production shut off until the internationally recognized Presidency Council and Government of National Unity in Tripoli, in the west, return veteran central bank governor Sadiq al-Kabir to his post.

The Presidency Council, headed by Mohammed al-Menfi, said on Aug. 18 it was dismissing Kabir, a move rejected by the eastern-based House of Representatives parliament, and eastern commander Khalifa Haftar's force called the Libyan National Army.