African Leaders in Beijing Eyeing Big Loans and Investment

People pass by signage for the Summit of the Forum on China-Africa Cooperation (FOCAC) in Beijing, China, 01 September 2024. (EPA)
People pass by signage for the Summit of the Forum on China-Africa Cooperation (FOCAC) in Beijing, China, 01 September 2024. (EPA)
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African Leaders in Beijing Eyeing Big Loans and Investment

People pass by signage for the Summit of the Forum on China-Africa Cooperation (FOCAC) in Beijing, China, 01 September 2024. (EPA)
People pass by signage for the Summit of the Forum on China-Africa Cooperation (FOCAC) in Beijing, China, 01 September 2024. (EPA)

African leaders descend on China's capital this week, seeking funds for big-ticket infrastructure projects as they eye mounting great power competition over resources and influence on the continent.

China has expanded ties with African nations in the past decade, furnishing them with billions in loans that have helped build infrastructure but also sometimes stoked controversy by saddling countries with huge debts.

China has sent hundreds of thousands of workers to Africa to build its megaprojects, while tapping the continent's vast natural resources including copper, gold, lithium and rare earth minerals.

Beijing has said this week's China-Africa forum will be its largest diplomatic event since the Covid-19 pandemic, with leaders of South Africa, Nigeria, Kenya and other nations confirmed to attend and dozens of delegations expected.

African countries were "looking to tap the opportunities in China for growth", Ovigwe Eguegu, a policy analyst at consultancy Development Reimagined, told AFP.

China, the world's number two economy, is Africa's largest trading partner, with bilateral trade hitting $167.8 billion in the first half of this year, according to Chinese state media.

Beijing's loans to African nations last year were their highest in five years, research by the Chinese Loans to Africa Database found. Top borrowers were Angola, Ethiopia, Egypt, Nigeria and Kenya.

But analysts said an economic slowdown in China has made Beijing increasingly reluctant to shell out big sums.

China has also resisted offering debt relief, even as some African nations have struggled to repay their loans -- in some cases being forced to slash spending on vital public services.

Since the last China-Africa forum six years ago, "the world experienced a lot of changes, including Covid, geopolitical tension and now these economic challenges", Tang Xiaoyang of Beijing's Tsinghua University told AFP.

The "old model" of loans for "large infrastructure and very rapid industrialization" is simply no longer feasible, he said.

The continent is a key node in Beijing's Belt and Road Initiative, a massive infrastructure project and central pillar of Xi Jinping's bid to expand China's clout overseas.

The BRI has channeled much-needed investment to African countries for projects like railways, ports and hydroelectric plants.

But critics charge Beijing with saddling nations with debt and funding infrastructure projects that damage the environment.

One project in Kenya, a $5 billion railway -- built with finance from Exim Bank of China -- connects the capital Nairobi with the port city of Mombasa.

But a second phase meant to continue the line to Uganda never materialized, as both countries struggled to repay BRI debts.

In central Africa, Western and Chinese firms are racing to secure access to rare minerals.

The continent has rich deposits of manganese, cobalt, nickel and lithium -- crucial for renewable energy technology.

The Moanda region of Gabon alone contains as much as a quarter of known global reserves of manganese, and South Africa accounts for 37 percent of global output of the metal.

Cobalt mining is dominated by the Democratic Republic of Congo, which accounts for 70 percent of the world total. But in terms of processing, China is the leader, at 50 percent.

Mounting geopolitical tensions between the United States and China, which are clashing over everything from the status of self-ruled Taiwan to trade, also weigh on Africa.

Washington has warned against what it sees as Beijing's malign influence.

In 2022, the White House said China sought to "advance its own narrow commercial and geopolitical interests (and) undermine transparency and openness".

Beijing insists it does not want a new cold war with Washington but rather seeks "win-win" cooperation, promoting development while profiting from boosted trade.

"We do not just give aid, give them help," Tsinghua University's Tang said.

"We are just partners with you while you are developing. We are also benefiting from it."

But analysts fear African nations could be forced to pick sides.

"African countries lack leverage against China," Development Reimagined's Eguegu said.

"Some people... think you can use the US to balance China," he said. "You cannot."



China's Russian Oil Imports to Hit New Record in February as India Cuts Back

Oil tankers are seen at a terminal of Sinopec Yaogang oil depot in Nantong, Jiangsu province, China (Reuters) 
Oil tankers are seen at a terminal of Sinopec Yaogang oil depot in Nantong, Jiangsu province, China (Reuters) 
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China's Russian Oil Imports to Hit New Record in February as India Cuts Back

Oil tankers are seen at a terminal of Sinopec Yaogang oil depot in Nantong, Jiangsu province, China (Reuters) 
Oil tankers are seen at a terminal of Sinopec Yaogang oil depot in Nantong, Jiangsu province, China (Reuters) 

China's Russian oil imports are set to climb for a third straight month to a new record high in February as independent refiners snapped up deeply discounted cargoes after India slashed purchases, according to traders and ship-tracking data.

Russian crude shipments are estimated to amount to 2.07 million barrels per day for February deliveries into China, surpassing January's estimated rate of 1.7 million bpd, an early assessment by Vortexa Analytics shows.

Kpler's provisional data showed February imports at 2.083 million bpd, up from 1.718 million bpd in January, according to Reuters.

China has since November replaced India as Moscow's top client for seaborne shipments as Western sanctions over the war in Ukraine and pressure to clinch a trade deal with the US forced New Delhi to scale back Russian oil imports to a two-year low in December.

India's Russian crude imports are estimated to fall further to 1.159 million bpd in February, Kpler data showed.

Independent Chinese refiners, known as teapots, are the world's largest consumers of US sanctioned oil from Russia, Iran and Venezuela.

“For the quality you get from processing Russian oil versus Iranian, Russian supplies have become relatively more competitive,” said a senior Chinese trader who regularly deals with teapots.

ESPO blend last traded at $8 to $9 a barrel discounts to ICE Brent for March deliveries, while Iranian Light, a grade of similar quality, was last assessed at $10 to $11 below ICE Brent, the trader added.

Uncertainty since January over whether the US would launch military strikes on Iran if negotiations for a nuclear deal failed to yield Washington's desired results curbed buying from Chinese teapots and traders, said Emma Li, Vortexa's China analyst.

“For teapots, Russian oil looks more reliable now as people are worried about loadings of Iranian oil in case of a military confrontation,” Li said.

Part of the elevated Russian oil purchases came from larger independent refiners outside the teapot hub of Shandong, Li added.

Vortexa estimated Iranian oil deliveries into China – often banded by traders as Malaysian to circumvent US sanctions - eased to 1.03 million bpd this month, down from January's 1.25 million bpd.

 

 

 


Oil in Spotlight as Trump's Iran Warning Rattles Sleepy Markets

FILE - In this Oct. 21, 2013, file photo, smoke billows from an oil refinery in Kawasaki, southwest of Tokyo. (AP Photo/Koji Sasahara, File)
FILE - In this Oct. 21, 2013, file photo, smoke billows from an oil refinery in Kawasaki, southwest of Tokyo. (AP Photo/Koji Sasahara, File)
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Oil in Spotlight as Trump's Iran Warning Rattles Sleepy Markets

FILE - In this Oct. 21, 2013, file photo, smoke billows from an oil refinery in Kawasaki, southwest of Tokyo. (AP Photo/Koji Sasahara, File)
FILE - In this Oct. 21, 2013, file photo, smoke billows from an oil refinery in Kawasaki, southwest of Tokyo. (AP Photo/Koji Sasahara, File)

Oil prices stabilized on Tuesday as investors assessed supply disruption risks after Iran conducted naval exercises near the Strait of Hormuz ahead of nuclear talks with the United States later in the day.

US President Donald Trump said on Monday that he would participate "indirectly" in the Geneva talks, adding that he believed Tehran wanted to reach an agreement. Trump said at the end of the week that regime change in Iran would be the "best thing that could happen."

Brent crude futures fell 0.2 percent to $68.59 a barrel by 01:06 GMT, after rising 1.3 percent on Monday.

US West Texas Intermediate crude was at $63.73 a barrel, up 84 cents, or 1.34 percent, but that gain incorporated all price movement on Monday, as the contract was not settled that day due to the US Presidents Day holiday.

Many markets were closed on Tuesday for the Lunar New Year, including China, Hong Kong, Taiwan, South Korea and Singapore.

"The market remains jittery amid ongoing geopolitical uncertainty," Daniel Hynes, an analyst at ANZ Bank, said in a research note.

He added: "Should tensions in the Middle East ease, or tangible progress be made on the Ukrainian situation, the risk premium currently embedded in oil prices may quickly dissipate. However, any negative outcome or further escalation could be positive for oil prices."

Iran began military exercises on Monday in the Strait of Hormuz, a vital international waterway and a major oil export route from Gulf countries, which have called for diplomacy to end the conflict.

Meanwhile, Citigroup said that if Russian supply disruptions continue to keep Brent crude within a range of $65 to $70 a barrel in the coming months, OPEC+ is likely to respond by increasing production from spare capacity.

Three sources in OPEC+ said the organization is inclined to resume increasing oil production from April, as the group prepares for peak summer demand, and higher prices are reinforced by tensions over US-Iranian relations.

"We expect, in the base case, that two oil deals will be reached, one with Iran and the other with Russia and Ukraine, by or during the summer of this year, which will contribute to a decline in prices to $60-62 a barrel of Brent," Citigroup said.


Greece… Chevron’s Gateway to Strengthening Europe’s Energy Security

The lease allows Chevron to lead the search for gas in four deep-sea blocks, south of the Peloponnese peninsula and the island of Crete (AFP)
The lease allows Chevron to lead the search for gas in four deep-sea blocks, south of the Peloponnese peninsula and the island of Crete (AFP)
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Greece… Chevron’s Gateway to Strengthening Europe’s Energy Security

The lease allows Chevron to lead the search for gas in four deep-sea blocks, south of the Peloponnese peninsula and the island of Crete (AFP)
The lease allows Chevron to lead the search for gas in four deep-sea blocks, south of the Peloponnese peninsula and the island of Crete (AFP)

A consortium led by US oil major Chevron signed exclusive lease agreements on Monday to look for natural gas off southern Greece, expanding the United States' presence in the eastern Mediterranean. The deal doubles the amount of Greek maritime acreage available for exploration and is the second in months involving a US energy major as the European Union seeks to phase out supplies from Russia and the US seeks ‌to replace them.

Exxon ‌Mobil in November joined Energean and Helleniq to search ‌for ⁠gas in another ⁠offshore block in Western Greece. Monday's agreement allows Chevron - which also plans to expand production in Israel - to lead the search for gas in four deep-sea blocks, south of the Peloponnese peninsula and the island of Crete, stretching across 47,000 square kilometers (18,147 square miles). It follows Chevron and Helleniq Energy, Greece's biggest oil refiner, last year winning an international tender.

GREECE SEEKS TO BE A GATEWAY FOR US GAS

Greece, which ⁠has no gas production and relies on gas imports ‌for power generation and domestic consumption, has revived ‌its quest for gas exploration after a 2022 energy price shock driven by Russia's ‌invasion of Ukraine. It also aims to be a gateway for US ‌liquefied natural gas transported via the Vertical Gas Corridor, a route that carries gas from Greece to central Europe and Ukraine. US Ambassador to Greece Kimberly Guilfoyle said US LNG flowing through Greece had strengthened the alliance between the United States and Europe.

"It redraws, ‌quite simply, the energy map of Europe, creating a durable alternative to Russian gas not just for one season ⁠but for generations ⁠to come," Guilfoyle said during a presentation of the contracts in Athens. The European Union is building renewables capacity to cut greenhouse emissions, but has acknowledged the need for natural gas as a transition fuel to help stabilize the grid when intermittent wind and solar energy are not available.

The Greek parliament will need to approve the lease contracts before the Chevron-led consortium can start seismic research later this year. Greece has said the consortium has up to five years to locate potential recoverable deposits and any test drilling would not take place before 2030-2032.