Oil Climbs on Middle East Escalation Fears, US Fed Rate Cut 

A chemical/oil tanker (L) passes a container ship at the Port of Los Angeles on September 20, 2024 in Los Angeles, California. (Getty Images North America / AFP)
A chemical/oil tanker (L) passes a container ship at the Port of Los Angeles on September 20, 2024 in Los Angeles, California. (Getty Images North America / AFP)
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Oil Climbs on Middle East Escalation Fears, US Fed Rate Cut 

A chemical/oil tanker (L) passes a container ship at the Port of Los Angeles on September 20, 2024 in Los Angeles, California. (Getty Images North America / AFP)
A chemical/oil tanker (L) passes a container ship at the Port of Los Angeles on September 20, 2024 in Los Angeles, California. (Getty Images North America / AFP)

Oil prices rose on Monday, buoyed by concerns that heightened conflict in the Middle East may curtail regional supply and expectations last week's outsized US interest rate cut will support demand.

Brent crude futures for November were up 22 cents, or 0.3% at $74.71 a barrel at 0705 GMT. US crude futures for November were up 26 cents, or 0.4%, at $71.26.

Both contracts rose in the previous session on support from the US interest rate cut and a dip in US supply in the aftermath of Hurricane Francine. Oil prices climbed last week for a second week.

A softer economic outlook from top consumers China and the US capped further gains.

"Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have edged up a notch between Israel and Hezbollah, which could leave oil prices well-supported on the risks of a wider regional conflict," said Yeap Jun Rong, market strategist at IG.

"However, price gains have been somewhat more measured, which may reflect some reservations over the actual impact on oil supplies, given that the Middle East conflict has been dragging for some time now with little disruptions so far."

The Israeli military launched its most widespread wave of air strikes against Iran-backed Hezbollah, simultaneously targeting Lebanon's south, eastern Bekaa valley and northern region near Syria in nearly a year of conflict.

The latest attacks came amid some of the heaviest cross-border exchanges of fire in a conflict raging alongside the war between Israel and Hamas in Gaza.

The conflict has escalated sharply in the past week after thousands of pagers and walkie-talkies used by Hezbollah members exploded. The attack was widely blamed on Israel, which has not confirmed or denied responsibility.

While both oil benchmarks rose more than 4% last week on the back of the US rate cut, weaker demand sentiment in top oil importer China is capping the upswing, said Priyanka Sachdeva, senior market analyst at Phillip Nova, in a note.

"The demand for fuel is still up in the air," she said, adding that the US rate cut "raised concerns that the Fed may have envisioned ailing labor markets".

Last Wednesday, the US Federal Reserve cut interest rates by half a percentage point, a larger decrease in borrowing costs than many expected.

Interest rate cuts typically boost economic activity and energy demand, but analysts and market participants are concerned the central bank may see a slowing job market.



15th Turkish-Arab Economic Cooperation Forum Kicks Off in Istanbul

Aboul Gheit addressing the opening session of the forum (Arab League - X)
Aboul Gheit addressing the opening session of the forum (Arab League - X)
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15th Turkish-Arab Economic Cooperation Forum Kicks Off in Istanbul

Aboul Gheit addressing the opening session of the forum (Arab League - X)
Aboul Gheit addressing the opening session of the forum (Arab League - X)

The Secretary-General of the Arab League, Ahmed Aboul Gheit, stressed the need for Arab-Turkish economic cooperation to extend beyond trade into broader areas that drive sustainable economic development for both sides.

Speaking at the 15th Turkish-Arab Economic Forum in Istanbul, Aboul Gheit emphasized the importance of collaboration in infrastructure, clean energy, green technology, and services such as tourism and fintech. He also highlighted the potential for joint efforts in scientific research and innovation aimed at mutual economic benefit.

Aboul Gheit pointed out the significant growth in trade between the Arab world and Türkiye in recent years. In 2022, Turkish exports to Arab countries amounted to $46 billion, while Arab exports to Türkiye reached $36 billion, representing a notable share of both sides’ overall trade. However, he urged expanding this relationship to include sectors like energy, technology, and logistics, leveraging the strategic geographical position of both regions as a crucial economic bridge connecting Asia, Europe, and Africa.

The forum, themed “Türkiye and the Arab World: A Global Corridor in Investment, Trade, and Technology,” was organized with the support of Türkiye’s Ministry of Treasury and Finance, the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, and other major regional institutions. It aimed to explore new opportunities in emerging sectors such as green energy, fintech, logistics, and capital markets, while addressing the regional and global economic challenges impacting both sides.

Turkish Minister of Treasury and Finance Mehmet Simsek acknowledged the uncertainty facing the global economy, which is limiting growth, especially in global trade. He also noted the rapid advancements in artificial intelligence, which are expected to reshape industries and societies. Simsek emphasized the need for Türkiye and the Arab world to capitalize on their potential for economic integration, particularly in this time of global economic shifts.

For his part, Egyptian Finance Minister Ahmed Kojak underlined Egypt’s efforts to ensure financial stability, production growth, and export competitiveness. He pointed to Egypt’s role in regional cooperation, highlighting initiatives such as the electricity grid connection with Saudi Arabia, which showcases the potential for regional collaboration in energy.

Tunisian Minister of Economy and Planning Samir Abdelhafidh focused on the advantages of developing economic corridors between Türkiye and the Arab world, particularly through free trade agreements, while Iraqi Finance Minister Taif Sami Mohammed stressed Iraq’s openness to cooperation with Türkiye, noting the country’s strategic position for global trade.

In turn, Kuwaiti Finance Minister Noura Suleiman Al-Fusam highlighted the need to remove trade barriers to increase interactions between Türkiye and the Arab world, with a focus on fostering investments.