Gold Near Record High; Investors Await Fed Chair Powell's Speech

FILE - Gold bars are shown stacked in a vault at the United States Mint, on July 22, 2014, in West Point, N.Y. (AP Photo/Mike Groll, File)
FILE - Gold bars are shown stacked in a vault at the United States Mint, on July 22, 2014, in West Point, N.Y. (AP Photo/Mike Groll, File)
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Gold Near Record High; Investors Await Fed Chair Powell's Speech

FILE - Gold bars are shown stacked in a vault at the United States Mint, on July 22, 2014, in West Point, N.Y. (AP Photo/Mike Groll, File)
FILE - Gold bars are shown stacked in a vault at the United States Mint, on July 22, 2014, in West Point, N.Y. (AP Photo/Mike Groll, File)

Gold prices rebounded and looked set to scale a fresh peak on Thursday, on mounting expectations for another US interest rate cut this year, while investors awaited Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's address later today for more policy cues.
Spot gold climbed 0.4% to $2,668.05 per ounce, as of 0913 GMT, a few dollars away from the record $2,670.43 it hit on Wednesday.
US gold futures were up 0.2% to $2,691.20, reported Reuters.
"Gold price strength is feeding on itself just now. That’s to say momentum is driving speculative flows despite a rising US dollar and Treasury yields," said independent analyst Ross Norman.
"Powell's comments will be observed for indications about the depth of further cuts. But really it's a case of when, not if."
Last week, the Fed trimmed the benchmark policy rate by 50 basis points to 4.75%-5.00%. Traders now see a 62% chance of an additional 50 bps reduction in November, according to the CME FedWatch Tool.
Lower interest rates boost non-yielding gold's appeal.
Powell is set to give opening remarks later in the day at a conference, where New York Fed President John Williams and Fed Vice Chair for Supervision Michael Barr will also speak.
Markets will also scan the US jobless claims data on Thursday and the core personal consumption expenditure index - the Fed's preferred inflation indicator - on Friday.
Bullion has risen more than 29% so far in 2024, hitting record highs several times, fueled by the US rate cuts, safe-haven demand due to geopolitical and economic uncertainty and robust central bank buying.
"In the coming weeks, gold could set new records and we see $3,000 an ounce as the maximum extension of the bullish movement," analysts at Intesa Sanpaolo said.
"We forecast a 4Q24 gold average of $2,595, as some profit-taking could materialize towards year end."
Among other metals, spot silver climbed 0.9% to $32.16 per ounce, holding close to the four-month high it hit on Wednesday.
Platinum rose 1.8% to $1,005.61 and palladium gained 2.4% to $1,062.36.



Iranian Gas to Iraq Resumes After South Pars Attack

An Iranian man walks along the phase 15-16 of the South Pars gas field facilities in the southern Iranian port of Assaluyeh on the shore of the Gulf on January 22, 2014. (AFP)
An Iranian man walks along the phase 15-16 of the South Pars gas field facilities in the southern Iranian port of Assaluyeh on the shore of the Gulf on January 22, 2014. (AFP)
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Iranian Gas to Iraq Resumes After South Pars Attack

An Iranian man walks along the phase 15-16 of the South Pars gas field facilities in the southern Iranian port of Assaluyeh on the shore of the Gulf on January 22, 2014. (AFP)
An Iranian man walks along the phase 15-16 of the South Pars gas field facilities in the southern Iranian port of Assaluyeh on the shore of the Gulf on January 22, 2014. (AFP)

Iranian gas supplies to Iraq have resumed at a rate of five million cubic meters per day, the Iraqi electricity ministry said on Saturday, according ‌to the state ‌news agency.

Flows had ‌been ⁠halted after Israel ⁠attacked Iran's main gas field, South Pars, on Wednesday.

The current five million cubic meters is a fraction ⁠of the contracted 50 ‌million ‌cubic meters.

Iraqi officials ‌say volumes will increase gradually, ‌but have provided neither a timeframe nor details of the damage to ‌the Iranian gas facilities.

"Following the resumption of ⁠Iranian ⁠gas supplies, the national grid has recorded stability in production at 14,000 megawatts," Ahmed Moussa, an electricity ministry spokesperson, was quoted as saying by the state news agency.


Trump to Be Guest of Honor at Saudi Arabia’s Future Investment Initiative Summit in Miami

Trump delivers a speech at last year's edition of the event. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
Trump delivers a speech at last year's edition of the event. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
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Trump to Be Guest of Honor at Saudi Arabia’s Future Investment Initiative Summit in Miami

Trump delivers a speech at last year's edition of the event. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
Trump delivers a speech at last year's edition of the event. (Asharq Al-Awsat)

The Future Investment Initiative (FII) Institute announced that US President Donald Trump will participate as a guest of honor and speaker at the fourth edition of the “Priority Future Investment Initiative” summit in Miami, scheduled to be held from March 25 to 27.

Trump is scheduled to deliver a keynote speech in person during the summit's closing session on March 27. The appearance marks the second time Trump has addressed this international gathering of leaders, investors, and decision-makers on the platform, reflecting the growing strategic importance of this summit in global economic circles.

Trump's participation comes at a very sensitive time for the global economy, which is reeling under the weight of escalating energy crises and sharp jumps in oil prices that have exceeded the $100 mark.

The global audience in Miami will be waiting to see Trump's vision on how to manage these developments and his philosophy towards the movement of capital in light of current geopolitical conflicts.

In last year's edition, Trump reaffirmed that the golden age of the United States had officially begun, considering the economic progress that had occurred since he took office to be "amazing."

This year's summit is being held under the slogan "Capital in Motion," where it seeks to explore how capital moves, adapts, and leads in a rapidly fragmenting world.

The agenda focuses intensively on the role of investment, technology, and policies in achieving sustainable and inclusive growth, while highlighting Latin America region and the Americas as a center of the current global transformation.

The summit brings together an elite group of senior officials, investors, and innovators, and prominent from the Saudi side is a high-level presence that includes the Governor of the Public Investment Fund and Chairman of the Board of Directors of the Future Investment Initiative Foundation Yasir Al-Rumayyan, Minister of Finance Mohammed Al-Jadaan, Minister of Tourism Ahmed Al-Khateeb, and the Ambassador of the Custodian of the Two Holy Mosques to the United States, Princess Reema bint Bandar Al Saud.

The list of speakers also includes prominent names, such as Steve Witkoff, the US envoy to the Middle East, and Dina Powell McCormick, Vice President of Meta, in addition to the participation of Donald Trump Jr.

The slogan of the fourth edition, "Capital in Motion," reflects an accelerated global reality that knows no stillness, where resources, talents, and ideas flow across borders, industries, and technologies at an unprecedented pace. In light of slowing global growth, persistently high interest rates for longer, and sharp geopolitical rifts, the summit is redrawing the map of investment returns.

The summit is expected to attract more than 1,500 delegates from around the world, forming an economic bridge linking the Middle East, the United States, and the emerging Latin American markets.


IMF Says Gulf Buffers, Export Flexibility Can Absorb War Shock

IMF spokeswoman Julie Kozack speaks during a press conference. (Reuters file)
IMF spokeswoman Julie Kozack speaks during a press conference. (Reuters file)
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IMF Says Gulf Buffers, Export Flexibility Can Absorb War Shock

IMF spokeswoman Julie Kozack speaks during a press conference. (Reuters file)
IMF spokeswoman Julie Kozack speaks during a press conference. (Reuters file)

The International Monetary Fund said that the economic impact of the ongoing conflict on Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) states will depend on its duration, scope and intensity, with strong financial buffers and export flexibility expected to limit the fallout.

IMF spokeswoman Julie Kozack noted that outcomes will vary by country, largely depending on geographic location and the ability to resume exports. She explained that higher oil prices could help some countries offset production losses either partially or fully, depending on how quickly export flows recover.

She pointed to the Gulf’s substantial sovereign buffers and solid economic foundations, built through years of structural reforms aimed at diversifying income and strengthening logistics infrastructure. These measures have improved the region’s resilience to external shocks.

The IMF’s assessment broadly aligns with recent analysis by ratings agency Standard & Poor’s, which highlighted Saudi Arabia’s East–West pipeline as a strategic alternative export route that reduces reliance on key maritime chokepoints.

Elevated oil prices may also compensate for declining output, while the region’s large financial reserves are expected to support a swift recovery once the conflict subsides.

Kozack also highlighted pressure on regional financial markets, with Gulf stock indices declining and bond spreads widening in line with global volatility driven by inflation concerns and rising geopolitical risks.

Economists broadly view the region’s ample financial assets and foreign reserves as a buffer that will support a quicker rebound. Lessons from past energy crises have also helped Gulf states develop more flexible financial and logistics systems.

Standard & Poor’s recently underscored Saudi Arabia’s strong fiscal position and stable credit rating, citing substantial financial buffers and prudent policies. It also noted that alternative export routes such as the East–West pipeline allow the Kingdom to bypass the Strait of Hormuz, reducing risks to trade and growth.

Inflation risk

At the global level, the IMF is closely monitoring disruptions to energy markets, warning that sustained price increases could drive inflation higher and slow economic growth.

Oil and gas prices have surged by more than 50 percent over the past month, with Brent crude rising above $100 per barrel. If maintained for a year, this could push global inflation up by about 40 basis points and reduce economic output by between 0.1 and 0.2 percent, according to the Fund.

The IMF has signaled it stands ready to support member states, although no requests for emergency financing have been received so far.

It remains in close contact with finance ministers and central bank governors as the conflict enters its third week with no clear end in sight.

Kozack added that central banks should closely monitor whether inflation pressures extend beyond energy prices and whether inflation expectations remain stable.

The Fund is expected to incorporate the impact of the conflict into its updated global economic forecasts, due in mid-April during its Spring Meetings with the World Bank.