Saudi Arabia Aims for Global Carbon Market Share Equal to Regional Emissions

Riham ElGizy, CEO of Voluntary Carbon Market.
Riham ElGizy, CEO of Voluntary Carbon Market.
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Saudi Arabia Aims for Global Carbon Market Share Equal to Regional Emissions

Riham ElGizy, CEO of Voluntary Carbon Market.
Riham ElGizy, CEO of Voluntary Carbon Market.

Riham ElGizy, CEO of Voluntary Carbon Market (VCM), a Saudi company which is the first of its kind in the MENA region, said the company currently holds about 1.3% of the global carbon trading market.

In exclusive remarks to Asharq Al-Awsat during the Portfolio Egypt 2024 conference in Cairo on Monday, ElGizy predicted that by 2030, the company’s carbon trading volume could reach 100 million tons, making it one of the largest carbon markets worldwide.

“We aim to achieve a market share that matches the region’s carbon emissions,” she said.

Since 2013, global carbon emissions have exceeded 35 billion tons each year, with growth slowing in recent years. In 2021, Arab countries emitted over 2 billion tons of carbon dioxide, representing 5.45% of global emissions, according to European Union statistics.

The VCM enables companies, governments, and individuals to buy and sell credits that represent reductions in carbon dioxide emissions.

These credits can offset emissions that cannot be reduced through other methods, such as improving energy efficiency or using renewable energy sources. This market is increasingly viewed as an effective way to address climate change.

ElGizy announced that the company has increased the region’s carbon trading share from zero to 1.3% of the global market. This growth is attributed to two recent auctions held by the company.

Last year, around 200 million tons of carbon emissions were removed globally, equivalent to emissions from a country like Spain. ElGizy projected that the market’s trade value could reach $100 billion by 2030 and $250 billion by 2050.

According to the World Bank, carbon pricing revenues reached a record $104 billion in 2023.

In October 2022, the VCM held its first auction, selling about 1.4 million metric tons of carbon credits. The second auction in June 2023 sold around 2.2 million tons.

ElGizy announced plans for a third auction in November, expected to feature 2.5 to 3 million metric tons of carbon credits, coinciding with the launch of a new carbon trading platform at COP29 in Baku, Azerbaijan.

She emphasized that several Saudi and regional companies would participate in this auction, noting its significant size and impact. For perspective, she explained that the first auction's 1.4 million tons represented emissions from 250,000 family cars each year.

Looking ahead, ElGizy expects the company’s carbon trading volume to reach 100 million tons by 2030, positioning it among the largest carbon markets globally. She also highlighted the need for trade to shift from the Global North to the Global South and expressed a goal for Saudi Arabia to lead in regional carbon markets.



Saudi Arabia’s 2025 Budget Projects Revenues of $315.5 Bn

The Saudi government affirmed its commitment to adopting strategic expansionary spending policies that support economic diversification and sustainable growth (Asharq Al-Awsat)
The Saudi government affirmed its commitment to adopting strategic expansionary spending policies that support economic diversification and sustainable growth (Asharq Al-Awsat)
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Saudi Arabia’s 2025 Budget Projects Revenues of $315.5 Bn

The Saudi government affirmed its commitment to adopting strategic expansionary spending policies that support economic diversification and sustainable growth (Asharq Al-Awsat)
The Saudi government affirmed its commitment to adopting strategic expansionary spending policies that support economic diversification and sustainable growth (Asharq Al-Awsat)

Saudi Arabia is forecasting total revenues of SAR1.184 trillion ($315.5 billion) for 2025, with expenditures expected to reach SAR1.285 trillion ($342 billion).

This would result in a projected deficit of SAR101 billion, driven by expansionary spending policies to support economic growth, according to the preliminary budget statement.

The economy is anticipated to grow by 4.6%, a rise from just 0.8% in 2023, with non-oil sectors expected to expand by 3.7%.

Finance Minister Mohammed Al-Jadaan reiterated the commitment to increase spending on essential services and execute strategic projects. He stated that the positive economic outlook reflects Saudi Arabia’s dedication to its ambitious plans.

For the current year, the Kingdom expects revenues and expenditures of SAR1.23 trillion and SAR1.35 trillion, respectively, which could lead to a deficit of SAR118 billion.

According to the preliminary budget statement from Saudi Arabia’s Ministry of Finance, total revenues for the fiscal year 2025 are expected to be around SAR1.184 trillion, rising to about SAR1.289 trillion by 2027.

Total expenditures for 2025 are estimated at approximately SAR1.285 trillion, increasing to around SAR1.429 trillion by 2027.

The statement highlighted that, due to ongoing economic developments and various financial initiatives, Saudi Arabia expects a budget deficit of about 2.3% of GDP for the fiscal year 2025. This deficit is part of efforts to improve stability and sustainability in the state budget.

It noted growth in GDP, primarily driven by non-oil sectors, which have bolstered industries like tourism, entertainment, transportation, logistics, and manufacturing.

This growth has improved quality of life, supported the private sector, and lowered unemployment to historic lows, positively impacting forecasts from international organizations and credit rating agencies.

For 2024, the report projects a real GDP growth rate of 0.8%, with non-oil sectors expected to grow around 3.7%.

Recent drops in interest rates are likely to boost demand and further support economic growth. Preliminary estimates also suggest that inflation could reach about 1.7% by the end of 2024.