Oil Prices Jump More Than $1 as Middle East Tensions Escalate

A pumpjack extracts oil in the Inglewood Oil Field in Los Angeles, Wednesday, Sept. 25, 2024. (AP Photo/Eric Thayer)
A pumpjack extracts oil in the Inglewood Oil Field in Los Angeles, Wednesday, Sept. 25, 2024. (AP Photo/Eric Thayer)
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Oil Prices Jump More Than $1 as Middle East Tensions Escalate

A pumpjack extracts oil in the Inglewood Oil Field in Los Angeles, Wednesday, Sept. 25, 2024. (AP Photo/Eric Thayer)
A pumpjack extracts oil in the Inglewood Oil Field in Los Angeles, Wednesday, Sept. 25, 2024. (AP Photo/Eric Thayer)

Oil prices jumped by over a dollar on Wednesday due to rising concerns Middle East tensions could escalate, potentially disrupting crude output from the region, following Iran's biggest ever military blow against Israel.

Brent futures leapt $1.08, or 1.47%, to $74.64 a barrel, while US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude spiked $1.12, or 1.6%, to $70.95 at 0650 GMT, Reuters reported.

During trading on Tuesday, both crude benchmarks surged more than 5%.
Oil markets were largely focusing on the narrative of a weakening global economic outlook denting demand for fuel, said Priyanka Sachdeva, senior market analyst at Phillip Nova.

"Still, the scale quickly turned towards fears of oil supply disruptions in the Middle East after Iran fired ballistic missiles at Israel," Sachdeva said.
Iran said early on Wednesday that its missile attack on Israel was over barring further provocation, while Israel and the US promised to retaliate against Tehran as fears of a wider war intensified.

Tehran said any Israeli response to the attack, which Israel said involved more than 180 ballistic missiles, would be met with "vast destruction.”
The direct involvement of Iran, an OPEC member, raises the prospect of disruptions to oil supplies, ANZ analysts said in a note, adding that the country's oil output rose to a six-year high of 3.7 million barrels per day in August.
"A major escalation by Iran risks bringing the US into the war," Capital Economics said in a note.
A panel of ministers from the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies, together called OPEC+, meets later on Wednesday to review the market, with no policy changes expected. From December, OPEC+, which includes Russia, is set to raise output by 180,000 barrels per day (bpd) monthly.



Oil Prices Drop as Prospect of Additional Supply Offset Mideast Fears

Oil Prices Drop as Prospect of Additional Supply Offset Mideast Fears
TT

Oil Prices Drop as Prospect of Additional Supply Offset Mideast Fears

Oil Prices Drop as Prospect of Additional Supply Offset Mideast Fears

Oil prices slid by more than 2% on Tuesday as a stronger supply outlook and tepid global demand growth outweighed fears over escalating conflict in the Middle East and its impact on crude exports from the region.

Brent crude futures were down $1.49, or 2.08%, at $70.21 a barrel by 0840 GMT. US West Texas Intermediate crude futures lost $1.55, or 2.27%, to $66.62, Reuters reported.

A panel of top ministers from the OPEC+ producer group meets on Oct. 2 to review the market, with no policy changes expected. OPEC+, comprising the Organizations of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) plus allies including Russia, is scheduled to raise output by 180,000 barrels per day (bpd) in December.

The possibility of Libyan oil output recovering also weighed on the market. Libya's eastern-based parliament agreed on Monday to approve the nomination of a new central bank governor, which could help to end a crisis that drastically reduced the country's oil output.

"The idea of returning Libyan crude and the forthcoming trimming of voluntary cuts by OPEC+ in December serves as interference for those contemplating reduced oil stocks in the US and improving cracks," said John Evans, analyst at oil broker PVM.

In China, manufacturing activity shrank sharply in September, a private sector survey showed on Monday.

Analysts say a slew of stimulus measures over the past week are likely to be enough to bring China's 2024 growth back to about 5% after several months of below-forecast data cast doubts over that target, though the longer-term outlook remains little changed.

Israel began ground incursions in Lebanon on Tuesday, with its military saying troops had begun raids against Hezbollah targets in the border area.

"Worries that Iran will be drawn into action against Israel have helped support prices, but current rhetoric from Iran suggests they are not keen on an escalation beyond their proxies in Yemen, Lebanon and Palestine," said Panmure Gordon analyst Ashley Kelty.

In the United States, crude oil and fuel stockpiles were expected to have fallen by about 2.1 million barrels in the week to Sept. 27, a preliminary Reuters poll showed on Monday.
The poll was conducted ahead of a report from the American Petroleum Institute industry group due at 2030 GMT on Tuesday.