Oil Slips as Strong Supply Counters Middle East, Hurricane Risk

FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)
FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)
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Oil Slips as Strong Supply Counters Middle East, Hurricane Risk

FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)
FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)

Oil prices erased early gains on Wednesday as weak demand fundamentals and rising supply countered elevated risk of supply disruption from conflict in the Middle East and Hurricane Milton in the United States.

Brent crude futures were down 36 cents, or 0.47%, at $76.82 a barrel by 1103 GMT while US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) futures lost 43 cents, or 0.58%, to $73.14, Reuters reported.

Brent and WTI both gained more than 1% earlier in the session after prices had plunged on Tuesday by more than 4% on a possible Hezbollah-Israel ceasefire, though markets remain wary of a potential Israeli attack on Iranian oil infrastructure.

"Despite the current heightened tensions in the Middle East, it is easy to forget that the oil market is very much vulnerable to corrections due to the ongoing bearish macro narrative centred on China," said Harry Tchilinguirian, head of research at Onyx Capital Group.

China said on Tuesday it was "fully confident" of achieving its full-year growth target but refrained from introducing stronger fiscal steps, disappointing investors who had banked on more support for the economy.

Investors have been concerned about slow growth dampening fuel demand in China, the world's largest crude importer.

Weak demand continues to underpin the fundamental outlook. The US. Energy Information Administration's (EIA) on Tuesday downgraded its demand forecast for 2025 on weakening economic activity in China and North America.

US crude oil stocks rose by nearly 11 million barrels last week, much more than analysts polled by Reuters had expected, according to market sources citing American Petroleum Institute figures on Tuesday.

"Such a backdrop belies the war premium in oil prices at present, but it would be a brave soul indeed to dismiss what will happen to oil prices if Israel does the unthinkable and targets Iran's oil sector," said John Evans at oil broker PVM.

Investors are awaiting developments from expected talks between US President Joe Biden and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu over intensifying conflict in the Middle East.

The oil-producing region has been on high alert for any Israeli response to an Iranian missile attack last week in retaliation for Israel's war on Lebanon.



Gulf States Advance Railway Connection, Expected to Launch in 2030

Jassem Al-Budaiwi, Secretary-General of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC), participating at the Global Rail conference in Abu Dhabi, the UAE. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
Jassem Al-Budaiwi, Secretary-General of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC), participating at the Global Rail conference in Abu Dhabi, the UAE. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
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Gulf States Advance Railway Connection, Expected to Launch in 2030

Jassem Al-Budaiwi, Secretary-General of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC), participating at the Global Rail conference in Abu Dhabi, the UAE. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
Jassem Al-Budaiwi, Secretary-General of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC), participating at the Global Rail conference in Abu Dhabi, the UAE. (Asharq Al-Awsat)

Jassem Al-Budaiwi, Secretary-General of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC), announced that member states are working together to unify their policies and strategies.

This effort aims to create a practical framework that meets the needs of the GCC population. He highlighted the completion of several key integration projects, especially the railway connection between GCC countries.

Al-Budaiwi spoke at the Global Rail transport infrastructure conference in Abu Dhabi, which brought together leaders and experts in the transport and railway sectors.

He stated that collaboration with the GCC General Secretariat and the Gulf Railway Authority is ongoing to complete the railway project.

He emphasized that the railway initiative will significantly enhance connectivity and integration within the Gulf, leading to immediate benefits for trade and ease of movement for residents.

He shared findings from a study predicting an increase in passenger and freight movement on the GCC railway.

The number of railway passengers is expected to grow from 6 million in 2030 to 8 million by 2045, while freight is projected to rise from 201 million tons to 271 million tons in the same period.

Furthermore, Al-Budaiwi outlined achievements, including the completion of the UAE’s railway link to the Saudi border and preparations for a bridge connecting Bahrain and Saudi Arabia.

He noted that the railway segment between Ras Al-Khair and Dammam in Saudi Arabia, covering about 200 kilometers, has been complete.

Work continues on remaining project segments and the creation of Hafeet Railways, a partnership between Etihad Rail and Oman Rail, to link Abu Dhabi, the UAE capital, and Sohar, in Oman.

In addition, the design for the first phase of the project in Qatar are complete, and an engineering consultancy agreement for Kuwait’s railway is expected this year.

Plans to connect project routes at the borders between GCC countries are in progress, with 13 technical appendices approved. A competition for the project’s operational plan is underway, and preparations are being made for an asset management system.

Al-Budaiwi explained that the decision by GCC leaders considers both social and economic benefits.

These include improved trade between member states, job creation for GCC citizens, reduced road maintenance costs, stronger community ties, fewer traffic accidents and fatalities, and lower private vehicle use, leading to less fuel consumption and environmental impact.

The strategic railway project is expected to start operations in 2030, he revealed.