China's Exports Miss forecasts as Lone Bright Spot Fades

Employees work on solar photovoltaic modules that will be exported at a factory in Lianyungang, in China's eastern Jiangsu province on January 4, 2024. (Photo by AFP)
Employees work on solar photovoltaic modules that will be exported at a factory in Lianyungang, in China's eastern Jiangsu province on January 4, 2024. (Photo by AFP)
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China's Exports Miss forecasts as Lone Bright Spot Fades

Employees work on solar photovoltaic modules that will be exported at a factory in Lianyungang, in China's eastern Jiangsu province on January 4, 2024. (Photo by AFP)
Employees work on solar photovoltaic modules that will be exported at a factory in Lianyungang, in China's eastern Jiangsu province on January 4, 2024. (Photo by AFP)

China's export growth slowed sharply in September while imports also unexpectedly decelerated, undershooting forecasts by big margins and suggesting manufacturers are slashing prices to move inventory ahead of tariffs from several trade partners.

Last month, export momentum had been one bright spot for the Chinese economy that has struggled to gain traction due to weak domestic demand and a property market debt crisis, adding to the urgency for stronger stimulus.

Outbound shipments from the world's second-largest economy grew 2.4% year-on-year last month, the slowest pace since April, customs data showed on Monday, missing a forecast 6.0% increase in a Reuters poll of economists and a 8.7% rise in August.

Imports edged up 0.3%, missing expectations for a 0.9% rise and softer than 0.5% growth previously.

The weak data does not bode well for exports in coming months as just under a third of China's purchases are parts for re-export, particularly in the electronics sector.

The European Commission on Oct. 4 saw its motion to impose additional duties on electric vehicles built in China of up to 45% pass in a divided vote of EU member states, joining the US and Canada in tightening trade measures against China.

China's overall trade surplus narrowed to $81.71 billion in September from $91.02 billion in August and missed a forecast of $89.80 billion.

China's trade surplus with the United States narrowed to $33.33 billion in September from $33.81 billion in August, customs data showed on Monday.

Manufacturing activity shrank sharply in September, according to a recent factory owners' confidence survey, with new export orders falling to their worst in seven months.

Analysts have attributed previous months' strong export performance to factory owners slashing prices to find buyers.

Analysts anticipate it will take a long time to restore consumer and business confidence and get the $19 trillion economy on a more solid footing. A housing market recovery, in particular, could be a long way off.

That said, China's iron ore imports rose 2.9% last month year-on-year, partly on hopes for improved demand over September and October, the peak construction season, while the country's copper imports climbed from a month prior too.

New bank lending in China missed forecasts in September, separate data released by the People's Bank of China showed, although household loans, including mortgages, rose to 500 billion yuan in September from 190 billion yuan in August, according to Reuters' calculations.



BP Chair Helge Lund to Step Down

FILE PHOTO: FILE PHOTO: BP Chairman Helge Lund speaks during an interview with Reuters at BP's headquarters in London, Britain, June 25, 2019. REUTERS/Dylan Martinez/File Photo/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: FILE PHOTO: BP Chairman Helge Lund speaks during an interview with Reuters at BP's headquarters in London, Britain, June 25, 2019. REUTERS/Dylan Martinez/File Photo/File Photo
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BP Chair Helge Lund to Step Down

FILE PHOTO: FILE PHOTO: BP Chairman Helge Lund speaks during an interview with Reuters at BP's headquarters in London, Britain, June 25, 2019. REUTERS/Dylan Martinez/File Photo/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: FILE PHOTO: BP Chairman Helge Lund speaks during an interview with Reuters at BP's headquarters in London, Britain, June 25, 2019. REUTERS/Dylan Martinez/File Photo/File Photo

BP Chair Helge Lund intends to step down "likely during 2026" and the process to pick his successor has started, BP said on Friday amid a campaign by activist hedge fund Elliott for more change at the company.
Lund had backed BP's 2020 strategy to move its focus away from oil and gas, including an ambition to cut its hydrocarbon output by 40% this decade, a plan that saw BP's shares underperform its peers such as Shell or Exxon.
Following gradual steps away from that strategy - devised by then-CEO Bernard Looney, who left BP in 2023 after it emerged he had not disclosed relationships with colleagues - new Chief Murray Auchincloss in February announced a renewed focus on oil and gas.
Elliott Management, which has built a near 5% stake in BP according to sources, wants even more change, and some shareholders, including more climate-focused ones, have discussed potential leadership changes. Lund stands for re-election at BP's April 17 annual shareholder meeting.
"Now is the right time to start the process to find my successor and enable an orderly and seamless handover," Reuters quoted Lund as saying in a statement.
The successful candidate will join the board and work with Lund ahead of taking on the role, at which point Lund will step down from the board, most likely in 2026, BP said.