Saudi Aramco CEO: Oil Market is Currently Balanced

Saudi Aramco CEO Amin Nasser (Asharq Al-Awsat)
Saudi Aramco CEO Amin Nasser (Asharq Al-Awsat)
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Saudi Aramco CEO: Oil Market is Currently Balanced

Saudi Aramco CEO Amin Nasser (Asharq Al-Awsat)
Saudi Aramco CEO Amin Nasser (Asharq Al-Awsat)

Saudi Aramco CEO Amin Nasser stated that the oil market is currently balanced, even as global demand is influenced by rising interest rates and slower economic growth in China.

China, the world’s largest oil consumer, is experiencing challenges due to significant shifts in its real estate sector, a key factor in its economic growth.

Speaking during a panel titled “The Future of Energy: What Will Accelerate the Energy Transition?” at the Future Investment Initiative conference, Nasser mentioned that he anticipates global oil demand will reach approximately 106 million barrels per day in the fourth quarter of this year, with an average of 104.5 million barrels for the year.

Earlier this month, OPEC adjusted its forecast for global oil demand growth to 1.93 million barrels per day, down from 2.03 million barrels, marking the third consecutive revision. China accounted for most of this adjustment in the 2024 outlook, with OPEC attributing the revision to actual data and slightly lower demand expectations in certain areas.

Nasser highlighted a positive perspective on the situation, stating: “When people talk about China, they often amplify the negatives while overlooking the positives.”

Discussing the shift to renewable energy, Nasser emphasized the importance of reducing carbon emissions from existing energy sources as a priority, adding that the energy transition must be “affordable, safe, and sustainable.”

He confirmed that Saudi Arabia is “continuing efforts to reduce carbon emissions across all our operations... All our equipment is managed using AI and advanced data analytics.”

Pointing to the Saudi Green Initiative, he underscored the Kingdom’s commitment to the energy transition, while also ensuring continued efforts to expand oil and petrochemical activities.

Nasser further discussed energy needs in the Global South, saying: “The energy transition depends on economic investment levels... We need to start exporting to industrialized nations and enable the Global South to achieve this transition.” He noted that the Global South currently uses just one-tenth of the energy consumed by the Global North.



Oil Prices Steady as Markets Weigh Demand against US Inventories

FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)
FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)
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Oil Prices Steady as Markets Weigh Demand against US Inventories

FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)
FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)

Oil prices were little changed on Thursday as investors weighed firm winter fuel demand expectations against large US fuel inventories and macroeconomic concerns.

Brent crude futures were down 3 cents at $76.13 a barrel by 1003 GMT. US West Texas Intermediate crude futures dipped 10 cents to $73.22.

Both benchmarks fell more than 1% on Wednesday as a stronger dollar and a bigger than expected rise in US fuel stockpiles pressured prices.

"The oil market is still grappling with opposite forces - seasonal demand to support the bulls and macro data that supports a stronger US dollar in the medium term ... that can put a ceiling to prevent the bulls from advancing further," said OANDA senior market analyst Kelvin Wong.

JPMorgan analysts expect oil demand for January to expand by 1.4 million barrels per day (bpd) year on year to 101.4 million bpd, primarily driven by increased use of heating fuels in the Northern Hemisphere.

"Global oil demand is expected to remain strong throughout January, fuelled by colder than normal winter conditions that are boosting heating fuel consumption, as well as an earlier onset of travel activities in China for the Lunar New Year holidays," the analysts said.

The market structure in Brent futures is also indicating that traders are becoming more concerned about supply tightening at the same time demand is increasing.

The premium of the front-month Brent contract over the six-month contract reached its widest since August on Wednesday. A widening of this backwardation, when futures for prompt delivery are higher than for later delivery, typically indicates that supply is declining or demand is increasing.

Nevertheless, official Energy Information Administration (EIA) data showed rising gasoline and distillates stockpiles in the United States last week.

The dollar strengthened further on Thursday, underpinned by rising Treasury yields ahead of US President-elect Donald Trump's entrance into the White House on Jan. 20.

Looking ahead, WTI crude oil is expected to oscillate within a range of $67.55 to $77.95 into February as the market awaits more clarity on Trump's administration policies and fresh fiscal stimulus measures out of China, OANDA's Wong said.