Oil Rises on Upbeat China Data, Shaky Israel-Lebanon Ceasefire

FILE - Pump jacks work in a field near Lovington, N.M., April 24, 2015. (AP Photo/Charlie Riedel, File)
FILE - Pump jacks work in a field near Lovington, N.M., April 24, 2015. (AP Photo/Charlie Riedel, File)
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Oil Rises on Upbeat China Data, Shaky Israel-Lebanon Ceasefire

FILE - Pump jacks work in a field near Lovington, N.M., April 24, 2015. (AP Photo/Charlie Riedel, File)
FILE - Pump jacks work in a field near Lovington, N.M., April 24, 2015. (AP Photo/Charlie Riedel, File)

Oil prices rose on Monday, supported by strong factory activity in China, the world's second-largest oil consumer, and heightened tensions in the Middle East as Israel resumed attacks on Lebanon despite a ceasefire agreement.
Brent crude futures climbed 57 cents, or 0.79%, to $72.41 a barrel by 0700 GMT while US West Texas Intermediate crude was at $68.58 a barrel, up 58 cents, or 0.85%.
"Oil prices have managed to stabilize into the new week, with the continued expansion in China's manufacturing activities reflecting some degree of policy success from recent stimulus efforts," said Yeap Jun Rong, market strategist at IG.
This offered slight relief that oil demand from China may hold for now, he added.
A private-sector survey showed China's factory activity expanded at the fastest pace in five months in November, boosting Chinese firms' optimism just as US President-elect Donald Trump ramps up his trade threats.
Still, traders are eyeing developments in Syria, weighing if they could widen tension across the Middle East, Yeap said.
A truce between Israel and Lebanon took effect on Wednesday, but each side accused the other of breaching the ceasefire.
In a statement, the Lebanese health ministry said several people were wounded in two Israeli strikes in south Lebanon. Air strikes also intensified in Syria, as President Bashar al-Assad vowed to crush insurgents who had swept into the city of Aleppo.
Last week, both benchmarks suffered a weekly decline of more than 3%, on easing concerns over supply risks from the Israel-Hezbollah conflict and forecasts of surplus supply in 2025, even as OPEC+ is expected to extend output cuts.
The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and their allies, known as OPEC+, postponed its meeting to Dec. 5, sources told Reuters last week.
This week's meeting will decide policy for the early months of 2025.
Since the group's production hike had been widely expected, the market's focus may be on the extent of delay to sway crude prices, said IG's Yeap.
"An indefinite delay may be the best case for oil prices, given that earlier rounds of delays by a month or so have failed to drive higher oil prices in line with what OPEC+ intended."
Brent is expected to average $74.53 per barrel in 2025 as economic weakness in China clouds the demand picture and ample global supplies outweigh support from an expected delay to a planned OPEC+ output hike, a Reuters monthly oil price poll showed on Friday.
That is the seventh straight downward revision in the 2025 consensus for the global benchmark, which has averaged $80 per barrel so far in 2024.



Saudi Arabia’s 2034 World Cup: A Catalyst for Economic Transformation

Future designs of King Salman Stadium and its sports facilities, one of the largest sports stadiums in the world (Royal Commission for the City of Riyadh)
Future designs of King Salman Stadium and its sports facilities, one of the largest sports stadiums in the world (Royal Commission for the City of Riyadh)
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Saudi Arabia’s 2034 World Cup: A Catalyst for Economic Transformation

Future designs of King Salman Stadium and its sports facilities, one of the largest sports stadiums in the world (Royal Commission for the City of Riyadh)
Future designs of King Salman Stadium and its sports facilities, one of the largest sports stadiums in the world (Royal Commission for the City of Riyadh)

 

As the official announcement approaches on December 11 for the host of the 2034 FIFA World Cup, all eyes are on Saudi Arabia, as this monumental sporting event is poised to bring about a transformative economic shift, aligning with the Kingdom’s vision of fostering a diversified and sustainable economy.
The tournament is expected to have a significant impact on Saudi Arabia’s local economy, driving foreign investments and revitalizing sectors such as tourism, transportation, and infrastructure. Additionally, it will serve as a catalyst for major projects like NEOM and Qiddiya, reinforcing the Kingdom’s position as a global destination and supporting the goals of Vision 2030, which emphasizes economic diversification and the expansion of non-oil sectors.
On Saturday, FIFA announced that the Saudi bid to host the 2034 World Cup achieved a technical evaluation score of 419.8 out of 500, the highest score ever awarded in FIFA’s history for a World Cup bid. This milestone reflects Saudi Arabia’s leadership and ongoing transformation into a hub of innovation and development.
The Kingdom officially submitted its bid in July at a FIFA ceremony in Paris. Experts believe that hosting the World Cup will attract millions of visitors worldwide, boosting key sectors such as hospitality, transportation, and entertainment. Furthermore, it is expected to attract substantial foreign investments in large-scale projects, including sports infrastructure and urban development.
Major Projects
Economic policy expert Ahmed Al-Shehri told Asharq Al-Awsat that hosting the tournament will significantly enhance Saudi Arabia’s tourism economy. The influx of millions of visitors is expected to boost revenue across sectors such as hotels, restaurants, transportation, and entertainment. He also noted that major projects like the Red Sea Project and Qiddiya will benefit from infrastructure upgrades, solidifying Saudi Arabia’s status as a global destination for tourism and investment.
Al-Shehri added that the event will strengthen international confidence in Saudi Arabia’s economy, encouraging foreign investors to channel capital into sectors such as sports, entertainment, and technology. He highlighted that infrastructure improvements, including transportation systems and sports facilities, will yield long-term benefits for the local economy and citizens.
Investment Partnerships
Economic analyst Rawan Bin Rubayan described hosting the World Cup as a historic opportunity with multifaceted benefits for the Saudi economy. Global events of this magnitude, she explained, enhance the Kingdom’s reputation as a leading investment and tourism destination while unlocking growth opportunities across various industries.
She highlighted that hosting the World Cup will increase Saudi Arabia’s appeal to international investors, particularly in sectors like hospitality, entertainment, transportation, and infrastructure. Constructing state-of-the-art stadiums and facilities will foster major investment partnerships and position Saudi Arabia among the world’s top organizers of international sporting events.
Bin Rubayan emphasized how the event complements Vision 2030, which prioritizes economic diversification and supports flagship projects like NEOM, Qiddiya, and the Red Sea Project. These initiatives are expected to accommodate millions of visitors, ensuring their long-term sustainability through heightened global visibility and investment.
Boosting the Tourism Sector
Bin Rubayan pointed out that sectors such as tourism and hospitality—including hotels, restaurants, and local retail—are set to experience significant growth due to rising demand, which will stimulate the local economy and generate new job opportunities.
She also noted that infrastructure upgrades, including advanced road networks and mass transit systems, will leave a lasting legacy, benefiting future generations and improving overall quality of life, stressing that the event is expected to boost international confidence in the Saudi economy and create long-term strategic partnerships.
Bin Rubayan characterized the 2034 FIFA World Cup as a key driver of economic growth and a pivotal moment in Saudi Arabia’s journey toward achieving Vision 2030. She added that the tournament promises to foster a more diverse, resilient, and sustainable economy while reinforcing the Kingdom’s status as a global powerhouse in sports, tourism, and innovation.