Gold in Holding Pattern as Markets Await US Data

Gold bars from the vault of a bank are seen in this illustration picture taken in Zurich November 20, 2014. REUTERS/Arnd Wiegmann/File Photo
Gold bars from the vault of a bank are seen in this illustration picture taken in Zurich November 20, 2014. REUTERS/Arnd Wiegmann/File Photo
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Gold in Holding Pattern as Markets Await US Data

Gold bars from the vault of a bank are seen in this illustration picture taken in Zurich November 20, 2014. REUTERS/Arnd Wiegmann/File Photo
Gold bars from the vault of a bank are seen in this illustration picture taken in Zurich November 20, 2014. REUTERS/Arnd Wiegmann/File Photo

Gold prices slipped in thin trade on Monday, as markets awaited next week's US economic data and the potential impact of President-elect Donald Trump's return to office on the Federal Reserve's 2025 outlook.

Spot gold was down 0.1% to $2,618.99 per ounce as of 1315 GMT. US gold futures were steady at $2,632.30.

"Quiet day with lower liquidity across all asset classes likely due to the holiday season," UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo said, adding that market participants will track upcoming US economic data to see if the economy is slowing, which would allow the Fed to keep cutting interest rates.

Fed Chair Jerome Powell said earlier this month that US central bank officials "are going to be cautious about further cuts" after a quarter-point rate reduction in December, in line with expectations, Reuters reported.

For insights into the health of the world's economy, traders await next week's US job openings data, the ADP employment report, the Fed's December FOMC meeting minutes, and the US employment report.

"We still see the same factors in place which supported gold in 2024 - ongoing central bank purchases with a desire to diversify their reserves and ongoing US rate cuts supporting investment demand," Staunovo said.

Gold has gained around 27% so far this year. It hit an all-time high of $2,790.15 on Oct. 31.

Markets expect significant US policy shifts in 2025, including potential tariffs, deregulation, and tax changes, after Trump returns to the White House in January.

Gold is considered a hedge against economic and geopolitical turmoil.

Spot silver was steady at $29.37 per ounce, platinum edged lower by 0.5% to $915.07, having hit an over three-month low on Friday.

Palladium fell 0.1% to $911.10.



Oil Prices Steady as Markets Weigh Demand against US Inventories

FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)
FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)
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Oil Prices Steady as Markets Weigh Demand against US Inventories

FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)
FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)

Oil prices were little changed on Thursday as investors weighed firm winter fuel demand expectations against large US fuel inventories and macroeconomic concerns.

Brent crude futures were down 3 cents at $76.13 a barrel by 1003 GMT. US West Texas Intermediate crude futures dipped 10 cents to $73.22.

Both benchmarks fell more than 1% on Wednesday as a stronger dollar and a bigger than expected rise in US fuel stockpiles pressured prices.

"The oil market is still grappling with opposite forces - seasonal demand to support the bulls and macro data that supports a stronger US dollar in the medium term ... that can put a ceiling to prevent the bulls from advancing further," said OANDA senior market analyst Kelvin Wong.

JPMorgan analysts expect oil demand for January to expand by 1.4 million barrels per day (bpd) year on year to 101.4 million bpd, primarily driven by increased use of heating fuels in the Northern Hemisphere.

"Global oil demand is expected to remain strong throughout January, fuelled by colder than normal winter conditions that are boosting heating fuel consumption, as well as an earlier onset of travel activities in China for the Lunar New Year holidays," the analysts said.

The market structure in Brent futures is also indicating that traders are becoming more concerned about supply tightening at the same time demand is increasing.

The premium of the front-month Brent contract over the six-month contract reached its widest since August on Wednesday. A widening of this backwardation, when futures for prompt delivery are higher than for later delivery, typically indicates that supply is declining or demand is increasing.

Nevertheless, official Energy Information Administration (EIA) data showed rising gasoline and distillates stockpiles in the United States last week.

The dollar strengthened further on Thursday, underpinned by rising Treasury yields ahead of US President-elect Donald Trump's entrance into the White House on Jan. 20.

Looking ahead, WTI crude oil is expected to oscillate within a range of $67.55 to $77.95 into February as the market awaits more clarity on Trump's administration policies and fresh fiscal stimulus measures out of China, OANDA's Wong said.