Turkish Manufacturing Sector Nears Stabilization in December

01 January 2025, Türkiye, Nisantasi: People celebrate the new year in Istanbul's prestigious district of Sisli, Nisantasi. Photo: Tolga Ildun/ZUMA Press Wire/dpa
01 January 2025, Türkiye, Nisantasi: People celebrate the new year in Istanbul's prestigious district of Sisli, Nisantasi. Photo: Tolga Ildun/ZUMA Press Wire/dpa
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Turkish Manufacturing Sector Nears Stabilization in December

01 January 2025, Türkiye, Nisantasi: People celebrate the new year in Istanbul's prestigious district of Sisli, Nisantasi. Photo: Tolga Ildun/ZUMA Press Wire/dpa
01 January 2025, Türkiye, Nisantasi: People celebrate the new year in Istanbul's prestigious district of Sisli, Nisantasi. Photo: Tolga Ildun/ZUMA Press Wire/dpa

Türkiye’s manufacturing sector contracted at the slowest rate in eight months in December, a business survey showed on Thursday, in a sign that the sector is nearing stabilization.

The Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) rose to 49.1 last month from 48.3 in November, moving nearer to the 50 threshold denoting growth, according to the survey by the Istanbul Chamber of Industry and S&P Global.

“December PMI data provided plenty of hope for the sector in 2025. While business conditions continued to moderate, the latest slowdown was only marginal as signs of improvement were seen in a range of variables across the survey,” said Andrew Harker, Economics Director at S&P Global Market Intelligence, according to Reuters.

The survey highlighted a softer moderation in production, which declined at the slowest pace in nine months, suggesting some improvement in demand.

The rate of slowdown in new orders and purchasing eased, although demand remained subdued.

“If this momentum can be built on at the start of 2025, we could see the sector return to growth. The prospects for the sector should be helped by a much more benign inflationary environment than has been the case in recent years,” Harker said.

Despite the positive signs, employment in the manufacturing sector saw a renewed decline, reversing a rise in November, the survey showed.

Input costs increased sharply due to higher raw material prices, but the rate of output price inflation slowed to its weakest in over five years as some firms offered discounts to boost sales.



Oil Prices Steady as Markets Weigh Demand against US Inventories

FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)
FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)
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Oil Prices Steady as Markets Weigh Demand against US Inventories

FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)
FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)

Oil prices were little changed on Thursday as investors weighed firm winter fuel demand expectations against large US fuel inventories and macroeconomic concerns.

Brent crude futures were down 3 cents at $76.13 a barrel by 1003 GMT. US West Texas Intermediate crude futures dipped 10 cents to $73.22.

Both benchmarks fell more than 1% on Wednesday as a stronger dollar and a bigger than expected rise in US fuel stockpiles pressured prices.

"The oil market is still grappling with opposite forces - seasonal demand to support the bulls and macro data that supports a stronger US dollar in the medium term ... that can put a ceiling to prevent the bulls from advancing further," said OANDA senior market analyst Kelvin Wong.

JPMorgan analysts expect oil demand for January to expand by 1.4 million barrels per day (bpd) year on year to 101.4 million bpd, primarily driven by increased use of heating fuels in the Northern Hemisphere.

"Global oil demand is expected to remain strong throughout January, fuelled by colder than normal winter conditions that are boosting heating fuel consumption, as well as an earlier onset of travel activities in China for the Lunar New Year holidays," the analysts said.

The market structure in Brent futures is also indicating that traders are becoming more concerned about supply tightening at the same time demand is increasing.

The premium of the front-month Brent contract over the six-month contract reached its widest since August on Wednesday. A widening of this backwardation, when futures for prompt delivery are higher than for later delivery, typically indicates that supply is declining or demand is increasing.

Nevertheless, official Energy Information Administration (EIA) data showed rising gasoline and distillates stockpiles in the United States last week.

The dollar strengthened further on Thursday, underpinned by rising Treasury yields ahead of US President-elect Donald Trump's entrance into the White House on Jan. 20.

Looking ahead, WTI crude oil is expected to oscillate within a range of $67.55 to $77.95 into February as the market awaits more clarity on Trump's administration policies and fresh fiscal stimulus measures out of China, OANDA's Wong said.